MiMo V2.5 Pro · Haiti vs Scotland

HaitivsScotland
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Preview
PredictionAway win64%Hit
BetAway win$350Aligned
Post-match result0-1
Net P&L+$206.5
PredictionConfidence: 64%
Away win

All three independent analysis perspectives converge on a Scotland (side_b) win. The market consensus across 14 bookmakers gives Scotland a 61.1% implied win probability with virtually no odds movement, reflecting strong confidence. Scotland's recent form is dominant, with 12 goals scored and only 3 conceded in their last 5 matches, including high-scoring wins over Bolivia and Curaçao. The venue is a neutral World Cup stadium in the USA, so Haiti's nominal 'home' status provides no meaningful advantage. Scotland's superior quality, consistent attacking output, and strong recent away record make them clear favorites. The top predicted scorelines reflect Scotland's expected offensive output against a defensively inconsistent Haiti.

Bet
Away win$350
Net P&L+$206.5
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $350
    odds 1.59Settled: win+$206.5

    Betting rationale：Football posture: Favorite conviction with slight value. Scotland are clearly the stronger side with dominant recent form (12 goals scored, 3 conceded in last 5 including convincing away wins over Bolivia 4-0 and Curaçao 4-1). Haiti's form is inconsistent with losses to Peru and Tunisia, and their nominal 'home' status is meaningless at a neutral World Cup venue in Foxborough. Model gives Scotland 64% win probability vs ~62% implied by execution odds at Pinnacle (1.590), yielding a small but pos

    Payout: $556.5 · Balance after: $11,070.2

Post-match result0-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 15%Draw 21%Away win 64%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #10-2
  2. #21-2
  3. #30-1Hit

Analysis brief

  • - The bookmaker market assigns Scotland a strong 61.1% win probability with virtually no odds movement across 14 sampled bookmakers, reflecting high confidence in the pricing. This stable consensus aligns with Scotland's superior competitive pedigree—recent results against European sides like Croatia, Poland, and Portugal—and contrasts with Haiti's mixed form against modest opposition. The extremely low goals line (0.5 over at ~1.01–1.05) confirms market expectation of scoring, consistent with Sco
  • - Scotland's recent form is markedly superior: higher win rate (60% vs 20%), significantly better goal difference (+9 vs +1), stronger scoring output (2.4 vs 1.4 goals/game), and tighter defense (0.6 vs 1.2 goals conceded/game). Scotland's attacking form in particular—8 goals in their last 2 friendlies—suggests confidence entering this World Cup opener. Haiti's recent record shows vulnerability against moderate competition (losses to Peru, Tunisia, USA) with only one convincing win against weaker
  • - From a home/away context perspective, the 'home' designation for Haiti at this neutral US World Cup venue offers no genuine familiarity advantage — Boston Stadium has no recorded history for either team. Scotland has demonstrated strong recent away form (3 wins from 4 away matches including results against Poland and Bolivia). The 40-place FIFA ranking gap and 61.1% bookmaker-implied probability for Scotland align with the away side being significantly stronger. Without meaningful home advantage
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.20Log loss 0.45

Meta thinking

  • Market Odds AnalysisExamine the captured odds to understand bookmaker expectations and market sentiment, focusing on implied probabilities and how they align with observable team data.
  • Recent Form ComparisonEvaluate the visible recent match records for both Haiti and Scotland to assess patterns in scoring, defensive stability, and overall momentum over their last five games.
  • Home/Away Context InvestigationInvestigate the schedule-listed home side for Haiti and Scotland's away record in recent matches, considering potential influences from venue familiarity and travel, without assuming advantage.

Tokens: 3078

Perspectives

Market Odds AnalysisAway winThe bookmaker market assigns Scotland a strong 61.1% win probability with virtually no odds movement across 14 sampled bookmakers, reflecting high confidence in the pricing. This stable consensus aligns with Scotland's superior competitive pedigree—recent results against European sides like Croatia, Poland, and Portugal—and contrasts with Haiti's mixed form against modest opposition. The extremely low goals line (0.5 over at ~1.01–1.05) confirms market expectation of scoring, consistent with Sco62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market Odds Analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Sint Maarten, home/away away, score 8-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-10-12T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #9

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  11. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  12. The bookmaker market assigns Scotland a strong 61.1% win probability with virtually no odds movement across 14 sampled bookmakers, reflecting high confidence in the pricing. This stable consensus aligns with Scotland's superior competitive pedigree—recent results against European sides like Croatia, Poland, and Portugal—and contrasts with Haiti's mixed form against modest opposition. The extremely low goals line (0.5 over at ~1.01–1.05) confirms market expectation of scoring, consistent with Sco

Conclusion note

Market consensus across 14 bookmaker samples gives Scotland a dominant 61.1% implied win probability versus Haiti's 16.3% and a 22.6% draw probability. The odds are remarkably stable with near-zero movement across seven update points, indicating settled market expectations with no drift. Representative lines from 10bet (1.57), William Hill (1.50), bet365 (1.57), and Marathonbet (1.57) all place Scotland as heavy favorites in a tight 1.50–1.57 range. Extended market pricing on total goals 0.5 at 1.05/1.01 strongly suggests at least one goal is expected, likely from Scotland given their favorite status. Scotland's recent form includes dominant wins over Bolivia (4-0) and Curaçao (4-1), plus quality results against Croatia and Poland in UEFA Nations League, while Haiti's wins have come mostly against lower-ranked sides. The market pricing aligns with a clear quality gap favoring Scotland.

Recent Form ComparisonAway winScotland's recent form is markedly superior: higher win rate (60% vs 20%), significantly better goal difference (+9 vs +1), stronger scoring output (2.4 vs 1.4 goals/game), and tighter defense (0.6 vs 1.2 goals conceded/game). Scotland's attacking form in particular—8 goals in their last 2 friendlies—suggests confidence entering this World Cup opener. Haiti's recent record shows vulnerability against moderate competition (losses to Peru, Tunisia, USA) with only one convincing win against weaker67%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent Form Comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Sint Maarten, home/away away, score 8-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-10-12T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Check recent form

    #9

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  13. Scotland's recent form is markedly superior: higher win rate (60% vs 20%), significantly better goal difference (+9 vs +1), stronger scoring output (2.4 vs 1.4 goals/game), and tighter defense (0.6 vs 1.2 goals conceded/game). Scotland's attacking form in particular—8 goals in their last 2 friendlies—suggests confidence entering this World Cup opener. Haiti's recent record shows vulnerability against moderate competition (losses to Peru, Tunisia, USA) with only one convincing win against weaker

Conclusion note

Recent form comparison heavily favors Scotland. Over their last 5 matches, Scotland have 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, scoring 12 goals (2.4/game) and conceding 3 (0.6/game), including dominant 4-0 wins over Bolivia and Liechtenstein plus a 4-1 over Curaçao. Their two losses came only against strong opponents Japan and Ivory Coast (both 0-1). Haiti in contrast have 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses, scoring 7 (1.4/game) and conceding 6 (1.2/game). Their sole win was 4-0 vs New Zealand, followed immediately by a 1-2 home loss to Peru. Haiti's form is inconsistent with defensive vulnerability, while Scotland carry attacking momentum with 8 goals in their last 2 matches. Bookmaker consensus (61.1% implied for Scotland) aligns with this form gap.

Home/Away Context InvestigationAway winFrom a home/away context perspective, the 'home' designation for Haiti at this neutral US World Cup venue offers no genuine familiarity advantage — Boston Stadium has no recorded history for either team. Scotland has demonstrated strong recent away form (3 wins from 4 away matches including results against Poland and Bolivia). The 40-place FIFA ranking gap and 61.1% bookmaker-implied probability for Scotland align with the away side being significantly stronger. Without meaningful home advantage62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Home/Away Context Investigation

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Sint Maarten, home/away away, score 8-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-10-12T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Check team ranking facts

    #9

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 83. points 1291.71; previous rank 83; previous points 1294.49; rated matches 34; confederation CONCACAF.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Scotland's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 43. points 1498.35; previous rank 38; previous points 1506.77; rated matches 49; confederation UEFA.

  12. Check stadium history

    #11

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. match records: no items.

  13. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #12

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  14. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  15. From a home/away context perspective, the 'home' designation for Haiti at this neutral US World Cup venue offers no genuine familiarity advantage — Boston Stadium has no recorded history for either team. Scotland has demonstrated strong recent away form (3 wins from 4 away matches including results against Poland and Bolivia). The 40-place FIFA ranking gap and 61.1% bookmaker-implied probability for Scotland align with the away side being significantly stronger. Without meaningful home advantage

Conclusion note

Haiti holds the schedule-listed 'home' designation at Boston Stadium (Gillette Stadium, Foxborough), but this is a neutral World Cup venue in the USA — not Haiti's actual home ground. The 'home' label provides minimal practical advantage: neither team has recorded prior matches at this stadium, and both face unfamiliar surroundings. Scotland's recent away record is solid: 3 wins in 4 away matches (4-0 vs Bolivia, 4-0 vs Liechtenstein, 2-1 vs Poland; only loss 1-2 at Croatia). Haiti's recent 'home' results are mixed (loss to Peru, win vs New Zealand, draw with Iceland, loss to Tunisia), suggesting inconsistency even when nominally at home. Scotland's FIFA ranking (43) sits 40 places above Haiti (83), and bookmaker consensus assigns Scotland a 61.1% win probability with stable odds. The neutral venue eliminates any meaningful home advantage for Haiti, while Scotland's superior quality and competent away form support an away win.

Synthesis

All three independent analysis perspectives converge on a Scotland (side_b) win. The market consensus across 14 bookmakers gives Scotland a 61.1% implied win probability with virtually no odds movement, reflecting strong confidence. Scotland's recent form is dominant, with 12 goals scored and only 3 conceded in their last 5 matches, including high-scoring wins over Bolivia and Curaçao. The venue is a neutral World Cup stadium in the USA, so Haiti's nominal 'home' status provides no meaningful advantage. Scotland's superior quality, consistent attacking output, and strong recent away record make them clear favorites. The top predicted scorelines reflect Scotland's expected offensive output against a defensively inconsistent Haiti.

Reasoning summary: Market, form, and venue analyses all favor Scotland. Bookmaker consensus is stable at ~61% for a Scotland win. Scotland's recent attacking form (2.4 goals/game) contrasts with Haiti's inconsistent results and defensive record (1.2 goals conceded/game). The neutral venue negates any potential home advantage for Haiti. The main uncertainty is whether Haiti can hold a draw, but Scotland's quality and momentum support a narrow to comfortable win.