Gemini 3.1 Pro · England vs Ghana

EnglandvsGhana
Gemini
Gemini 3.1 ProGoogle

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win80%Miss
BetDraw$120Reverse
Post-match result0-0
Net P&L+$670.8
PredictionConfidence: 80%
Home win

England enters this match as overwhelming favorites following an impressive 4-2 victory over Croatia in their opening fixture. While Ghana also secured a 1-0 win in their first match against Panama, their broader recent form leading up to the tournament has been concerning, with numerous losses against high-level opposition. Although the rainy and highly humid conditions could potentially slow the pace of the game, England's attacking quality, squad depth, and overwhelming market support strongly point towards a convincing English victory.

Bet
Draw$120
Net P&L+$670.8
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $120
    odds 6.59Settled: win+$670.8

    Betting rationale：Both England and Ghana sit on 3 points after winning their opening group matches. In tournament football, matchday 2 fixtures between opening-round winners often settle into cautious affairs, as a draw heavily favors both teams' chances of advancing. Ghana will likely deploy a deep, compact defensive block to frustrate the favorites, and England might lack the desperate urgency to break them down if it risks a counter-attack. With the execution market offering 6.59 on the draw, there is a slight

    Payout: $790.8 · Balance after: $13,312.6

Post-match result0-0
Outcome missedScoreline missedClosest off by 1 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 80%Draw 14%Away win 6%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 1
  1. #12-0
  2. #23-0
  3. #31-0

Analysis brief

  • - England's commanding opening win and superior recent form, contrasted with Ghana's struggles against high-level opposition prior to the tournament, make a convincing case for an English victory, as strongly supported by the consensus odds.
  • - Bookmaker odds heavily and consistently back England to win this fixture, translating to a dominant implied probability of over 80%. This strong market consensus makes a side A win the most justifiable outcome based purely on current odds.
  • - Although the rainy, highly humid conditions might introduce some unpredictability and early fatigue, England's vast structural advantage and strong recent form firmly outweigh the weather factors, making them the clear favorites over Ghana.

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.56. Probability distribution: England win 56.0%; draw 25.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, England
  • - Recall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.53. Probability distribution: England win 53.0%; draw 28.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, Engl
  • - Recall anchors: gha pan group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Ghana win with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ghana win 42.0%; draw 31.0%; Panama win 27.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ghana 1-0 Panama, Ghana 1-1 Panama, Ghana 0-0 Panama. E
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 1.38Log loss 1.97

Meta thinking

  • Recent Form and Match MomentumAnalyze the recent match records of both teams, particularly their opening World Cup group stage victories, to evaluate their current form, attacking effectiveness, and defensive stability.
  • Market Odds and Implied ProbabilitiesExamine the captured betting odds to determine the market consensus, assessing how bookmakers perceive the strength gap between England and Ghana for this fixture.
  • Weather Conditions ImpactEvaluate how the captured rainy conditions, high humidity of 91%, and temperature of 19.9 degrees Celsius at Boston Stadium might influence the match pace and tactical execution of both sides.

Tokens: 2533

Perspectives

Recent Form and Match MomentumHome winEngland's commanding opening win and superior recent form, contrasted with Ghana's struggles against high-level opposition prior to the tournament, make a convincing case for an English victory, as strongly supported by the consensus odds.80%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent Form and Match Momentum

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Fixture: England vs GHA. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T20:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T20:09:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T14:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • England: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • England: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T16:03:29Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 80.2%, draw 13.9%, side B win 5.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z -> 2026-06-23T16:03:29Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.16 / draw 6.6 / side B 16.5 → side A 1.16 / draw 6.6 / side B 16.5; william_hill side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 19 → side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 19; bet365 side A 1.18 / draw 7 / side B 17 → side A 1.18 / draw 7 / side B 17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.16, draw 6.6, side B 16.5; william_hill: side A 1.2, draw 7, side B 19; bet365: side A 1.18, draw 7, side B 17; marathonbet: side A 1.18, draw 7.5, side B 21. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 31, 0-2 81; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 34, 0-2 91; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 34, 0-2 81.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-23T17:00:31Z. Kickoff weather: rain, 19.9°C, precipitation 1.1 mm, humidity 91%, wind 10.6 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for England:

    • 2026-06-17T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Croatia, home/away home, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Finland, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ghana:

    • 2026-06-17T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Panama, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-02T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-23T02:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-05-31T11:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-12-28T16:00:00Z, competition African Nations Championship - Qualification, against Nigeria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.

  10. England's commanding opening win and superior recent form, contrasted with Ghana's struggles against high-level opposition prior to the tournament, make a convincing case for an English victory, as strongly supported by the consensus odds.

Conclusion note

England enters this match with strong momentum after an impressive 4-2 opening victory over Croatia, showcasing their potent attack. While Ghana also secured a 1-0 win against Panama, their broader recent form is concerning, with seven losses in their last ten matches across all competitions. Bookmakers heavily favor England at 1.18, reflecting the significant gap in attacking effectiveness and overall quality between the two sides.

Market Odds and Implied ProbabilitiesHome winBookmaker odds heavily and consistently back England to win this fixture, translating to a dominant implied probability of over 80%. This strong market consensus makes a side A win the most justifiable outcome based purely on current odds.80%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market Odds and Implied Probabilities

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Fixture: England vs GHA. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T20:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T20:09:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T14:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • England: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • England: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T16:03:29Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 80.2%, draw 13.9%, side B win 5.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z -> 2026-06-23T16:03:29Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.16 / draw 6.6 / side B 16.5 → side A 1.16 / draw 6.6 / side B 16.5; william_hill side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 19 → side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 19; bet365 side A 1.18 / draw 7 / side B 17 → side A 1.18 / draw 7 / side B 17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.16, draw 6.6, side B 16.5; william_hill: side A 1.2, draw 7, side B 19; bet365: side A 1.18, draw 7, side B 17; marathonbet: side A 1.18, draw 7.5, side B 21. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 31, 0-2 81; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 34, 0-2 91; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 34, 0-2 81.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-23T17:00:31Z. Kickoff weather: rain, 19.9°C, precipitation 1.1 mm, humidity 91%, wind 10.6 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for England:

    • 2026-06-17T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Croatia, home/away home, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Finland, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ghana:

    • 2026-06-17T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Panama, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-02T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-23T02:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-05-31T11:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-12-28T16:00:00Z, competition African Nations Championship - Qualification, against Nigeria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.

  10. Bookmaker odds heavily and consistently back England to win this fixture, translating to a dominant implied probability of over 80%. This strong market consensus makes a side A win the most justifiable outcome based purely on current odds.

Conclusion note

The betting market overwhelmingly favors England, with bookmakers indicating an approximate 80.2% implied probability for an English victory. Consensus odds are hovering around 1.18 for England compared to 17.0 for a Ghana upset, reflecting a heavy perceived disparity in squad strength.

Weather Conditions ImpactHome winAlthough the rainy, highly humid conditions might introduce some unpredictability and early fatigue, England's vast structural advantage and strong recent form firmly outweigh the weather factors, making them the clear favorites over Ghana.80%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Weather Conditions Impact

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Fixture: England vs GHA. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T20:00:00Z. Venue: Boston Stadium, Foxborough, altitude 88 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T20:09:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T14:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • England: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • England: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ghana: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T16:03:29Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 80.2%, draw 13.9%, side B win 5.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z -> 2026-06-23T16:03:29Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.16 / draw 6.6 / side B 16.5 → side A 1.16 / draw 6.6 / side B 16.5; william_hill side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 19 → side A 1.2 / draw 7 / side B 19; bet365 side A 1.18 / draw 7 / side B 17 → side A 1.18 / draw 7 / side B 17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.16, draw 6.6, side B 16.5; william_hill: side A 1.2, draw 7, side B 19; bet365: side A 1.18, draw 7, side B 17; marathonbet: side A 1.18, draw 7.5, side B 21. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 31, 0-2 81; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 34, 0-2 91; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; correct scores 0-0 15, 0-1 34, 0-2 81.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-23T17:00:31Z. Kickoff weather: rain, 19.9°C, precipitation 1.1 mm, humidity 91%, wind 10.6 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for England:

    • 2026-06-17T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Croatia, home/away home, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2024-11-17T17:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-14T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-13T16:00:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Finland, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2024-10-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Greece, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ghana:

    • 2026-06-17T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Panama, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-02T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-23T02:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-11-14T10:20:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-05-31T11:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-28T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-12-28T16:00:00Z, competition African Nations Championship - Qualification, against Nigeria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.

  10. Although the rainy, highly humid conditions might introduce some unpredictability and early fatigue, England's vast structural advantage and strong recent form firmly outweigh the weather factors, making them the clear favorites over Ghana.

Conclusion note

With kickoff conditions featuring rain and 91% humidity at Boston Stadium, the wet pitch could slow the match pace and complicate technical execution for both teams. However, England's deep squad and status as heavy favorites, backed by an 80% implied win probability, should allow them to adapt to the challenging weather and overpower a Ghana side that has generally struggled in recent international fixtures.

Synthesis

England enters this match as overwhelming favorites following an impressive 4-2 victory over Croatia in their opening fixture. While Ghana also secured a 1-0 win in their first match against Panama, their broader recent form leading up to the tournament has been concerning, with numerous losses against high-level opposition. Although the rainy and highly humid conditions could potentially slow the pace of the game, England's attacking quality, squad depth, and overwhelming market support strongly point towards a convincing English victory.

Reasoning summary: All perspectives unanimously support an England victory, reflecting a strong consensus based on team quality, recent form, and market odds. England's potent attack, demonstrated by their four goals against Croatia, is expected to overwhelm a Ghana side that has struggled against top-tier opposition prior to the tournament. The wet and humid weather conditions are noted but deemed insufficient to bridge the substantial gap in class between the two teams.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection England vs Croatia Late editionRecall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.56. Probability distribution: England win 56.0%; draw 25.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, England relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection England vs Croatia Preview editionRecall anchors: eng cro group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted England win with confidence 0.53. Probability distribution: England win 53.0%; draw 28.0%; Croatia win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: England 1-0 Croatia, England 1-1 Croatia, Englrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Ghana vs Panama Late editionRecall anchors: gha pan group_l_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Ghana win with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ghana win 42.0%; draw 31.0%; Panama win 27.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ghana 1-0 Panama, Ghana 1-1 Panama, Ghana 0-0 Panama. Erelevance 0.50