DeepSeek V4 Pro · Ecuador vs Germany

EcuadorvsGermany
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4 ProDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Preview
PredictionAway win66%Miss
BetAway win$870Aligned
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L-$870
PredictionConfidence: 66%
Away win

Germany's dominant tournament form, including nine goals scored against common opponents Ivory Coast and Curaçao, contrasts sharply with Ecuador's zero goals against the same sides. The betting market implies a Germany win probability above 50%, and neither Ecuador's must-win situation nor potential German rotation has caused a drift toward the underdog. Although Ecuador's desperation could produce a tighter match, the quality gap evident in both direct common-opponent data and overall recent results makes a German victory the most probable outcome. Moderate confidence reflects the uncertainty from Germany's already-secured qualification and Ecuador's urgent need for points.

Bet
Away win$8703 bets
Net P&L-$870
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $400
    odds 1.86Settled: loss-$400

    Betting rationaleFavorite conviction bet. Germany have been clinical in the tournament, scoring nine goals against common opponents Ivory Coast and Curaçao, while Ecuador failed to score against the same sides. The model gives Germany a 66% win probability with a +0.122 edge over the execution odds of 1.86. Even with qualification secured and possible rotation, the quality gap is too wide to ignore. Ecuador's desperation could make the match tighter, but their blunt attack and Germany's depth point to an away wi

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $12,209.5

  • Away win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Away win

    $350
    odds 1.53Settled: loss-$350

    Betting rationaleFavorite conviction posture. Germany have been relentless — 7-1 over Curaçao, 2-1 over Ivory Coast — while Ecuador failed to score in both group matches (0-0 vs Curaçao, 0-1 vs Ivory Coast). The common-opponent gulf is stark, and the model gives Germany a 70% win probability with a small but real +4.6% edge over Pinnacle's 1.530. Already holding $400 at 1.860 from an earlier slice; adding $350 at 1.530 lifts total Germany exposure to $750 (~5.9% of bankroll), which fits normal conviction sizing

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $12,209.5

  • Correct score 0-2Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 0-2

    $120
    odds 7.50Settled: loss-$120

    Betting rationalePosture: satellite conviction bet on the clean-sheet script. Ecuador have gone 180+ World Cup minutes without scoring — a 0-0 stalemate against Curaçao and a 0-1 loss to Ivory Coast — while Germany put seven past that same Curaçao side and beat Ivory Coast 2-1. Germany are already group winners and may rotate, but the quality gulf is stark and Ecuador's attack offers nothing to fear. The model gives 0-2 a 12% probability (its top scoreline), and at 7.50 the payout asymmetry is juicy enough for a

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $12,209.5

Post-match result2-1
Outcome missedScoreline missedClosest off by 2 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 14%Draw 20%Away win 66%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 2
  1. #10-2
  2. #21-2
  3. #30-3

Analysis brief

  • - The odds consensus decisively favors Germany at 51.2% implied probability, with a modest but telling movement of +0.12pp toward the favorite in the latest update window. Ecuador's implied win probability of 24.9% and recent competitive struggles — a 0-0 draw with Curaçao and a 0-1 loss to Ivory Coast — contrast sharply with Germany's perfect group-stage record and nine wins in ten overall. The market's refusal to shorten Ecuador despite Germany's already-secured qualification is a notable signal
  • - The tournament common-opponent comparison is the decisive evidence: Ecuador managed zero goals and one point against Ivory Coast and Curaçao, whereas Germany scored nine and took maximum points against the same two sides. Germany's broader recent form (nine wins in ten) and the odds consensus (~51% implied for a Germany win) reinforce this conclusion. Ecuador's need for a result and Germany's already-qualified status add marginal uncertainty, but the performance gulf under identical tournament c

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.92. Probability distribution: Germany win 92.0%; draw 6.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 2-
  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.92. Probability distribution: Germany win 92.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 3.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 2-0 Curaçao, Germ
  • - Recall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Ecuador win with confidence 0.38. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.9%; draw 33.4%; Ecuador win 37.7%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-1
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 1.22Log loss 1.97

Meta thinking

  • Market odds assessmentExamine the 13 observed pre-match betting odds to derive implied probabilities for a home win, draw, or away win. Identify any notable line movements, sharp odds, or over/under goal lines that may reflect expectations beyond what recent results suggest.
  • Tournament form and common-opponent comparisonReview the two teams' performances in the World Cup group stage so far. Ecuador lost 0-1 to Ivory Coast and drew 0-0 with Curaçao; Germany beat the same sides 2-1 and 7-1. Contrast their goal-scoring, defensive resilience, and point accumulation to assess competitive level under tournament conditions.

Tokens: 5719

Perspectives

Market odds assessmentAway winThe odds consensus decisively favors Germany at 51.2% implied probability, with a modest but telling movement of +0.12pp toward the favorite in the latest update window. Ecuador's implied win probability of 24.9% and recent competitive struggles — a 0-0 draw with Curaçao and a 0-1 loss to Ivory Coast — contrast sharply with Germany's perfect group-stage record and nine wins in ten overall. The market's refusal to shorten Ecuador despite Germany's already-secured qualification is a notable signal62%
Analysis process
  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds assessment

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Fixture: ECU vs Germany. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T20:00:00Z. Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford, altitude 4 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (not included at snapshot time); statistics not captured (not included at snapshot time); fixture players not captured (not included at snapshot time); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Ecuador: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ecuador: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T16:02:23Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 24.9%, draw 23.8%, side B win 51.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z -> 2026-06-24T16:02:23Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.02pp, draw -0.1pp, side B win +0.12pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 3.6 / draw 3.85 / side B 1.88 → side A 3.6 / draw 3.85 / side B 1.88; william_hill side A 3.7 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.85 → side A 3.7 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.85; bet365 side A 3.8 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.83 → side A 3.75 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.83. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 3.6, draw 3.85, side B 1.88; william_hill: side A 3.7, draw 3.8, side B 1.85; bet365: side A 3.75, draw 4.2, side B 1.83; marathonbet: side A 3.9, draw 4.1, side B 1.85. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 13; marathonbet: total 1.25 over 1.1 / under 5.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ecuador:

    • 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ivory Coast, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T20:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Morocco, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Canada, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T02:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-11T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Germany:

    • 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 7-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Ecuador vs Germany group context: Group E; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Germany 6 pts/2 played; Ivory Coast 3 pts/2 played; Ecuador 1 pts/2 played; Curaçao 1 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Ivory Coast can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Curaçao can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Ecuador can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Germany can finish from rank 1 to 2; points enumeration guarantees first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Curaçao vs Ivory Coast; Ecuador vs Germany. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks;cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check head-to-head

    #10

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  12. Market odds assessment for Ecuador vs Germany: 13 bookmaker odds observed. Latest consensus implied probabilities: Ecuador 24.9%, Draw 23.8%, Germany 51.2%. Slight movement toward Germany (+0.12pp) over the last snapshot window. Over 0.5 goal lines at 1.04 indicate near-certainty of at least one goal. Bet365 marginally shortened Ecuador (3.80→3.75) while holding Germany at 1.83. Tournament context: Germany already qualified (6 pts), Ecuador must win (1 pt). Despite Germany's secured qualificatio

  13. The odds consensus decisively favors Germany at 51.2% implied probability, with a modest but telling movement of +0.12pp toward the favorite in the latest update window. Ecuador's implied win probability of 24.9% and recent competitive struggles — a 0-0 draw with Curaçao and a 0-1 loss to Ivory Coast — contrast sharply with Germany's perfect group-stage record and nine wins in ten overall. The market's refusal to shorten Ecuador despite Germany's already-secured qualification is a notable signal

Conclusion note

Across 13 observed bookmaker odds, the latest consensus implied probabilities give Germany a 51.2% chance to win, with Ecuador at 24.9% and the draw at 23.8%. A slight market movement of +0.12 percentage points toward Germany over the most recent snapshot window reinforces the favorite status, and over/under 0.5 goal lines priced at 1.04 signal near-certainty of at least one goal. Germany's dominant recent form — nine wins in their last ten matches including a 7-1 and a 2-1 in this World Cup — aligns with the odds, while Ecuador have drawn five of their last ten and lost to Ivory Coast, a side Germany beat. Although Germany have already secured qualification and Ecuador must win to stay alive, the betting market has not drifted toward Ecuador, suggesting bookmakers still expect German superiority.

Tournament form and common-opponent comparisonAway winThe tournament common-opponent comparison is the decisive evidence: Ecuador managed zero goals and one point against Ivory Coast and Curaçao, whereas Germany scored nine and took maximum points against the same two sides. Germany's broader recent form (nine wins in ten) and the odds consensus (~51% implied for a Germany win) reinforce this conclusion. Ecuador's need for a result and Germany's already-qualified status add marginal uncertainty, but the performance gulf under identical tournament c78%
Analysis process
  1. Analysis goal

    Tournament form and common-opponent comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Fixture: ECU vs Germany. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T20:00:00Z. Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium, East Rutherford, altitude 4 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (not included at snapshot time); statistics not captured (not included at snapshot time); fixture players not captured (not included at snapshot time); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Ecuador: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ecuador: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T16:02:23Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 24.9%, draw 23.8%, side B win 51.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z -> 2026-06-24T16:02:23Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.02pp, draw -0.1pp, side B win +0.12pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 3.6 / draw 3.85 / side B 1.88 → side A 3.6 / draw 3.85 / side B 1.88; william_hill side A 3.7 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.85 → side A 3.7 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.85; bet365 side A 3.8 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.83 → side A 3.75 / draw 4.2 / side B 1.83. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 3.6, draw 3.85, side B 1.88; william_hill: side A 3.7, draw 3.8, side B 1.85; bet365: side A 3.75, draw 4.2, side B 1.83; marathonbet: side A 3.9, draw 4.1, side B 1.85. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 10; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 13; marathonbet: total 1.25 over 1.1 / under 5.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ecuador:

    • 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ivory Coast, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T20:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Morocco, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Canada, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T02:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-10-11T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Germany:

    • 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ivory Coast, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 7-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. Ecuador vs Germany group context: Group E; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Germany 6 pts/2 played; Ivory Coast 3 pts/2 played; Ecuador 1 pts/2 played; Curaçao 1 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Ivory Coast can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Curaçao can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Ecuador can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Germany can finish from rank 1 to 2; points enumeration guarantees first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Curaçao vs Ivory Coast; Ecuador vs Germany. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks;cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-25 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-25 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Check head-to-head

    #12

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  14. Check team process facts

    #13

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.

  15. Check team process facts

    #14

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T20:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.

  16. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  17. The tournament common-opponent comparison is the decisive evidence: Ecuador managed zero goals and one point against Ivory Coast and Curaçao, whereas Germany scored nine and took maximum points against the same two sides. Germany's broader recent form (nine wins in ten) and the odds consensus (~51% implied for a Germany win) reinforce this conclusion. Ecuador's need for a result and Germany's already-qualified status add marginal uncertainty, but the performance gulf under identical tournament c

Conclusion note

Ecuador and Germany have faced the same two World Cup group opponents with a stark contrast: Ecuador lost 0-1 to Ivory Coast and drew 0-0 with Curaçao (1 point, 0 goals scored), while Germany beat Ivory Coast 2-1 and crushed Curaçao 7-1 (6 points, 9 goals scored). Germany's vastly superior goal output and defensive control against identical opposition, combined with nine wins in their last ten matches across all competitions, make a Germany victory the most probable outcome. The betting market concurs with Germany at around 1.85 (51% implied probability) and Ecuador near 3.75 (25%). Lineups are unavailable and Germany have already secured a top-two finish, introducing some rotation uncertainty, but the quality gap evident from the common-opponent data remains decisive.

Synthesis

Germany's dominant tournament form, including nine goals scored against common opponents Ivory Coast and Curaçao, contrasts sharply with Ecuador's zero goals against the same sides. The betting market implies a Germany win probability above 50%, and neither Ecuador's must-win situation nor potential German rotation has caused a drift toward the underdog. Although Ecuador's desperation could produce a tighter match, the quality gap evident in both direct common-opponent data and overall recent results makes a German victory the most probable outcome. Moderate confidence reflects the uncertainty from Germany's already-secured qualification and Ecuador's urgent need for points.

Reasoning summary: Two independent perspective summaries both pick a Germany win, citing a clear common-opponent edge (Germany scored 9 goals and took 6 points vs Ivory Coast and Curaçao, while Ecuador scored 0 and earned 1 point) and a betting market that implies ~51% win probability for Germany. The market perspective adds a slight recent drift toward Germany, and Ecuador's poor attacking form reinforces the favorite's advantage. Germany's guaranteed progression and possible rotation introduce some uncertainty,

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Late editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.92. Probability distribution: Germany win 92.0%; draw 6.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 2-relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Actionable editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.92. Probability distribution: Germany win 92.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 3.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 2-0 Curaçao, Germrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Actionable editionRecall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Ecuador win with confidence 0.38. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.9%; draw 33.4%; Ecuador win 37.7%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-1relevance 0.50