DeepSeek V4 Pro · Haiti vs Scotland

HaitivsScotland
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4 ProDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Preview
PredictionAway win61%Hit
BetAway win$350Aligned
Post-match result0-1
Net P&L+$206.5
PredictionConfidence: 61%
Away win

The prediction is based on three independent perspectives — pre‑match odds, recent form, and squad landscape — all of which strongly favor Scotland. The betting market across 14 bookmakers implies a 61.1% probability for a Scotland win, with tight prices and minimal movement. Haiti’s recent form (W1-D1-L3) includes only a win over low‑ranked New Zealand and losses to stronger opponents, while Scotland (W3-L2) recorded convincing wins over Bolivia, Curaçao and Liechtenstein. Both teams have full squads available with no injuries or suspensions, and the match is at a neutral venue in Boston. Scotland’s superior FIFA ranking (#43 vs #83) and their ability to dominate teams at Haiti’s level further support the outlook. The main counterpoint is that Haiti have been defensively resilient in narrow defeats to sides such as Peru and Tunisia, and Scotland have struggled to score against top‑60 opponents. Nevertheless, the weight of evidence clearly points to a Scotland victory; a draw is the most likely alternative, while a Haiti win would represent a significant upset. The listed scorelines reflect Scotland’s expected control: 0‑1 and 0‑2 are the top outcomes, with 1‑1 as the leading draw. Confidence is set to the market‑implied probability of 61.1%, which aligns with the other evidence.

Bet
Away win$350
Net P&L+$206.5
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $350
    odds 1.59Settled: win+$206.5

    Betting rationale：Football posture: favorite conviction. Scotland open their World Cup campaign against a Haiti side that has only beaten low-ranked New Zealand in recent months while losing narrowly to Peru, Tunisia, and the USA. Scotland arrive off convincing wins over Bolivia and Curaçao, with only tight losses to Ivory Coast and Japan. The talent gap is real—FIFA #43 vs #83—and in a neutral-venue group opener, Scotland should impose themselves. Haiti may keep it tight early, but Scotland's control and deeper

    Payout: $556.5 · Balance after: $11,084

Post-match result0-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 16%Draw 23%Away win 61%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #10-1Hit
  2. #20-2
  3. #31-1

Analysis brief

  • - The pre-match odds from 14 bookmakers form a tight consensus around a Scotland win (~61% implied probability). Odds are stable with negligible movement, no inter-bookmaker discrepancies, and moderate overround. This is the single strongest piece of evidence available. Haiti's form against stronger opponents (losses to Peru, USA, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia) and Scotland's wins over Bolivia, Curaçao, Poland, and Croatia are directionally consistent with the odds. Missing lineup/injury/weather/ranking d
  • - Comparing last-five form: Scotland won three comfortably against weaker teams but lost without scoring to stronger ones; Haiti struggled against better opponents but only beat New Zealand. Scotland's wins over Bolivia and Curaçao show they can dominate teams around Haiti's level, while Haiti's narrow defeats to mid-tier sides suggest they may keep it close. Overall, Scotland's superior quality and scoring momentum against lower-ranked teams make an away win the most likely outcome, with moderate
  • - Evidence: odds consensus implies Scotland win ~61%, stable across 14 bookmakers; FIFA ranking Scotland #43 vs Haiti #83; both teams report zero injuries/suspensions, full squads available. Recent form: Scotland 5W-1D-4L against mixed UEFA-quality opposition including wins over Croatia and Poland; Haiti 4W-2D-4L with wins only against weak sides and losses to every stronger opponent. Group C opener at neutral venue. The squad-availability perspective confirms both sides can field best XIs, which
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.23Log loss 0.49

Meta thinking

  • Pre-match odds analysisExamine the 14 captured odds from various bookmakers at the snapshot time to derive market-implied probabilities for a Haiti win, draw, or Scotland win. Note any discrepancies between bookmakers or shifts if live odds were available.
  • Recent form and goal trendsCompare the last five matches for both Haiti and Scotland, including opponent quality, match location, and results. Assess scoring consistency, defensive vulnerabilities, and performance against similar-level opponents to gauge current momentum.
  • Squad and injury landscapeBoth teams currently report zero injuries, suggesting key players are available. However, lineups are not yet captured, so potential tactical changes or unavailability remain unknown. Monitor any late squad news for impact on match approach.

Tokens: 4566

Perspectives

Pre-match odds analysisAway winThe pre-match odds from 14 bookmakers form a tight consensus around a Scotland win (~61% implied probability). Odds are stable with negligible movement, no inter-bookmaker discrepancies, and moderate overround. This is the single strongest piece of evidence available. Haiti's form against stronger opponents (losses to Peru, USA, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia) and Scotland's wins over Bolivia, Curaçao, Poland, and Croatia are directionally consistent with the odds. Missing lineup/injury/weather/ranking d60%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Pre-match odds analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Sint Maarten, home/away away, score 8-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-10-12T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #9

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  11. Check tournament context

    #10

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti vs Scotland group context: Group C; visible fixtures show 0 completed matches and 6 remaining. Current group table: Brazil 0 pts/0 played; Haiti 0 pts/0 played; Morocco 0 pts/0 played; Scotland 0 pts/0 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Brazil can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Haiti can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Morocco can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Scotland can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Brazil vs Morocco; Haiti vs Scotland; Scotland vs Morocco; Brazil vs Haiti. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. team_haiti's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-14 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Check team ranking facts

    #12

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. team_scotland's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-14 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  14. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  15. The pre-match odds from 14 bookmakers form a tight consensus around a Scotland win (~61% implied probability). Odds are stable with negligible movement, no inter-bookmaker discrepancies, and moderate overround. This is the single strongest piece of evidence available. Haiti's form against stronger opponents (losses to Peru, USA, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia) and Scotland's wins over Bolivia, Curaçao, Poland, and Croatia are directionally consistent with the odds. Missing lineup/injury/weather/ranking d

Conclusion note

Across 14 bookmakers, the latest consensus implied probabilities are Haiti 16.3%, Draw 22.6%, Scotland 61.1%. Scotland's odds range narrowly from 1.50 to 1.57 with no outlier prices, and odds have been virtually static across the last two update windows — indicating a stable, high-confidence market assessment. The overround is moderate, so the implied probabilities reliably reflect market expectation. Extended goal markets (over 0.5 at 1.01–1.05) signal a goal-rich match, consistent with Scotland being expected to dominate. No contradictory evidence from form, venue, or availability data offsets this strong market signal. Confidence is tempered by the absence of lineups, weather, FIFA rankings, and head-to-head data.

Recent form and goal trendsAway winComparing last-five form: Scotland won three comfortably against weaker teams but lost without scoring to stronger ones; Haiti struggled against better opponents but only beat New Zealand. Scotland's wins over Bolivia and Curaçao show they can dominate teams around Haiti's level, while Haiti's narrow defeats to mid-tier sides suggest they may keep it close. Overall, Scotland's superior quality and scoring momentum against lower-ranked teams make an away win the most likely outcome, with moderate62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form and goal trends

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Sint Maarten, home/away away, score 8-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-10-12T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Check team process facts

    #9

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti recent sample: 10 visible matches, with detailed data for 0. record 4W-2D-4L；goals for/against 22/8, per-match 2.2/0.8。 Event sample: scored first in 0, conceded first in 0. Coverage notes: player-performance data covers only part of the sample；some match details are unavailable；statistics cover only part of the sample.

  11. Check team process facts

    #10

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Scotland recent sample: 10 visible matches, with detailed data for 0. record 5W-1D-4L；goals for/against 17/9, per-match 1.7/0.9。 Event sample: scored first in 0, conceded first in 0. Coverage notes: some match details are unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 83. points 1291.71; previous rank 83; previous points 1294.49; rated matches 34; confederation CONCACAF.

  13. Check team ranking facts

    #12

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Scotland's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 43. points 1498.35; previous rank 38; previous points 1506.77; rated matches 49; confederation UEFA.

  14. Check tournament context

    #13

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti vs Scotland group context: Group C; visible fixtures show 0 completed matches and 6 remaining. Current group table: Brazil 0 pts/0 played; Haiti 0 pts/0 played; Morocco 0 pts/0 played; Scotland 0 pts/0 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Brazil can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Haiti can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Morocco can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Scotland can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Brazil vs Morocco; Haiti vs Scotland; Scotland vs Morocco; Brazil vs Haiti. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  15. Check match details

    #14

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  16. Check detailed weather

    #15

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  17. Check head-to-head

    #16

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  18. Check stadium history

    #17

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. match records: no items.

  19. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  20. Comparing last-five form: Scotland won three comfortably against weaker teams but lost without scoring to stronger ones; Haiti struggled against better opponents but only beat New Zealand. Scotland's wins over Bolivia and Curaçao show they can dominate teams around Haiti's level, while Haiti's narrow defeats to mid-tier sides suggest they may keep it close. Overall, Scotland's superior quality and scoring momentum against lower-ranked teams make an away win the most likely outcome, with moderate

Conclusion note

Haiti's last five: W1-D1-L3 (7 scored, 6 conceded), beating only New Zealand while losing narrowly to Peru, Tunisia and the USA. Scotland's last five: W3-L2 (12 scored, 3 conceded), thrashing Bolivia, Curaçao and Liechtenstein but failing to score against Ivory Coast and Japan. Scotland's heavy wins came against opponents of similar or lower stature than Haiti, suggesting their attack can exploit weaker defences. Haiti have been competitive against stronger sides but ultimately lose those matches. Scotland's superior FIFA ranking (43 vs 83) and the market odds (implied 61% Scotland win) align with the form trend. The main uncertainty is whether Scotland can break down a Haiti defence that concedes few goals against modest opposition.

Squad and injury landscapeAway winEvidence: odds consensus implies Scotland win ~61%, stable across 14 bookmakers; FIFA ranking Scotland #43 vs Haiti #83; both teams report zero injuries/suspensions, full squads available. Recent form: Scotland 5W-1D-4L against mixed UEFA-quality opposition including wins over Croatia and Poland; Haiti 4W-2D-4L with wins only against weak sides and losses to every stronger opponent. Group C opener at neutral venue. The squad-availability perspective confirms both sides can field best XIs, which62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Squad and injury landscape

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Fixture: HAI vs SCO. Kickoff: 2026-06-13T21:00:00-04:00. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Scotland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T21:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Sint Maarten, home/away away, score 8-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Scotland:

    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bolivia, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-09T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Liechtenstein, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-06T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Poland, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-11-15T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-15T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Portugal, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-10-12T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Croatia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti vs Scotland group context: Group C; visible fixtures show 0 completed matches and 6 remaining. Current group table: Brazil 0 pts/0 played; Haiti 0 pts/0 played; Morocco 0 pts/0 played; Scotland 0 pts/0 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Brazil can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Haiti can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Morocco can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Scotland can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Brazil vs Morocco; Haiti vs Scotland; Scotland vs Morocco; Brazil vs Haiti. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 83. points 1291.71; previous rank 83; previous points 1294.49; rated matches 34; confederation CONCACAF.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Scotland's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 43. points 1498.35; previous rank 38; previous points 1506.77; rated matches 49; confederation UEFA.

  13. Check detailed weather

    #12

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  14. Check team process facts

    #13

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Haiti recent sample: 10 visible matches, with detailed data for 0. record 4W-2D-4L；goals for/against 22/8, per-match 2.2/0.8。 Event sample: scored first in 0, conceded first in 0. Coverage notes: player-performance data covers only part of the sample；some match details are unavailable；statistics cover only part of the sample.

  15. Check team process facts

    #14

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Scotland recent sample: 10 visible matches, with detailed data for 0. record 5W-1D-4L；goals for/against 17/9, per-match 1.7/0.9。 Event sample: scored first in 0, conceded first in 0. Coverage notes: some match details are unavailable.

  16. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #15

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. Visible odds update points: 7, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.3%, draw 22.6%, side B win 61.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-12T12:30:19Z -> 2026-06-12T16:19:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0pp, draw -0pp, side B win +0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.6 / draw 4.1 / side B 1.57; william_hill side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5 → side A 6 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.5; bet365 side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.25 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.57. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.6, draw 4.1, side B 1.57; william_hill: side A 6, draw 4.2, side B 1.5; bet365: side A 5.25, draw 4.33, side B 1.57; marathonbet: side A 5.8, draw 4.3, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.

  17. Check stadium history

    #16

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-13T09:11:36Z. match records: no items.

  18. Squad and injury assessment for Haiti vs Scotland: Both teams report zero injuries, no suspensions. Full squads available for this Group C opener. No lineups captured yet, so starting XI uncertainties remain. Market odds heavily favor Scotland (~61% implied probability), consistent with the 40-place FIFA ranking gap (Scotland #43, Haiti #83). Recent form: Scotland has tested stronger European opponents (wins over Croatia, Poland; draw with Portugal), while Haiti's wins came against lower-tier si

  19. Evidence: odds consensus implies Scotland win ~61%, stable across 14 bookmakers; FIFA ranking Scotland #43 vs Haiti #83; both teams report zero injuries/suspensions, full squads available. Recent form: Scotland 5W-1D-4L against mixed UEFA-quality opposition including wins over Croatia and Poland; Haiti 4W-2D-4L with wins only against weak sides and losses to every stronger opponent. Group C opener at neutral venue. The squad-availability perspective confirms both sides can field best XIs, which

Conclusion note

Scotland enter as strong favorites per the betting market, with consensus implied probability around 61% for a Scotland win, and the odds have been stable across multiple bookmakers. The FIFA ranking gap is substantial: Scotland sit at #43 (1498 points) while Haiti are #83 (1292 points). Both squads report zero injuries and no suspensions, so each side can field its strongest available lineup, which on paper favors the higher-ranked team. Recent form reinforces the gap: Scotland have credible results against European nations including wins over Croatia and Poland and a draw with Portugal; Haiti's wins in their last ten matches all came against significantly lower-ranked opponents (Sint Maarten, Puerto Rico, New Zealand, Azerbaijan), and they lost to every top-60 side they faced. The match is a Group C opener at a neutral venue (Boston, USA), with no weather extremes reported. Without confirmed lineups some tactical uncertainty remains, but the quality differential, stable market consensus, and both teams at full strength point clearly to a Scotland victory in normal time.

Synthesis

The prediction is based on three independent perspectives — pre‑match odds, recent form, and squad landscape — all of which strongly favor Scotland. The betting market across 14 bookmakers implies a 61.1% probability for a Scotland win, with tight prices and minimal movement. Haiti’s recent form (W1-D1-L3) includes only a win over low‑ranked New Zealand and losses to stronger opponents, while Scotland (W3-L2) recorded convincing wins over Bolivia, Curaçao and Liechtenstein. Both teams have full squads available with no injuries or suspensions, and the match is at a neutral venue in Boston. Scotland’s superior FIFA ranking (#43 vs #83) and their ability to dominate teams at Haiti’s level further support the outlook. The main counterpoint is that Haiti have been defensively resilient in narrow defeats to sides such as Peru and Tunisia, and Scotland have struggled to score against top‑60 opponents. Nevertheless, the weight of evidence clearly points to a Scotland victory; a draw is the most likely alternative, while a Haiti win would represent a significant upset. The listed scorelines reflect Scotland’s expected control: 0‑1 and 0‑2 are the top outcomes, with 1‑1 as the leading draw. Confidence is set to the market‑implied probability of 61.1%, which aligns with the other evidence.

Reasoning summary: All three perspectives strongly agree on a Scotland win. The betting consensus gives a 61.1% implied probability, supported by Scotland's higher FIFA ranking, superior recent form, and full squad availability. Haiti's only wins have come against much weaker sides, and they have lost to every Top‑60 opponent faced. The main uncertainty is whether Scotland's attack can consistently break down a compact Haiti defense, but the evidence heavily favors side_b_win. The most likely scorelines are 0‑1, 0