MiMo V2.5 Pro · Norway vs Senegal

NorwayvsSenegal
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win44%Hit
BetBet portfolio$515Bet portfolio
Post-match result3-2
Net P&L+$146.2
PredictionConfidence: 44%
Home win

Norway are favored to win against Senegal, supported by market odds showing a 43.7% implied win probability and their strong 4-1 victory over Iraq in the World Cup opener, while Senegal's 1-3 loss to France and consecutive away defeats highlight defensive vulnerabilities. However, Senegal's attacking threat, averaging 2.2 goals per game recently, and the high humidity in New Jersey introduce uncertainty, making this a competitive match where Norway's defensive solidity could be tested.

Bet
Bet portfolio$5153 bets
Net P&L+$146.2
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $290
    odds 2.28Settled: win+$371.2

    Betting rationale：Favorite conviction posture backing Norway. Match script: Norway enter with momentum from their commanding 4-1 World Cup opener vs Iraq, showing attacking potency and defensive solidity. Senegal's 1-3 loss to France exposed defensive vulnerabilities (also leaked 2 goals vs USA in friendly). Norway's form is consistent (wins over Sweden 3-1, Iraq 4-1; draws vs Morocco and Switzerland). Model gives Norway 48% win probability with +4.1% edge at executable Pinnacle price of 2.280. Stake at ~4% of ba

    Payout: $661.2 · Balance after: $7,707.5

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: ActionableReverse

    Draw

    $150
    odds 3.60Settled: loss-$150

    Betting rationale：Draw hedge against existing Norway position. Model gives draw 28% probability vs ~27.5% implied at Pinnacle 3.60 (tiny +0.002 edge). Humid conditions (88%) in New Jersey could slow tempo and create a cagey match. Senegal's defensive vulnerabilities away (losses to France, USA) suggest they'll sit deep, but their attacking threat (2.2 goals/game) means Norway may struggle to break them down. Competitive World Cup group stage match where a draw is plausible.

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $7,707.5

  • Correct score 1-0Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 1-0

    $75
    odds 8.50Settled: loss-$75

    Betting rationale：Favorite-conviction posture with satellite correct-score. Norway are the model's predicted winner (48%) with +3.9% edge on 1x2. The 1-0 scoreline is the top predicted outcome (14% model probability) priced at 8.50 (~11.8% implied), offering ~2.2% edge. This small satellite complements the existing Norway 1x2 position, targeting the most likely tight win script. High humidity could keep it cagey, supporting a low-scoring Norway victory.

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $7,707.5

Post-match result3-2
Outcome hitScoreline missedClosest off by 2 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 44%Draw 28%Away win 28%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 2
  1. #11-0
  2. #22-1
  3. #32-0

Analysis brief

  • - The 14-bookmaker consensus places Norway as the most likely single outcome at 43.7% versus 28.6% for Senegal, with the draw at 27.7%. Line movement across multiple bookmakers shows a modest but consistent drift toward Norway—William Hill moved from 2.20 to 2.15 on Norway while lengthening Senegal, and bet365 widened Senegal from 3.20 to 3.30—indicating growing market confidence in Norway. Combined with Norway's strong 4–1 opening result versus Senegal's 1–3 defeat, the market clearly favours Nor
  • - Norway's recent form shows defensive solidity (5 goals conceded in 5 matches) and momentum from their World Cup opener, while Senegal have been inconsistent away from home with two consecutive losses. The bookmaker consensus at 43.7% Norway, 27.7% draw, and 28.6% Senegal supports a slight Norway favoritism, though the margin is narrow. Senegal's attacking threat keeps this competitive, but their defensive vulnerabilities on the road tilt the balance toward Norway in a match that could easily go
  • - The weather data shows 88% humidity which is notably high and could marginally benefit Senegal given their players' likely familiarity with such conditions, but the 21.7°C temperature is comfortable enough that heat stress is minimal for either side. Norway's stronger recent World Cup form (4-1 win over Iraq versus Senegal's 1-3 loss to France) combined with favorable bookmaker odds support Norway as slight favorites, though the weather introduces mild uncertainty that tempers confidence in this

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: fra sen group_i_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted France win with confidence 0.63. Probability distribution: France win 63.0%; draw 22.0%; Senegal win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: France 2-0 Senegal, France 1-0 Senegal, France 2-1 S
  • - Recall anchors: fra sen group_i_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted France win with confidence 0.64. Probability distribution: France win 64.0%; draw 22.0%; Senegal win 14.0%. Top-3 scorelines: France 1-0 Senegal, France 2-1 Senegal, France
  • - Recall anchors: irq nor group_i_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Norway win with confidence 0.78. Probability distribution: Iraq win 7.0%; draw 14.7%; Norway win 78.3%. Top-3 scorelines: Iraq 0-1 Norway, Iraq 0-2 Norway, Iraq 1-2 Norway. Evide
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.47Log loss 0.82

Meta thinking

  • Market odds analysisExamine the 14 captured betting odds to assess implied probabilities and market sentiment for the match outcome.
  • Recent team formAnalyze the last five matches for Norway and Senegal to identify patterns in performance, goal-scoring, and defensive consistency.
  • Weather conditions impactEvaluate the weather data, including temperature, humidity, and wind, to consider how it might affect playing style and player comfort during the match.

Tokens: 3243

Perspectives

Market odds analysisHome winThe 14-bookmaker consensus places Norway as the most likely single outcome at 43.7% versus 28.6% for Senegal, with the draw at 27.7%. Line movement across multiple bookmakers shows a modest but consistent drift toward Norway—William Hill moved from 2.20 to 2.15 on Norway while lengthening Senegal, and bet365 widened Senegal from 3.20 to 3.30—indicating growing market confidence in Norway. Combined with Norway's strong 4–1 opening result versus Senegal's 1–3 defeat, the market clearly favours Nor44%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: NOR vs Senegal. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T00:00:00Z. Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford, altitude 4 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T00:16:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Norway: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Norway: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Senegal: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Senegal: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 43.7%, draw 27.7%, side B win 28.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.69pp, draw +0.3pp, side B win -0.99pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.18 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.2 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.2 / draw 3.3 / side B 3 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.15 / draw 3.6 / side B 3.2 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.5 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.2, draw 3.4, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.15, draw 3.3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.15, draw 3.5, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.21, draw 3.55, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 9.1.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:44Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 88%, wind 16.9 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Norway:

    • 2026-06-16T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Iraq, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-07T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Morocco, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-01T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Sweden, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-10-14T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-09-04T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Kazakhstan, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Senegal:

    • 2026-06-16T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against France, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Gambia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-30T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Benin, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-27T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Congo DR, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-23T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Botswana, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Kenya, home/away home, score 8-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Brazil, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-07-27T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tanzania, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #9

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 43.7%, draw 27.7%, side B win 28.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.69pp, draw +0.3pp, side B win -0.99pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.18 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.2 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.2 / draw 3.3 / side B 3 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.15 / draw 3.6 / side B 3.2 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.5 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.2, draw 3.4, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.15, draw 3.3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.15, draw 3.5, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.21, draw 3.55, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 9.1.

  11. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  12. The 14-bookmaker consensus places Norway as the most likely single outcome at 43.7% versus 28.6% for Senegal, with the draw at 27.7%. Line movement across multiple bookmakers shows a modest but consistent drift toward Norway—William Hill moved from 2.20 to 2.15 on Norway while lengthening Senegal, and bet365 widened Senegal from 3.20 to 3.30—indicating growing market confidence in Norway. Combined with Norway's strong 4–1 opening result versus Senegal's 1–3 defeat, the market clearly favours Nor

Conclusion note

Across 14 bookmaker samples captured at 13 update points, Norway are priced as clear market favourites with 43.7% implied win probability versus 28.6% for Senegal; William Hill shortened Norway from 2.20 to 2.15 while lengthening Senegal from 3.00 to 3.20, and consensus probability has drifted +0.69 percentage points toward Norway and −0.99pp away from Senegal over the visible period, consistent with Norway's emphatic 4–1 opening win over Iraq contrasting Senegal's 1–3 loss to France.

Recent team formHome winNorway's recent form shows defensive solidity (5 goals conceded in 5 matches) and momentum from their World Cup opener, while Senegal have been inconsistent away from home with two consecutive losses. The bookmaker consensus at 43.7% Norway, 27.7% draw, and 28.6% Senegal supports a slight Norway favoritism, though the margin is narrow. Senegal's attacking threat keeps this competitive, but their defensive vulnerabilities on the road tilt the balance toward Norway in a match that could easily go39%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent team form

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: NOR vs Senegal. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T00:00:00Z. Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford, altitude 4 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T00:16:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Norway: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Norway: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Senegal: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Senegal: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 43.7%, draw 27.7%, side B win 28.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.69pp, draw +0.3pp, side B win -0.99pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.18 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.2 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.2 / draw 3.3 / side B 3 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.15 / draw 3.6 / side B 3.2 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.5 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.2, draw 3.4, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.15, draw 3.3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.15, draw 3.5, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.21, draw 3.55, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 9.1.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:44Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 88%, wind 16.9 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Norway:

    • 2026-06-16T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Iraq, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-07T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Morocco, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-01T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Sweden, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-10-14T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-09-04T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Kazakhstan, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Senegal:

    • 2026-06-16T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against France, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Gambia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-30T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Benin, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-27T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Congo DR, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-23T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Botswana, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Kenya, home/away home, score 8-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Brazil, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-07-27T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tanzania, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Norway's recent form shows defensive solidity (5 goals conceded in 5 matches) and momentum from their World Cup opener, while Senegal have been inconsistent away from home with two consecutive losses. The bookmaker consensus at 43.7% Norway, 27.7% draw, and 28.6% Senegal supports a slight Norway favoritism, though the margin is narrow. Senegal's attacking threat keeps this competitive, but their defensive vulnerabilities on the road tilt the balance toward Norway in a match that could easily go

Conclusion note

Norway enter this fixture with a strong recent record of two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five matches, including a convincing 4-1 World Cup opening victory over Iraq, while conceding only 1.0 goals per match on average. Senegal have lost their last two competitive away matches (1-3 to France and 2-3 to the USA), conceding 1.4 goals per game in their last five, which gives Norway a narrow edge despite Senegal's higher attacking output of 2.2 goals per game across that span.

Weather conditions impactHome winThe weather data shows 88% humidity which is notably high and could marginally benefit Senegal given their players' likely familiarity with such conditions, but the 21.7°C temperature is comfortable enough that heat stress is minimal for either side. Norway's stronger recent World Cup form (4-1 win over Iraq versus Senegal's 1-3 loss to France) combined with favorable bookmaker odds support Norway as slight favorites, though the weather introduces mild uncertainty that tempers confidence in this48%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Weather conditions impact

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: NOR vs Senegal. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T00:00:00Z. Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford, altitude 4 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T00:16:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Norway: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Norway: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Senegal: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Senegal: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 43.7%, draw 27.7%, side B win 28.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.69pp, draw +0.3pp, side B win -0.99pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.18 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.2 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.2 / draw 3.3 / side B 3 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.15 / draw 3.6 / side B 3.2 → side A 2.15 / draw 3.5 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.2, draw 3.4, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.15, draw 3.3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.15, draw 3.5, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.21, draw 3.55, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 9.1.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:44Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 88%, wind 16.9 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Norway:

    • 2026-06-16T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Iraq, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-07T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Morocco, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-01T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Sweden, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-10-14T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-09-04T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Kazakhstan, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Senegal:

    • 2026-06-16T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against France, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Gambia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-30T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Benin, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-27T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Congo DR, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-23T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Botswana, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Kenya, home/away home, score 8-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Brazil, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-07-27T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tanzania, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Check detailed weather

    #9

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:44Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 88%, wind 16.9 km/h.

  11. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  12. The weather data shows 88% humidity which is notably high and could marginally benefit Senegal given their players' likely familiarity with such conditions, but the 21.7°C temperature is comfortable enough that heat stress is minimal for either side. Norway's stronger recent World Cup form (4-1 win over Iraq versus Senegal's 1-3 loss to France) combined with favorable bookmaker odds support Norway as slight favorites, though the weather introduces mild uncertainty that tempers confidence in this

Conclusion note

Norway face Senegal at New York New Jersey Stadium in partly cloudy conditions with 21.7°C temperature, 88% humidity, and 16.9 km/h wind; while the high humidity could slightly favor Senegal's West African players who are more accustomed to tropical conditions, the moderate temperature keeps this effect limited, and bookmaker consensus gives Norway a 43.7% implied win probability compared to Senegal's 28.6%.

Synthesis

Norway are favored to win against Senegal, supported by market odds showing a 43.7% implied win probability and their strong 4-1 victory over Iraq in the World Cup opener, while Senegal's 1-3 loss to France and consecutive away defeats highlight defensive vulnerabilities. However, Senegal's attacking threat, averaging 2.2 goals per game recently, and the high humidity in New Jersey introduce uncertainty, making this a competitive match where Norway's defensive solidity could be tested.

Reasoning summary: All perspectives—market odds, recent form, and weather impact—agree on Norway as the favorite, with bookmaker consensus giving Norway a 44% win probability. Norway's recent World Cup form is superior to Senegal's away struggles, but Senegal's attacking capability and environmental factors keep the match uncertain.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection France vs Senegal Late editionRecall anchors: fra sen group_i_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted France win with confidence 0.63. Probability distribution: France win 63.0%; draw 22.0%; Senegal win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: France 2-0 Senegal, France 1-0 Senegal, France 2-1 Srelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection France vs Senegal Actionable editionRecall anchors: fra sen group_i_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted France win with confidence 0.64. Probability distribution: France win 64.0%; draw 22.0%; Senegal win 14.0%. Top-3 scorelines: France 1-0 Senegal, France 2-1 Senegal, Francerelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Iraq vs Norway Late editionRecall anchors: irq nor group_i_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Norway win with confidence 0.78. Probability distribution: Iraq win 7.0%; draw 14.7%; Norway win 78.3%. Top-3 scorelines: Iraq 0-1 Norway, Iraq 0-2 Norway, Iraq 1-2 Norway. Eviderelevance 0.50