DeepSeek V4 Pro · Scotland vs Morocco

ScotlandvsMorocco
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4 ProDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionAway win58%Hit
BetAway win$760Aligned
Post-match result0-1
Net P&L+$396.6
PredictionConfidence: 58%
Away win

Pre-match betting odds heavily favour Morocco (around 56% implied win probability) and all three analysis perspectives point to a Morocco victory. Morocco arrive unbeaten in ten matches, including a 1-1 draw with Brazil, and have recorded convincing wins over Madagascar, Burundi and Paraguay. Scotland's recent wins came against low-ranked opponents (Haiti, Bolivia, Curaçao), while they lost home friendlies to Ivory Coast and Japan when facing stronger sides. The opening World Cup match contrast is stark: Morocco held Brazil level, whereas Scotland managed only a single-goal win over group underdogs Haiti. The bookmaker consensus and the latest odds movement reinforce the gap between the sides. Although no head-to-head data and missing lineups prevent a higher-confidence prediction, the available evidence gives Morocco a clear edge over Scotland.

Bet
Away win$7603 bets
Net P&L+$396.6
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $410
    odds 1.76Settled: win+$311.6

    Betting rationale：Posture: Favorite conviction with a clean football script. Morocco arrive unbeaten in five, including a 1-1 away draw with Brazil that signals real tournament pedigree. Scotland could only scrape past Haiti and lost at home to Japan and Ivory Coast — they look limited when opponents press with quality. The model gives Morocco 56% to win, and Pinnacle's 1.76 is essentially fair (implied ~56.8%). No screaming value edge, but the gap in form, confidence, and the weight of Morocco's attacking option

    Payout: $721.6 · Balance after: $12,571.5

  • Away win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Away win

    $250
    odds 1.74Settled: win+$185

    Betting rationale：Favorite conviction posture, adding to an existing Morocco position. Morocco enter needing a win after their 1-1 draw with Brazil; they are unbeaten in five, scoring freely and conceding little. Scotland will likely sit deep and protect a point, but Morocco's superior quality, attacking consistency, and greater urgency should break them down — most likely by a single goal, as the prediction and top scorelines (0-1, 0-2) suggest. Already holding $410 at 1.76; adding $250 at 1.74 reflects continue

    Payout: $435 · Balance after: $13,006.5

  • Correct score 0-2Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 0-2

    $100
    odds 6.75Settled: loss-$100

    Betting rationale：Satellite correct-score bet backing the match script: Morocco's organized defense keeps a clean sheet while their attack breaks through twice. Scotland managed only a single goal against group minnows Haiti and lost home friendlies to Ivory Coast and Japan when facing quality. Morocco held Brazil to a 1-1 draw and have been convincing in preparation. The 0-2 scoreline is the model's second-most-likely outcome at 10% and pays 6.750, offering a tidy complement to the existing $660 Morocco win posi

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $13,006.5

Post-match result0-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 16%Draw 26%Away win 58%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-1
  2. #20-2
  3. #30-1Hit

Analysis brief

  • - The odds consensus strongly favors Morocco, with a 56% implied win probability and a small positive movement (+0.82pp) toward Morocco. Morocco's recent unbeaten run and Scotland's mixed recent form reinforce the odds signal. No injuries or suspensions are reported. The main uncertainty is the absence of confirmed lineups and weather data, which moderates confidence but does not outweigh the clear market and form evidence for a Morocco win.
  • - Scotland's three recent wins were against low-calibre opponents, and they fell short against mid-tier sides Ivory Coast and Japan, suggesting a ceiling when facing stronger teams. Morocco drew with Brazil and Norway while comfortably dispatching weaker foes, showing both resilience and consistency. The odds consensus strongly favors Morocco (56% implied), and the recent odds drift adds to that conviction. Although the absence of lineups and head-to-head data introduces uncertainty, the form and
  • - The opening-match contrast is stark: Morocco held elite Brazil to a 1-1 draw, while Scotland managed only a single-goal margin against group minnows Haiti. Bookmaker odds heavily back Morocco (implied ~56% win probability, with the latest movement drifting further in Morocco's favor). Scotland's pre-tournament friendly losses to Ivory Coast and Japan at home, combined with Morocco's strong overall form including dominant wins over Madagascar and Burundi, support the odds-based assessment. No inj

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: bra mar group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Brazil win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Brazil win 60.0%; draw 25.0%; Morocco win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Brazil 2-0 Morocco, Brazil 1-1 Morocco, Brazil 2
  • - Recall anchors: hai sco group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Scotland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Haiti win 16.3%; draw 22.6%; Scotland win 61.1%. Top-3 scorelines: Haiti 0-1 Scotland, Haiti 0-2 Scotland, Haiti
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.27Log loss 0.54

Meta thinking

  • Pre-match betting market oddsExamine the captured pre-match odds (14 observed) to determine the implied probabilities for a Scotland win, Morocco win, and draw, and assess any early market movements or biases.
  • Recent match form comparisonCompare the last five match results of Scotland and Morocco, noting competition type, opponent quality, and scorelines, to evaluate consistency and performance levels leading into this fixture.
  • World Cup opening match formContrast Scotland's 1-0 win over Haiti and Morocco's 1-1 draw against Brazil, considering the caliber of the opponents and the tactical demands of the opening group stage match, to gauge initial tournament readiness.

Tokens: 3467

Perspectives

Pre-match betting market oddsAway winThe odds consensus strongly favors Morocco, with a 56% implied win probability and a small positive movement (+0.82pp) toward Morocco. Morocco's recent unbeaten run and Scotland's mixed recent form reinforce the odds signal. No injuries or suspensions are reported. The main uncertainty is the absence of confirmed lineups and weather data, which moderates confidence but does not outweigh the clear market and form evidence for a Morocco win.70%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Pre-match betting market odds

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Fixture: SCO vs Morocco. Kickoff: 2026-06-19T22:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Morocco: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Morocco: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 18, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T18:00:19Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 17.4%, draw 26.6%, side B win 56%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:06:25Z -> 2026-06-19T18:00:19Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.61pp, draw -0.21pp, side B win +0.82pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.4 / draw 3.5 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.5 / side B 1.65; william_hill side A 5 / draw 3.4 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.4 / side B 1.67; bet365 side A 5.5 / draw 3.7 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.75 / draw 3.7 / side B 1.65. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.5, draw 3.5, side B 1.65; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.4, side B 1.67; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 3.7, side B 1.65; marathonbet: side A 5.85, draw 3.74, side B 1.7. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; correct scores 0-0 7.5, 0-1 4.75, 0-2 6; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 7.5, 0-1 5.5, 0-2 7; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; correct scores 0-0 8, 0-1 6, 0-2 7.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Haiti, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Morocco:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Brazil, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-07T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Madagascar, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-26T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Burundi, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Paraguay, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T20:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-29T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Zambia, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-26T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mali, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-21T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Comoros, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-15T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. The odds consensus strongly favors Morocco, with a 56% implied win probability and a small positive movement (+0.82pp) toward Morocco. Morocco's recent unbeaten run and Scotland's mixed recent form reinforce the odds signal. No injuries or suspensions are reported. The main uncertainty is the absence of confirmed lineups and weather data, which moderates confidence but does not outweigh the clear market and form evidence for a Morocco win.

Conclusion note

Across 14 bookmaker samples, the pre-match odds give Morocco a dominant implied win probability of 56%, while Scotland sit at just 17.4% and the draw at 26.6%. The latest odds movement shows further slight support for Morocco, with Scotland's share dipping. Recent form aligns with the market: Morocco are unbeaten in their last ten matches, including a 1-1 draw with Brazil, while Scotland have lost three of their last ten and lost back-to-back home friendlies against Ivory Coast and Japan earlier in 2026.

Recent match form comparisonAway winScotland's three recent wins were against low-calibre opponents, and they fell short against mid-tier sides Ivory Coast and Japan, suggesting a ceiling when facing stronger teams. Morocco drew with Brazil and Norway while comfortably dispatching weaker foes, showing both resilience and consistency. The odds consensus strongly favors Morocco (56% implied), and the recent odds drift adds to that conviction. Although the absence of lineups and head-to-head data introduces uncertainty, the form and62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent match form comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Fixture: SCO vs Morocco. Kickoff: 2026-06-19T22:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Morocco: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Morocco: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 18, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T18:00:19Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 17.4%, draw 26.6%, side B win 56%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:06:25Z -> 2026-06-19T18:00:19Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.61pp, draw -0.21pp, side B win +0.82pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.4 / draw 3.5 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.5 / side B 1.65; william_hill side A 5 / draw 3.4 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.4 / side B 1.67; bet365 side A 5.5 / draw 3.7 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.75 / draw 3.7 / side B 1.65. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.5, draw 3.5, side B 1.65; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.4, side B 1.67; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 3.7, side B 1.65; marathonbet: side A 5.85, draw 3.74, side B 1.7. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; correct scores 0-0 7.5, 0-1 4.75, 0-2 6; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 7.5, 0-1 5.5, 0-2 7; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; correct scores 0-0 8, 0-1 6, 0-2 7.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Haiti, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Morocco:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Brazil, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-07T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Madagascar, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-26T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Burundi, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Paraguay, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T20:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-29T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Zambia, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-26T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mali, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-21T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Comoros, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-15T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Scotland vs Morocco group context: Group C; visible fixtures show 2 completed matches and 4 remaining. Current group table: Scotland 3 pts/1 played; Brazil 1 pts/1 played; Morocco 1 pts/1 played; Haiti 0 pts/1 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Brazil can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Haiti can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Morocco can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Scotland can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Scotland vs Morocco; Brazil vs Haiti; Scotland vs Brazil; Morocco vs Haiti. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check match details

    #10

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Fixture: SCO vs Morocco. Kickoff: 2026-06-19T22:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-19 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Check team ranking facts

    #12

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-19 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  14. Recent form comparison: Scotland's last five (W-W-W-L-L) include wins over weaker sides Haiti, Bolivia, and Curaçao, but losses to Ivory Coast and Japan suggest vulnerability against stronger opponents. Morocco's last five (D-D-W-W-W) feature a draw with Brazil and Norway plus dominant wins over minnows, showing both resilience against elite teams and consistency. The form gap aligns with the odds consensus, where Morocco holds a 56% implied win probability.

  15. Scotland's three recent wins were against low-calibre opponents, and they fell short against mid-tier sides Ivory Coast and Japan, suggesting a ceiling when facing stronger teams. Morocco drew with Brazil and Norway while comfortably dispatching weaker foes, showing both resilience and consistency. The odds consensus strongly favors Morocco (56% implied), and the recent odds drift adds to that conviction. Although the absence of lineups and head-to-head data introduces uncertainty, the form and

Conclusion note

Morocco's last five results — a draw with Brazil, a draw with Norway, and emphatic wins over Madagascar, Burundi, and Paraguay — demonstrate strong form and the ability to compete with elite opposition. Scotland's recent wins came against weaker sides (Haiti, Bolivia, Curaçao), while they lost to Ivory Coast and Japan when facing higher-quality opponents. The bookmaker odds reinforce this gap, giving Morocco a 56% implied win probability, and the odds movement shows further market support shifting toward Morocco.

World Cup opening match formAway winThe opening-match contrast is stark: Morocco held elite Brazil to a 1-1 draw, while Scotland managed only a single-goal margin against group minnows Haiti. Bookmaker odds heavily back Morocco (implied ~56% win probability, with the latest movement drifting further in Morocco's favor). Scotland's pre-tournament friendly losses to Ivory Coast and Japan at home, combined with Morocco's strong overall form including dominant wins over Madagascar and Burundi, support the odds-based assessment. No inj70%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    World Cup opening match form

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Fixture: SCO vs Morocco. Kickoff: 2026-06-19T22:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Morocco: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Morocco: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 18, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T18:00:19Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 17.4%, draw 26.6%, side B win 56%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:06:25Z -> 2026-06-19T18:00:19Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.61pp, draw -0.21pp, side B win +0.82pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.4 / draw 3.5 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.5 / side B 1.65; william_hill side A 5 / draw 3.4 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.4 / side B 1.67; bet365 side A 5.5 / draw 3.7 / side B 1.67 → side A 5.75 / draw 3.7 / side B 1.65. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.5, draw 3.5, side B 1.65; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.4, side B 1.67; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 3.7, side B 1.65; marathonbet: side A 5.85, draw 3.74, side B 1.7. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; correct scores 0-0 7.5, 0-1 4.75, 0-2 6; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 7.5, 0-1 5.5, 0-2 7; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; correct scores 0-0 8, 0-1 6, 0-2 7.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Haiti, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Morocco:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Brazil, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-07T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Madagascar, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-26T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Burundi, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Paraguay, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T20:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-29T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Zambia, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-26T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mali, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-21T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Comoros, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-15T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. Check team ranking facts

    #9

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-19 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-19 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check tournament context

    #11

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Scotland vs Morocco group context: Group C; visible fixtures show 2 completed matches and 4 remaining. Current group table: Scotland 3 pts/1 played; Brazil 1 pts/1 played; Morocco 1 pts/1 played; Haiti 0 pts/1 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Brazil can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Haiti can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Morocco can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Scotland can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Scotland vs Morocco; Brazil vs Haiti; Scotland vs Brazil; Morocco vs Haiti. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  13. Check head-to-head

    #12

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  14. Perspective analysis: Scotland's opening 1-0 win over Haiti (the group's weakest side) versus Morocco's 1-1 draw with Brazil (the group's strongest side). The opponent quality gap is stark: Haiti are 0 pts and likely the bottom team, while Brazil are perennial contenders. Scotland managed only a narrow one-goal margin against Haiti, whereas Morocco held Brazil to a draw. Bookmaker odds overwhelmingly back Morocco (~56% implied win probability), and the odds movement since the last update shows a

  15. The opening-match contrast is stark: Morocco held elite Brazil to a 1-1 draw, while Scotland managed only a single-goal margin against group minnows Haiti. Bookmaker odds heavily back Morocco (implied ~56% win probability, with the latest movement drifting further in Morocco's favor). Scotland's pre-tournament friendly losses to Ivory Coast and Japan at home, combined with Morocco's strong overall form including dominant wins over Madagascar and Burundi, support the odds-based assessment. No inj

Conclusion note

Morocco's opening 1-1 draw with Brazil far outweighs Scotland's narrow 1-0 win over Haiti in opponent quality, and bookmaker consensus gives Morocco a 56% implied win probability with odds around 1.65; Scotland lead Group C on three points but face a much sterner test here, and their recent home friendly defeats to Ivory Coast and Japan reinforce the gap.

Synthesis

Pre-match betting odds heavily favour Morocco (around 56% implied win probability) and all three analysis perspectives point to a Morocco victory. Morocco arrive unbeaten in ten matches, including a 1-1 draw with Brazil, and have recorded convincing wins over Madagascar, Burundi and Paraguay. Scotland's recent wins came against low-ranked opponents (Haiti, Bolivia, Curaçao), while they lost home friendlies to Ivory Coast and Japan when facing stronger sides. The opening World Cup match contrast is stark: Morocco held Brazil level, whereas Scotland managed only a single-goal win over group underdogs Haiti. The bookmaker consensus and the latest odds movement reinforce the gap between the sides. Although no head-to-head data and missing lineups prevent a higher-confidence prediction, the available evidence gives Morocco a clear edge over Scotland.

Reasoning summary: The betting market implies a 56% win probability for Morocco, backed by recent odds movement and their impressive unbeaten run that includes a draw with Brazil. Scotland's form is weaker, with victories only against minnows and defeats to mid-tier opponents. All three independent perspectives unanimously favour Morocco, and the opening match performances further strengthen the case. The final prediction reflects this consensus but assigns moderate confidence due to the absence of direct head-to-

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Brazil vs Morocco Preview editionRecall anchors: bra mar group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Brazil win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Brazil win 60.0%; draw 25.0%; Morocco win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Brazil 2-0 Morocco, Brazil 1-1 Morocco, Brazil 2relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Haiti vs Scotland Preview editionRecall anchors: hai sco group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Scotland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Haiti win 16.3%; draw 22.6%; Scotland win 61.1%. Top-3 scorelines: Haiti 0-1 Scotland, Haiti 0-2 Scotland, Haiti relevance 0.50