GLM-5.1 · Qatar vs Switzerland

QatarvsSwitzerland
Z.ai
GLM-5.1Zhipu AI

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionAway win75%Miss
BetBet portfolio$380Bet portfolio
Post-match result1-1
Net P&L+$268
PredictionConfidence: 75%
Away win

All three perspectives unanimously favor Switzerland. The 14-bookmaker consensus places Switzerland's implied win probability at 78.7% with convergent pricing at 1.20–1.22 and strong movement reflecting Qatar's poor form. Qatar are winless in their last 10 matches (0W-4D-6L) with only 5 goals scored and four blank outings; even against modest opposition they failed to score. Switzerland's last 5 produced 2 wins, 2 draws and 12 goals against stronger sides including a 4-0 win over USA and 4-1 over Jordan. The Santa Clara venue and mild 21.8°C conditions are neutral, stripping Qatar of any real home advantage. The main uncertainty is the absence of head-to-head, lineup or injury data, and the small-sample friendly-to-competitive translation gap, which prevents pushing confidence above 0.75. Correct-score markets flag 0-1 and 0-2 as the likeliest scorelines, consistent with Qatar's scoring difficulties. A hypothesized scenario: Switzerland control possession and create early pressure, with Qatar struggling to respond; a single-goal Switzerland lead is plausible if Qatar's defence holds but their attack remains inert.

Bet
Bet portfolio$3802 bets
Net P&L+$268
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $290
    odds 1.74Settled: loss-$290

    Betting rationale：Switzerland is the only 1x2 side with positive model edge (+0.025 at execution price 1.740). Qatar's recent form is dreadful — 0 wins in 10, failing to score against weak opposition. Switzerland's form is solid with dominant results against weaker sides and competitive performances against elite teams. BC Place Vancouver is a neutral venue, so Qatar's schedule-listed home status offers no real advantage. The odds correction from ~83% to ~55% implied probability warrants moderate rather than high

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $9,317.5

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: ActionableReverse

    Draw

    $90
    odds 7.20Settled: win+$558

    Betting rationale：Draw-trap satellite position. Qatar are winless in 10 with 4 blank outings and only 5 goals; their attacking output is genuinely inert. Switzerland have quality but were held 0-0 by Norway and 1-1 by Australia recently — they can be frustrated against a compact defence. If Qatar sit deep and Switzerland fail to find an early breakthrough, the draw becomes increasingly plausible as time drains Swiss urgency. The draw at 7.200 carries a small positive model edge (+0.021) versus execution, while Sw

    Payout: $648 · Balance after: $9,317.5

Post-match result1-1
Outcome missedScoreline missedClosest off by 1 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 9%Draw 16%Away win 75%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 1
  1. #10-1
  2. #20-2
  3. #31-2

Analysis brief

  • - Market consensus overwhelmingly favors Switzerland at 78.7% implied probability with convergent pricing across all 14 samples and no divergence. Odds movement has widened further in Switzerland's direction, consistent with Qatar's winless, low-scoring recent form (0 goals in 4 of last 10) versus Switzerland's productive attack (1.9 goals per match). The spread does not hint at a tighter contest. Absence of H2H and lineup data adds modest uncertainty, but the odds-form alignment is very strong, s
  • - Qatar's last-5 form (0W-2D-3L, 1 goal) is poor even accounting for Arab Cup competition context, as their friendlies against modest opposition also yielded no wins and no goals. Switzerland's last-5 (2W-2D-1L, 12 goals) against stronger and more varied opponents shows a meaningful quality gap. Small sample and friendly-to-tournament translation uncertainty limit confidence, but the form difference is consistent and the odds consensus strongly aligns (78.7% side B, with significant movement). Sid
  • - Santa Clara is geographically neutral for both teams, stripping Qatar of any real home advantage. The mild 21.8°C, clear-sky weather favors neither side's playing style. Under these neutral conditions, the decisive factors are form and market consensus: Qatar has 0 wins in 10 recent matches and struggles to score, while Switzerland shows competitive results including multiple high-scoring wins. The odds consensus moved strongly toward Switzerland (78.7% implied probability). Missing lineup and H
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 1.28Log loss 1.83

Meta thinking

  • Market odds implied probabilitiesWith 14 odds observations captured, examine the implied win/draw/loss probabilities across bookmakers to identify market consensus and any divergence in pricing. Check whether odds reflect Qatar's poor recent scoring record or Switzerland's higher-output friendlies, and note if the spread suggests a tighter contest than form alone might imply.
  • Rational recent form comparisonCompare the five visible recent matches for each side: Qatar (0W-2D-3L, 1 goal scored across Arab Cup and friendlies) versus Switzerland (2W-2D-1L, 12 goals scored in friendlies). Assess whether form differences are meaningful given competition context (Arab Cup vs friendlies), sample size, and the gap between friendly results and tournament performance.
  • Venue and conditions neutralityQatar is schedule-listed as home but plays in Santa Clara at Levi's Stadium; neither side has geographic proximity. With clear skies, 21.8°C, low precipitation, and 12.6 km/h wind captured, examine whether the mild conditions favor either side's playing style, or whether the neutral setting effectively nullifies the home-listing label as an advantage factor.

Tokens: 2334

Perspectives

Market odds implied probabilitiesAway winMarket consensus overwhelmingly favors Switzerland at 78.7% implied probability with convergent pricing across all 14 samples and no divergence. Odds movement has widened further in Switzerland's direction, consistent with Qatar's winless, low-scoring recent form (0 goals in 4 of last 10) versus Switzerland's productive attack (1.9 goals per match). The spread does not hint at a tighter contest. Absence of H2H and lineup data adds modest uncertainty, but the odds-form alignment is very strong, s75%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds implied probabilities

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Fixture: Qatar vs Switzerland. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T12:00:00-07:00. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-13T14:03:50Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-13T14:03:50Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Qatar: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Qatar: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-13T12:17:29Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 6.8%, draw 14.5%, side B win 78.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-13T12:17:29Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -12.31pp, draw -10.96pp, side B win +23.27pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 4.8 / draw 3.65 / side B 1.7 → side A 13.5 / draw 6 / side B 1.22; william_hill side A 4.8 / draw 3.6 / side B 1.67 → side A 13 / draw 6 / side B 1.2; bet365 side A 5 / draw 3.75 / side B 1.7 → side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.2. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13.5, draw 6, side B 1.22; william_hill: side A 13, draw 6, side B 1.2; bet365: side A 13, draw 7, side B 1.2; marathonbet: side A 16.5, draw 7.2, side B 1.21. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 6, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 7, 0-2 6; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 6.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-13T14:03:54Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 21.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 62%, wind 12.6 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Qatar:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against El Salvador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-12-07T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2025-12-04T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Syria, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-01T15:45:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Palestine, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-17T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Zimbabwe, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-09-07T15:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Russia, home/away home, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2025-09-03T15:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bahrain, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-08-24T15:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Lebanon, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2024-12-27T14:30:00Z, competition Gulf Cup of Nations, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Serbia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.

  10. Market consensus overwhelmingly favors Switzerland at 78.7% implied probability with convergent pricing across all 14 samples and no divergence. Odds movement has widened further in Switzerland's direction, consistent with Qatar's winless, low-scoring recent form (0 goals in 4 of last 10) versus Switzerland's productive attack (1.9 goals per match). The spread does not hint at a tighter contest. Absence of H2H and lineup data adds modest uncertainty, but the odds-form alignment is very strong, s

Conclusion note

The 14 bookmaker samples show an exceptionally strong and convergent market consensus: Switzerland's implied win probability is 78.7%, Qatar just 6.8%, and the draw 14.5%. All four latest samples price Switzerland at 1.20–1.22, with no meaningful divergence between bookmakers. The dramatic odds movement from earlier updates (Switzerland ~1.67 to ~1.20, side A win probability dropping 12.31pp) reflects the market digesting Qatar's poor recent form — zero wins and only 5 goals scored across 10 matches with multiple blanks — versus Switzerland's higher-output friendlies (19 goals in 10, including 4-0 and 4-2 wins). Correct-score markets reinforce this, pricing 0-1 and 0-2 as the likeliest outcomes. The spread does not suggest a tighter contest; it fully captures the form gap. No H2H or lineup data is available to challenge this consensus, so uncertainty remains around a single-match upset, but the alignment between odds movement and observable form is strong.

Rational recent form comparisonAway winQatar's last-5 form (0W-2D-3L, 1 goal) is poor even accounting for Arab Cup competition context, as their friendlies against modest opposition also yielded no wins and no goals. Switzerland's last-5 (2W-2D-1L, 12 goals) against stronger and more varied opponents shows a meaningful quality gap. Small sample and friendly-to-tournament translation uncertainty limit confidence, but the form difference is consistent and the odds consensus strongly aligns (78.7% side B, with significant movement). Sid70%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Rational recent form comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Fixture: Qatar vs Switzerland. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T12:00:00-07:00. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-13T14:03:50Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-13T14:03:50Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Qatar: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Qatar: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-13T12:17:29Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 6.8%, draw 14.5%, side B win 78.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-13T12:17:29Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -12.31pp, draw -10.96pp, side B win +23.27pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 4.8 / draw 3.65 / side B 1.7 → side A 13.5 / draw 6 / side B 1.22; william_hill side A 4.8 / draw 3.6 / side B 1.67 → side A 13 / draw 6 / side B 1.2; bet365 side A 5 / draw 3.75 / side B 1.7 → side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.2. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13.5, draw 6, side B 1.22; william_hill: side A 13, draw 6, side B 1.2; bet365: side A 13, draw 7, side B 1.2; marathonbet: side A 16.5, draw 7.2, side B 1.21. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 6, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 7, 0-2 6; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 6.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-13T14:03:54Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 21.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 62%, wind 12.6 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Qatar:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against El Salvador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-12-07T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2025-12-04T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Syria, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-01T15:45:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Palestine, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-17T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Zimbabwe, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-09-07T15:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Russia, home/away home, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2025-09-03T15:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bahrain, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-08-24T15:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Lebanon, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2024-12-27T14:30:00Z, competition Gulf Cup of Nations, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Serbia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.

  10. Qatar's last-5 form (0W-2D-3L, 1 goal) is poor even accounting for Arab Cup competition context, as their friendlies against modest opposition also yielded no wins and no goals. Switzerland's last-5 (2W-2D-1L, 12 goals) against stronger and more varied opponents shows a meaningful quality gap. Small sample and friendly-to-tournament translation uncertainty limit confidence, but the form difference is consistent and the odds consensus strongly aligns (78.7% side B, with significant movement). Sid

Conclusion note

Over their last five matches, Qatar recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, scoring only 1 goal total—against regional opposition in the Arab Cup (Tunisia, Syria, Palestine) and modest friendly opponents (El Salvador, Rep. of Ireland). Switzerland recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss with 12 goals scored across friendlies against more varied and generally stronger opposition (Germany 3-4, USA 4-0, Jordan 4-1, Australia 1-1, Norway 0-0). Qatar's inability to score even against weaker sides makes their form gap meaningful despite competition-context differences: their Arab Cup matches are more competitive, yet they still produced poor results, and their recent friendlies against low-ranked opposition yielded a 0-0 draw and a 0-1 loss. Switzerland's scoring output against stronger sides and competitive defeat to Germany suggest a genuinely superior level. The odds consensus moved strongly toward Switzerland (78.7% implied probability, +23pp from earlier snapshots), consistent with this form gap. No head-to-head data is available and lineups/injuries are not captured, adding some uncertainty.

Venue and conditions neutralityAway winSanta Clara is geographically neutral for both teams, stripping Qatar of any real home advantage. The mild 21.8°C, clear-sky weather favors neither side's playing style. Under these neutral conditions, the decisive factors are form and market consensus: Qatar has 0 wins in 10 recent matches and struggles to score, while Switzerland shows competitive results including multiple high-scoring wins. The odds consensus moved strongly toward Switzerland (78.7% implied probability). Missing lineup and H75%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Venue and conditions neutrality

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Fixture: Qatar vs Switzerland. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T12:00:00-07:00. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-13T14:03:50Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-13T14:03:50Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Qatar: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Qatar: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-13T12:17:29Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 6.8%, draw 14.5%, side B win 78.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-13T12:17:29Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -12.31pp, draw -10.96pp, side B win +23.27pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 4.8 / draw 3.65 / side B 1.7 → side A 13.5 / draw 6 / side B 1.22; william_hill side A 4.8 / draw 3.6 / side B 1.67 → side A 13 / draw 6 / side B 1.2; bet365 side A 5 / draw 3.75 / side B 1.7 → side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.2. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13.5, draw 6, side B 1.22; william_hill: side A 13, draw 6, side B 1.2; bet365: side A 13, draw 7, side B 1.2; marathonbet: side A 16.5, draw 7.2, side B 1.21. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 6, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 7, 0-2 6; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 6.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-13T14:03:54Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 21.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 62%, wind 12.6 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Qatar:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against El Salvador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-12-07T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2025-12-04T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Syria, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-01T15:45:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Palestine, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-17T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Zimbabwe, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-09-07T15:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Russia, home/away home, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2025-09-03T15:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bahrain, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-08-24T15:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Lebanon, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2024-12-27T14:30:00Z, competition Gulf Cup of Nations, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T14:12:10Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Serbia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.

  10. Santa Clara is geographically neutral for both teams, stripping Qatar of any real home advantage. The mild 21.8°C, clear-sky weather favors neither side's playing style. Under these neutral conditions, the decisive factors are form and market consensus: Qatar has 0 wins in 10 recent matches and struggles to score, while Switzerland shows competitive results including multiple high-scoring wins. The odds consensus moved strongly toward Switzerland (78.7% implied probability). Missing lineup and H

Conclusion note

The match is played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, a venue with no geographic proximity to either Qatar or Switzerland, effectively nullifying Qatar's schedule-listed home label as an advantage factor. Kickoff conditions are mild and neutral — clear skies, 21.8°C, no precipitation, 62% humidity, and light 12.6 km/h wind — conditions that neither favor Qatar's heat-acclimatized style nor disadvantage Switzerland's temperate-climate comfort. With the venue and weather offering no edge to either side, the prediction rests on quality and form differences: Qatar's last 10 matches show zero wins (4 draws, 6 losses) with very few goals scored, while Switzerland's recent record includes 3 wins and 4 draws, with strong attacking outputs such as 4-0 versus USA and 4-1 versus Jordan. The bookmaker consensus has moved sharply toward Switzerland, reaching implied probabilities of 78.7% for a Switzerland win, 14.5% draw, and 6.8% Qatar win. No injuries, suspensions, or lineup data are visible, introducing some uncertainty, but the form and odds gap is large enough under neutral conditions to justify a Switzerland win prediction.

Synthesis

All three perspectives unanimously favor Switzerland. The 14-bookmaker consensus places Switzerland's implied win probability at 78.7% with convergent pricing at 1.20–1.22 and strong movement reflecting Qatar's poor form. Qatar are winless in their last 10 matches (0W-4D-6L) with only 5 goals scored and four blank outings; even against modest opposition they failed to score. Switzerland's last 5 produced 2 wins, 2 draws and 12 goals against stronger sides including a 4-0 win over USA and 4-1 over Jordan. The Santa Clara venue and mild 21.8°C conditions are neutral, stripping Qatar of any real home advantage. The main uncertainty is the absence of head-to-head, lineup or injury data, and the small-sample friendly-to-competitive translation gap, which prevents pushing confidence above 0.75. Correct-score markets flag 0-1 and 0-2 as the likeliest scorelines, consistent with Qatar's scoring difficulties. A hypothesized scenario: Switzerland control possession and create early pressure, with Qatar struggling to respond; a single-goal Switzerland lead is plausible if Qatar's defence holds but their attack remains inert.

Reasoning summary: Three perspectives agree on Switzerland winning. Market consensus at 78.7% implied probability aligns with Qatar's winless, low-scoring last 10 matches and Switzerland's productive attacking output against stronger opposition. Neutral venue in Santa Clara removes Qatar's nominal home label as an advantage. Confidence set at 0.75 rather than matching full market implied probability due to missing H2H, lineup and injury data, plus friendly-to-competitive translation uncertainty. Draw and Qatar-win