DeepSeek V4 Flash · Japan vs Sweden

JapanvsSweden
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win58%Miss
BetHome win$400Aligned
Post-match result1-1
Net P&L-$400
PredictionConfidence: 58%
Home win

Both perspective analyses agree that Japan are the clear favourites based on their superior performances against shared opponents: Japan drew 2–2 away to Netherlands while Sweden lost 1–5 away, and Japan won 4–0 away to Tunisia while Sweden won 5–1 at home. The betting market also strongly favours Japan with a 49.6% implied win probability against 22.7% for Sweden, and a slight late drift away from Japan is marginal. The group standings (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) add motivation for Japan to push for a win. However, Sweden’s 22.7% chance and the draw possibility (27.7% in the market) keep uncertainty tangible, reflected in a moderate confidence level of 58%.

Bet
Home win$4003 bets
Net P&L-$400
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $200
    odds 1.88Settled: loss-$200

    Betting rationale：Favorite conviction play. Japan are in outstanding form – unbeaten in five, four wins, five clean sheets in their last six matches. Sweden conceded 14 goals in their last five games and lost 5-1 to a Netherlands side Japan held to 2-2. The model gives Japan a 60% win probability, while Pinnacle's implied probability is ~53.2%, yielding a clear +6.8% edge at the executable price. The match script projects Japan controlling possession and finding a goal against a vulnerable Swedish defence, while

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $5,440.95

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $150
    odds 1.87Settled: loss-$150

    Betting rationale：Football posture: favorite conviction with a measured add. Japan have been superb against shared opponents — drew 2–2 away to Netherlands while Sweden lost 1–5 away, and beat Tunisia 4–0 away while Sweden won 5–1 at home. The model gives Japan a +0.045 edge at Pinnacle (1.870) with 58% confidence. Japan sit 4th in the group and need a win to seal qualification; Sweden must chase, which could open space for Japan's counter-attacks. The 33°C heat and strong wind in Dallas add uncertainty but Japan

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $5,440.95

  • Correct score 1-0Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 1-0

    $50
    odds 8.00Settled: loss-$50

    Betting rationale：Satellite correct-score bet: Japan's tournament form shows defensive solidity (2 goals conceded in 3 matches) and Sweden's aggressive style leaves gaps at the back. The predicted 1-0 scoreline (model probability 0.14) aligns with a tight, disciplined Japan performance, possibly settled by a set piece or counter-attack. Price 8.0 offers slight edge over fair value ~7.1. Small stake fits the lottery nature of correct-score markets while complementing existing 1x2 Japan exposure.

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $5,440.95

Post-match result1-1
Outcome missedScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 58%Draw 23%Away win 19%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-0
  2. #21-1Hit
  3. #32-0

Analysis brief

  • - Comparing performances against shared opponents Netherlands and Tunisia shows Japan with a clear edge: a creditable away draw versus the Dutch compared to Sweden's heavy away defeat, and a dominant away win over Tunisia that arguably outweighs Sweden's home win. The odds (Japan ~1.90, Sweden ~4.10) reinforce this assessment, and the group context (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) adds further incentive. Japan are the justified favourites.
  • - The consensus implied probabilities (Japan 49.6%, draw 27.7%, Sweden 22.7%) are consistent with recent form: Japan's run of 8 wins in 10 outings, including competitive World Cup results, justifies clear favoritism. Sweden's mixed sequence (heavy 1-5 loss to Netherlands, 5-1 win over Tunisia) explains the lower but non-negligible 22.7% chance. The late odds shift away from Japan is small (-1.47pp) and within normal variance. Group stakes (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) add tension but do not contradi

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: ned jpn group_f_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Netherlands win with confidence 0.50. Probability distribution: Netherlands win 50.0%; draw 28.0%; Japan win 22.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Netherlands 1-0 Japan, Netherlands 2-0 Japan
  • - Recall anchors: ned jpn group_f_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Netherlands win with confidence 0.49. Probability distribution: Netherlands win 49.0%; draw 27.0%; Japan win 24.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Netherlands 1-0 Japan, Netherlands 1-1
  • - Recall anchors: swe tun group_f_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Sweden win with confidence 0.58. Probability distribution: Sweden win 58.0%; draw 26.0%; Tunisia win 16.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Sweden 1-0 Tunisia, Sweden 2-0 Tunisia, Sweden
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.97Log loss 1.47

Meta thinking

  • Recent form through shared opponentsAnalyse Japan and Sweden performances against common World Cup 2026 opponents (Netherlands, Tunisia) to gauge relative strength from comparable matches.
  • Market odds consensusExamine the 13 captured odds to derive aggregate implied probabilities and check whether the market pricing aligns with recent form indicators.

Tokens: 3222

Perspectives

Recent form through shared opponentsHome winComparing performances against shared opponents Netherlands and Tunisia shows Japan with a clear edge: a creditable away draw versus the Dutch compared to Sweden's heavy away defeat, and a dominant away win over Tunisia that arguably outweighs Sweden's home win. The odds (Japan ~1.90, Sweden ~4.10) reinforce this assessment, and the group context (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) adds further incentive. Japan are the justified favourites.58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form through shared opponents

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Japan vs SWE. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T23:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-24T23:12:16Z); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Japan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Japan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Sweden: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Sweden: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 14, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 49.6%, draw 27.7%, side B win 22.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-25T08:04:18Z -> 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -1.47pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win +0.77pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.86 / draw 3.45 / side B 4.2 → side A 1.9 / draw 3.35 / side B 4.1; william_hill side A 1.8 / draw 3.6 / side B 4 → side A 1.91 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.8; bet365 side A 1.85 / draw 3.5 / side B 4.33 → side A 1.91 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.1. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.9, draw 3.35, side B 4.1; william_hill: side A 1.91, draw 3.4, side B 3.8; bet365: side A 1.91, draw 3.4, side B 4.1; marathonbet: side A 1.94, draw 3.48, side B 4.5. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 8.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Japan:

    • 2026-06-21T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Tunisia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-14T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T10:25:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against England, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T10:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Brazil, home/away home, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-10-10T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Paraguay, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-09-09T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Sweden:

    • 2026-06-20T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2026-06-15T02:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Greece, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-06-01T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2025-06-10T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Algeria, home/away home, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Hungary, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T18:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away home, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-22T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Azerbaijan, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Slovakia, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Japan vs Sweden group context: Group F; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Netherlands 4 pts/2 played; Japan 4 pts/2 played; Sweden 3 pts/2 played; Tunisia 0 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Japan can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Netherlands can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Sweden can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Tunisia can finish from rank 3 to 4; points enumeration cannot reach first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Japan vs Sweden; Tunisia vs Netherlands. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-25 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-25 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Perspective: shared-opponent analysis (Netherlands & Tunisia). Japan drew 2-2 away vs Netherlands (Sweden lost 1-5 away) and won 4-0 away vs Tunisia (Sweden won 5-1 home). Japan outperformed Sweden against both common opponents. Odds consensus (49.6% Japan, 22.7% Sweden) aligns with this edge. Group context: Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts. Prediction: Japan win.

  14. Comparing performances against shared opponents Netherlands and Tunisia shows Japan with a clear edge: a creditable away draw versus the Dutch compared to Sweden's heavy away defeat, and a dominant away win over Tunisia that arguably outweighs Sweden's home win. The odds (Japan ~1.90, Sweden ~4.10) reinforce this assessment, and the group context (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) adds further incentive. Japan are the justified favourites.

Conclusion note

Japan have clearly outperformed Sweden against their two common World Cup 2026 opponents: Japan drew 2-2 away against Netherlands while Sweden lost 1-5 away, and Japan won 4-0 away against Tunisia while Sweden won 5-1 at home (a less impressive result given home advantage). The betting market consensus also strongly favors Japan, giving them a 49.6% implied win probability versus 22.7% for Sweden.

Market odds consensusHome winThe consensus implied probabilities (Japan 49.6%, draw 27.7%, Sweden 22.7%) are consistent with recent form: Japan's run of 8 wins in 10 outings, including competitive World Cup results, justifies clear favoritism. Sweden's mixed sequence (heavy 1-5 loss to Netherlands, 5-1 win over Tunisia) explains the lower but non-negligible 22.7% chance. The late odds shift away from Japan is small (-1.47pp) and within normal variance. Group stakes (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) add tension but do not contradi58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds consensus

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Japan vs SWE. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T23:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-24T23:12:16Z); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Japan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Japan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Sweden: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Sweden: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 14, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 49.6%, draw 27.7%, side B win 22.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-25T08:04:18Z -> 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -1.47pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win +0.77pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.86 / draw 3.45 / side B 4.2 → side A 1.9 / draw 3.35 / side B 4.1; william_hill side A 1.8 / draw 3.6 / side B 4 → side A 1.91 / draw 3.4 / side B 3.8; bet365 side A 1.85 / draw 3.5 / side B 4.33 → side A 1.91 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.1. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.9, draw 3.35, side B 4.1; william_hill: side A 1.91, draw 3.4, side B 3.8; bet365: side A 1.91, draw 3.4, side B 4.1; marathonbet: side A 1.94, draw 3.48, side B 4.5. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 8.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Japan:

    • 2026-06-21T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Tunisia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-14T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T10:25:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against England, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T10:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Brazil, home/away home, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-10-10T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Paraguay, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-09-09T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Sweden:

    • 2026-06-20T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2026-06-15T02:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Greece, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-06-01T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2025-06-10T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Algeria, home/away home, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Hungary, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T18:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away home, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-22T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Azerbaijan, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Slovakia, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. Japan vs Sweden group context: Group F; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Netherlands 4 pts/2 played; Japan 4 pts/2 played; Sweden 3 pts/2 played; Tunisia 0 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Japan can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Netherlands can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Sweden can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Tunisia can finish from rank 3 to 4; points enumeration cannot reach first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Japan vs Sweden; Tunisia vs Netherlands. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-25 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T12:15:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-25 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Market odds consensus perspective: Japan (49.6% implied) is the clear market favorite over Sweden (22.7%), with draw at 27.7%. Late odds movement shows a very slight shift away from Japan (-1.47pp) but not a structural change. Recent form strongly supports Japan's favoritism (8 wins in 10, including 4-0 vs Tunisia and 2-2 vs Netherlands) versus Sweden's mixed form (5-1 vs Tunisia but 1-5 vs Netherlands). Group context (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) raises stakes but doesn't contradict the odds. Ver

  14. The consensus implied probabilities (Japan 49.6%, draw 27.7%, Sweden 22.7%) are consistent with recent form: Japan's run of 8 wins in 10 outings, including competitive World Cup results, justifies clear favoritism. Sweden's mixed sequence (heavy 1-5 loss to Netherlands, 5-1 win over Tunisia) explains the lower but non-negligible 22.7% chance. The late odds shift away from Japan is small (-1.47pp) and within normal variance. Group stakes (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) add tension but do not contradi

Conclusion note

Market odds consensus gives Japan a 49.6% implied win probability versus Sweden's 22.7%, aligning with Japan's exceptional recent form (8 wins in 10, including a 4-0 World Cup victory over Tunisia and a 2-2 draw with Netherlands). A slight late drift away from Japan (-1.47pp) is marginal and does not override the structural market view that Japan is the likelier winner.

Synthesis

Both perspective analyses agree that Japan are the clear favourites based on their superior performances against shared opponents: Japan drew 2–2 away to Netherlands while Sweden lost 1–5 away, and Japan won 4–0 away to Tunisia while Sweden won 5–1 at home. The betting market also strongly favours Japan with a 49.6% implied win probability against 22.7% for Sweden, and a slight late drift away from Japan is marginal. The group standings (Japan 4 pts, Sweden 3 pts) add motivation for Japan to push for a win. However, Sweden’s 22.7% chance and the draw possibility (27.7% in the market) keep uncertainty tangible, reflected in a moderate confidence level of 58%.

Reasoning summary: Both perspectives used the same shared-opponents comparison and market odds to favour Japan. Recalled predictions from earlier matches corroborate the relative strengths: Japan held Netherlands away and won convincingly in Tunisia, whereas Sweden lost heavily in the Netherlands and won at home against Tunisia. The convergent evidence yields a Japan win as the most probable outcome with 58% confidence.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Netherlands vs Japan Late editionRecall anchors: ned jpn group_f_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Netherlands win with confidence 0.50. Probability distribution: Netherlands win 50.0%; draw 28.0%; Japan win 22.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Netherlands 1-0 Japan, Netherlands 2-0 Japanrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Netherlands vs Japan Actionable editionRecall anchors: ned jpn group_f_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Netherlands win with confidence 0.49. Probability distribution: Netherlands win 49.0%; draw 27.0%; Japan win 24.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Netherlands 1-0 Japan, Netherlands 1-1relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Sweden vs Tunisia Actionable editionRecall anchors: swe tun group_f_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Sweden win with confidence 0.58. Probability distribution: Sweden win 58.0%; draw 26.0%; Tunisia win 16.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Sweden 1-0 Tunisia, Sweden 2-0 Tunisia, Swedenrelevance 0.50