Gemini 3.1 Pro · England vs Ghana

EnglandvsGhana
Gemini
Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win80%Miss
BetDraw$120Reverse
Post-match result0-0
Net P&L+$670.8
PredictionConfidence: 80%
Home win

England is strongly favored following an impressive 4-2 opening victory against Croatia, showcasing their significant attacking firepower. While Ghana also won their opening match 1-0 against Panama, they have recently struggled against higher-tier international opposition. England's potent attack and superior overall quality are expected to overpower Ghana's defense, giving the English side a clear and decisive advantage.

Bet
Draw$120
Net P&L+$670.8
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $120
    odds 6.59Settled: win+$670.8

    Betting rationale：Both England and Ghana sit on 3 points after winning their opening group matches. In tournament football, matchday 2 fixtures between opening-round winners often settle into cautious affairs, as a draw heavily favors both teams' chances of advancing. Ghana will likely deploy a deep, compact defensive block to frustrate the favorites, and England might lack the desperate urgency to break them down if it risks a counter-attack. With the execution market offering 6.59 on the draw, there is a slight

    Payout: $790.8 · Balance after: $13,312.6

Post-match result0-0
Outcome missedScoreline missedClosest off by 2 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 80%Draw 14%Away win 6%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 2
  1. #12-0
  2. #23-0
  3. #32-1

Analysis brief

  • - England's commanding opening win against a strong Croatian side and their solid pre-tournament form demonstrate significantly better momentum than Ghana, who struggled heavily against top-tier sides before the World Cup. Coupled with heavy market consensus favoring an England victory, backing the designated home side is the most defensible choice.
  • - Market sentiment heavily favors England, reflecting oddsmakers' belief that England's quality and attacking output far outweigh Ghana's opening tournament win and recent defensive efforts.
  • - England's consistent high-scoring capability is expected to overpower Ghana's defense, which, despite a recent clean sheet in their opener, has historically proven vulnerable against stronger international opponents.

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.56. Probability distribution: England win 56.0%; draw 25.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, England
  • - Recall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.53. Probability distribution: England win 53.0%; draw 28.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, Engl
  • - Recall anchors: gha pan group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Ghana win with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ghana win 42.0%; draw 31.0%; Panama win 27.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ghana 1-0 Panama, Ghana 1-1 Panama, Ghana 0-0 Panama. E
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 1.38Log loss 1.97

Meta thinking

  • Recent Form and Tournament MomentumAnalyze the recent performance of both England and Ghana, focusing on their opening victories in the World Cup group stage and their pre-tournament results to assess overall momentum and consistency.
  • Market Odds and Implied ProbabilityExamine the 14 captured odds sources to determine market sentiment, assessing how oddsmakers weigh England's expected strength against Ghana's recent defensive stability and tournament opening win.
  • Goal Scoring and Defensive OutputInvestigate both teams' attacking and defensive records from their visible recent matches, contrasting England's high-scoring opening win and defensive vulnerabilities with Ghana's narrow victory and clean sheet.

Tokens: 2727

Perspectives

Recent Form and Tournament MomentumHome winEngland's commanding opening win against a strong Croatian side and their solid pre-tournament form demonstrate significantly better momentum than Ghana, who struggled heavily against top-tier sides before the World Cup. Coupled with heavy market consensus favoring an England victory, backing the designated home side is the most defensible choice.85%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent Form and Tournament Momentum

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Fixture: England vs GHA. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T20:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T20:09:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • England: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • England: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 15, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 79.3%, draw 14.3%, side B win 6.4%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T08:01:36Z -> 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.01pp, draw +0.01pp, side B win -0.02pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.17 / draw 6.25 / side B 17.5 → side A 1.17 / draw 6.6 / side B 16; william_hill side A 1.18 / draw 6.5 / side B 15 → side A 1.2 / draw 6.5 / side B 15; bet365 side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 13 → side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 13. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.17, draw 6.6, side B 16; william_hill: side A 1.2, draw 6.5, side B 15; bet365: side A 1.2, draw 7, side B 13; marathonbet: side A 1.19, draw 7.3, side B 19.25.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-23T12:10:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 79%, wind 9.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for England:

    • 2026-06-17T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Croatia, home/away home, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Finland, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ghana:

    • 2026-06-17T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Panama, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-02T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-23T02:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-05-31T11:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-12-28T16:00:00Z, competition African Nations Championship - Qualification, against Nigeria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.

  10. England's commanding opening win against a strong Croatian side and their solid pre-tournament form demonstrate significantly better momentum than Ghana, who struggled heavily against top-tier sides before the World Cup. Coupled with heavy market consensus favoring an England victory, backing the designated home side is the most defensible choice.

Conclusion note

Both England and Ghana secured important victories in their World Cup opening matches, with England impressively defeating Croatia 4-2 and Ghana narrowly beating Panama 1-0. However, England's overall form leading into the tournament has been much more robust, whereas Ghana suffered a string of pre-tournament defeats against higher-ranked opponents like Germany, Austria, and Mexico. The bookmakers heavily favor England, implying a 79.3% chance of victory, which aligns with their superior momentum, consistent results against tougher opposition, and strong attacking output.

Market Odds and Implied ProbabilityHome winMarket sentiment heavily favors England, reflecting oddsmakers' belief that England's quality and attacking output far outweigh Ghana's opening tournament win and recent defensive efforts.80%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market Odds and Implied Probability

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Fixture: England vs GHA. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T20:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T20:09:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • England: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • England: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 15, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 79.3%, draw 14.3%, side B win 6.4%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T08:01:36Z -> 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.01pp, draw +0.01pp, side B win -0.02pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.17 / draw 6.25 / side B 17.5 → side A 1.17 / draw 6.6 / side B 16; william_hill side A 1.18 / draw 6.5 / side B 15 → side A 1.2 / draw 6.5 / side B 15; bet365 side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 13 → side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 13. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.17, draw 6.6, side B 16; william_hill: side A 1.2, draw 6.5, side B 15; bet365: side A 1.2, draw 7, side B 13; marathonbet: side A 1.19, draw 7.3, side B 19.25.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-23T12:10:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 79%, wind 9.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for England:

    • 2026-06-17T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Croatia, home/away home, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Finland, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ghana:

    • 2026-06-17T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Panama, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-02T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-23T02:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-05-31T11:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-12-28T16:00:00Z, competition African Nations Championship - Qualification, against Nigeria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.

  10. Market sentiment heavily favors England, reflecting oddsmakers' belief that England's quality and attacking output far outweigh Ghana's opening tournament win and recent defensive efforts.

Conclusion note

Based on consensus odds from 14 bookmakers, England is overwhelmingly favored with an implied win probability of 79.3%. Despite Ghana's 1-0 opening tournament victory against Panama, the market prices an England win at around 1.17 to 1.20, indicating strong confidence in their superiority following a 4-2 win against Croatia.

Goal Scoring and Defensive OutputHome winEngland's consistent high-scoring capability is expected to overpower Ghana's defense, which, despite a recent clean sheet in their opener, has historically proven vulnerable against stronger international opponents.78%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Goal Scoring and Defensive Output

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Fixture: England vs GHA. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T20:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T20:09:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • England: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • England: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 15, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 79.3%, draw 14.3%, side B win 6.4%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T08:01:36Z -> 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.01pp, draw +0.01pp, side B win -0.02pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.17 / draw 6.25 / side B 17.5 → side A 1.17 / draw 6.6 / side B 16; william_hill side A 1.18 / draw 6.5 / side B 15 → side A 1.2 / draw 6.5 / side B 15; bet365 side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 13 → side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 13. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.17, draw 6.6, side B 16; william_hill: side A 1.2, draw 6.5, side B 15; bet365: side A 1.2, draw 7, side B 13; marathonbet: side A 1.19, draw 7.3, side B 19.25.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-23T12:10:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 21.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 79%, wind 9.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for England:

    • 2026-06-17T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Croatia, home/away home, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Finland, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ghana:

    • 2026-06-17T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Panama, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-02T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-23T02:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-05-31T11:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-12-28T16:00:00Z, competition African Nations Championship - Qualification, against Nigeria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.

  10. England's consistent high-scoring capability is expected to overpower Ghana's defense, which, despite a recent clean sheet in their opener, has historically proven vulnerable against stronger international opponents.

Conclusion note

England demonstrated formidable attacking firepower in their 4-2 opening victory against Croatia, despite revealing some minor defensive frailties. While Ghana managed a narrow 1-0 win and a clean sheet against Panama, their broader recent form features significant defensive struggles against higher-tier opposition, and the overwhelming 79.3% implied probability heavily backs an English win.

Synthesis

England is strongly favored following an impressive 4-2 opening victory against Croatia, showcasing their significant attacking firepower. While Ghana also won their opening match 1-0 against Panama, they have recently struggled against higher-tier international opposition. England's potent attack and superior overall quality are expected to overpower Ghana's defense, giving the English side a clear and decisive advantage.

Reasoning summary: All perspectives unanimously back England to win, driven by an overwhelming market consensus and their strong attacking display in the opening round. Ghana's recent string of pre-tournament defeats against elite sides highlights a vulnerability that England's high-scoring forward line is well-positioned to exploit.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection England vs Croatia Late editionRecall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.56. Probability distribution: England win 56.0%; draw 25.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, England relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection England vs Croatia Preview editionRecall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.53. Probability distribution: England win 53.0%; draw 28.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, Englrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Ghana vs Panama Late editionRecall anchors: gha pan group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Ghana win with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ghana win 42.0%; draw 31.0%; Panama win 27.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ghana 1-0 Panama, Ghana 1-1 Panama, Ghana 0-0 Panama. Erelevance 0.50