Claude Opus 4.8 · Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands

UruguayvsCape Verde Islands
Anthropic
Claude Opus 4.8Anthropic

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: PreviewInvestment source version: Actionable
PredictionHome win63%Miss
BetDraw$345Reverse
Post-match result2-2
Net P&L+$1,129.45
PredictionConfidence: 63%
Home win

Uruguay are firmly priced as favorites over Cape Verde Islands, with a tight bookmaker consensus near 1.44-1.48 implying about 65% for a home win against only 12% for the visitors, and the three perspectives all back Uruguay. The decisive tradeoff is that Uruguay's recent form has been draw-heavy and defensively cautious while Cape Verde Islands recently held Spain scoreless, so a narrow margin is likely; as a hypothesis Uruguay may need patience to break a stubborn defense rather than a comfortable win, and the lack of lineup, weather and head-to-head data keeps confidence measured.

Bet
Draw$3453 bets
Net P&L+$1,129.45
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: ActionableReverse

    Draw

    $130
    odds 4.19Settled: win+$414.7

    Betting rationale：Posture: draw-trap protection, adding to an existing draw position. Match script: Uruguay are heavy favorites but their recent form is draw-heavy and low-scoring (four draws in five, several 0-0/1-1), while Cape Verde just held Spain to a goalless draw and showed real defensive resilience. A compact opponent plus Uruguay needing patience to break them is a classic stalemate setup. The model gives the draw 25% and execution prices it at 4.19 (pinnacle), a small positive edge (+0.011 vs execution,

    Payout: $544.7 · Balance after: $9,216.85

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $125
    odds 4.27Settled: win+$408.75

    Betting rationale：Posture: draw-trap protection with a contrarian satellite stake. Match script: Uruguay's last five are relentlessly draw-heavy (four draws, defensively cautious, including a World Cup 1-1 opener vs Saudi Arabia), while Cape Verde just held Spain scoreless and arrive in confident form. That is a classic stubborn-underdog vs patient-favorite setup where a narrow or stalemate result is live. The favorite price (pinnacle 1.45, ~-0.06 edge) is unplayable for value; the only positive executable edge i

    Payout: $533.75 · Balance after: $8,672.15

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: LateReverse

    Draw

    $90
    odds 4.40Settled: win+$306

    Betting rationale：Draw-trap posture, adding modestly to my existing draw exposure. The match script is alive: Uruguay have drawn four of their last five (1-1 with Saudi Arabia, 0-0s with Algeria/Mexico), while Cape Verde just frustrated Spain to a 0-0 and have shown defensive discipline. The model still rates the draw at 0.260, and execution price 4.40 gives a small positive edge (+0.033) versus a Uruguay favorite line near 1.44 that offers no value (-0.064). Top score 1-1 also appears in the model's top three. S

    Payout: $396 · Balance after: $9,612.85

Post-match result2-2
Outcome missedScoreline missedClosest off by 2 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 63%Draw 25%Away win 12%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 2
  1. #11-0
  2. #22-0
  3. #31-1

Analysis brief

  • - The 14 observed bookmaker prices form a tight, consistent consensus pricing Uruguay as a strong favorite, with side A around 1.44-1.48 across 10bet, William Hill, bet365 and marathonbet, implying roughly 64.9% for a Uruguay win versus 23.1% draw and just 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands. Movement between the two visible update times is marginal (side A -0.68pp), so there is no meaningful drift against the favorite. Uruguay's recent form is draw-heavy rather than dominant, and Cape Verde Islands held
  • - The bookmaker consensus is firmly behind Uruguay at about 64.9% implied win probability versus only 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands, with 14 samples clustered around 1.44-1.48 for the home side and 7.1-8.5 for the visitors. Recent form supports a cautious home edge: Uruguay are hard to beat, drawing tight games such as 1-1 versus Saudi Arabia, 0-0 versus Algeria and 1-1 versus England, though the 1-5 loss to USA flags occasional defensive lapses. Cape Verde Islands have shown attacking pop in frien
  • - The bookmaker consensus is the decisive evidence here, pricing Uruguay at roughly 64.9% to win against 23.1% for a draw and only 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands, with representative lines around 1.44-1.48 for the home side and 7.1-8.5 for the visitors. Uruguay are unbeaten across recent matches including a 1-1 World Cup draw with Saudi Arabia, and Cape Verde Islands have shown competitiveness with a 0-0 against Spain, but the market gap is substantial. Both teams report no injuries while lineups, w

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: esp cpv group_h_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Spain win with confidence 0.85. Probability distribution: Spain win 85.0%; draw 10.0%; Cape Verde Islands win 5.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Spain 2-0 Cape Verde Islands, Spain 3-0
  • - Recall anchors: esp cpv group_h_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Spain win with confidence 0.87. Probability distribution: Spain win 87.0%; draw 8.5%; Cape Verde Islands win 4.5%. Top-3 scorelines: Spain 3-0 Cape Verde Islands, Spain 2-0
  • - Recall anchors: ksa uru group_h_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Uruguay win with confidence 0.64. Probability distribution: Saudi Arabia win 13.0%; draw 23.0%; Uruguay win 64.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay, Saudi Arabia 0-
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.97Log loss 1.39

Meta thinking

  • Market odds structureExamine the 14 observed pre-match odds entries to gauge implied probabilities across home win, draw and away win, and check for spread or consensus among the observed prices.
  • Recent form comparisonCompare recent results: Uruguay shows multiple draws including a 1-1 World Cup opener vs Saudi Arabia and a heavy 1-5 loss to USA; Cape Verde mixes a 0-0 World Cup draw vs Spain, friendly wins over Bermuda and Serbia, and a 2-4 loss to Chile. Assess scoring and defensive trends from these visible matches.
  • Squad and data availability constraintsBoth sides report zero injuries as of the last check, but lineups are not yet captured. Note that squad selection risk cannot be confirmed and weather and head-to-head records are absent, limiting evidence beyond form and odds.

Tokens: 350

Perspectives

Market odds structureHome winThe 14 observed bookmaker prices form a tight, consistent consensus pricing Uruguay as a strong favorite, with side A around 1.44-1.48 across 10bet, William Hill, bet365 and marathonbet, implying roughly 64.9% for a Uruguay win versus 23.1% draw and just 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands. Movement between the two visible update times is marginal (side A -0.68pp), so there is no meaningful drift against the favorite. Uruguay's recent form is draw-heavy rather than dominant, and Cape Verde Islands held64%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds structure

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Fixture: URU vs CPV. Kickoff: 2026-06-21T22:00:00Z. Venue: Miami Stadium, Miami Gardens, altitude 2 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Uruguay: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Uruguay: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Cape Verde Islands: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Cape Verde Islands: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-20T20:06:24Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 64.9%, draw 23.1%, side B win 12.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-20T16:15:27Z -> 2026-06-20T20:06:24Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.68pp, draw +0.22pp, side B win +0.46pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.47 / draw 3.9 / side B 7.6 → side A 1.47 / draw 4 / side B 7.1; william_hill side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 7.5 → side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 7.5; bet365 side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 9.5 → side A 1.44 / draw 4.1 / side B 8.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.47, draw 4, side B 7.1; william_hill: side A 1.44, draw 4, side B 7.5; bet365: side A 1.44, draw 4.1, side B 8.5; marathonbet: side A 1.48, draw 4.2, side B 7.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.3.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Uruguay:

    • 2026-06-15T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Algeria, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against England, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-16T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-13T12:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2025-10-10T12:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Dominican Republic, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-09-01T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-07-14T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Canada, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2024-07-11T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Cape Verde Islands:

    • 2026-06-15T16:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Spain, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bermuda, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Serbia, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T03:00:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against Chile, home/away away, score 2-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-08T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Georgia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-03T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malaysia, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-29T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malaysia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-03-25T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-03-21T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guyana, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-01-10T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  10. The 14 observed bookmaker prices form a tight, consistent consensus pricing Uruguay as a strong favorite, with side A around 1.44-1.48 across 10bet, William Hill, bet365 and marathonbet, implying roughly 64.9% for a Uruguay win versus 23.1% draw and just 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands. Movement between the two visible update times is marginal (side A -0.68pp), so there is no meaningful drift against the favorite. Uruguay's recent form is draw-heavy rather than dominant, and Cape Verde Islands held

Conclusion note

Uruguay is a clear and tightly priced market favorite against Cape Verde Islands, with the 14 bookmaker samples clustering around 1.44-1.48 for a home win (about 64.9% implied) versus 23.1% draw and only 12.1% for the visitors, and only marginal odds movement between updates. The main uncertainty is that Uruguay's recent run is full of draws and Cape Verde Islands recently held Spain scoreless, with no head-to-head, lineup or weather data captured.

Recent form comparisonHome winThe bookmaker consensus is firmly behind Uruguay at about 64.9% implied win probability versus only 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands, with 14 samples clustered around 1.44-1.48 for the home side and 7.1-8.5 for the visitors. Recent form supports a cautious home edge: Uruguay are hard to beat, drawing tight games such as 1-1 versus Saudi Arabia, 0-0 versus Algeria and 1-1 versus England, though the 1-5 loss to USA flags occasional defensive lapses. Cape Verde Islands have shown attacking pop in frien62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Fixture: URU vs CPV. Kickoff: 2026-06-21T22:00:00Z. Venue: Miami Stadium, Miami Gardens, altitude 2 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Uruguay: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Uruguay: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Cape Verde Islands: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Cape Verde Islands: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-20T20:06:24Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 64.9%, draw 23.1%, side B win 12.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-20T16:15:27Z -> 2026-06-20T20:06:24Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.68pp, draw +0.22pp, side B win +0.46pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.47 / draw 3.9 / side B 7.6 → side A 1.47 / draw 4 / side B 7.1; william_hill side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 7.5 → side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 7.5; bet365 side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 9.5 → side A 1.44 / draw 4.1 / side B 8.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.47, draw 4, side B 7.1; william_hill: side A 1.44, draw 4, side B 7.5; bet365: side A 1.44, draw 4.1, side B 8.5; marathonbet: side A 1.48, draw 4.2, side B 7.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.3.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Uruguay:

    • 2026-06-15T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Algeria, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against England, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-16T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-13T12:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2025-10-10T12:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Dominican Republic, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-09-01T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-07-14T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Canada, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2024-07-11T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Cape Verde Islands:

    • 2026-06-15T16:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Spain, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bermuda, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Serbia, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T03:00:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against Chile, home/away away, score 2-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-08T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Georgia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-03T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malaysia, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-29T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malaysia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-03-25T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-03-21T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guyana, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-01-10T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  10. The bookmaker consensus is firmly behind Uruguay at about 64.9% implied win probability versus only 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands, with 14 samples clustered around 1.44-1.48 for the home side and 7.1-8.5 for the visitors. Recent form supports a cautious home edge: Uruguay are hard to beat, drawing tight games such as 1-1 versus Saudi Arabia, 0-0 versus Algeria and 1-1 versus England, though the 1-5 loss to USA flags occasional defensive lapses. Cape Verde Islands have shown attacking pop in frien

Conclusion note

Uruguay are clear favorites over Cape Verde Islands, with bookmaker consensus near 64.9% for a home win against just 12.1% for the away side and short prices around 1.44-1.48. Uruguay's recent run is draw-heavy but defensively steady, while Cape Verde have scored freely in friendlies yet conceded four to Chile, and with no head-to-head, weather or lineups captured the pick carries added uncertainty.

Squad and data availability constraintsHome winThe bookmaker consensus is the decisive evidence here, pricing Uruguay at roughly 64.9% to win against 23.1% for a draw and only 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands, with representative lines around 1.44-1.48 for the home side and 7.1-8.5 for the visitors. Uruguay are unbeaten across recent matches including a 1-1 World Cup draw with Saudi Arabia, and Cape Verde Islands have shown competitiveness with a 0-0 against Spain, but the market gap is substantial. Both teams report no injuries while lineups, w62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Squad and data availability constraints

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Fixture: URU vs CPV. Kickoff: 2026-06-21T22:00:00Z. Venue: Miami Stadium, Miami Gardens, altitude 2 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Uruguay: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Uruguay: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Cape Verde Islands: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Cape Verde Islands: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-20T20:06:24Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 64.9%, draw 23.1%, side B win 12.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-20T16:15:27Z -> 2026-06-20T20:06:24Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.68pp, draw +0.22pp, side B win +0.46pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.47 / draw 3.9 / side B 7.6 → side A 1.47 / draw 4 / side B 7.1; william_hill side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 7.5 → side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 7.5; bet365 side A 1.44 / draw 4 / side B 9.5 → side A 1.44 / draw 4.1 / side B 8.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.47, draw 4, side B 7.1; william_hill: side A 1.44, draw 4, side B 7.5; bet365: side A 1.44, draw 4.1, side B 8.5; marathonbet: side A 1.48, draw 4.2, side B 7.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.3.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Uruguay:

    • 2026-06-15T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Algeria, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against England, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2025-11-16T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-13T12:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2025-10-10T12:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Dominican Republic, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-09-01T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-07-14T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Canada, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2024-07-11T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T22:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Cape Verde Islands:

    • 2026-06-15T16:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Spain, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Bermuda, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Serbia, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T03:00:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against Chile, home/away away, score 2-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-08T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Georgia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-03T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malaysia, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-05-29T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malaysia, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-03-25T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-03-21T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guyana, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-01-10T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  10. The bookmaker consensus is the decisive evidence here, pricing Uruguay at roughly 64.9% to win against 23.1% for a draw and only 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands, with representative lines around 1.44-1.48 for the home side and 7.1-8.5 for the visitors. Uruguay are unbeaten across recent matches including a 1-1 World Cup draw with Saudi Arabia, and Cape Verde Islands have shown competitiveness with a 0-0 against Spain, but the market gap is substantial. Both teams report no injuries while lineups, w

Conclusion note

Uruguay are clear favorites over Cape Verde Islands as schedule-listed home side at Miami Stadium, with bookmaker consensus implying about 64.9% for an Uruguay win versus 12.1% for Cape Verde and home prices clustered near 1.44-1.48. Uruguay enter unbeaten in recent outings and Cape Verde held Spain to a goalless draw, but with lineups, weather and head-to-head all uncaptured the pick carries added uncertainty.

Synthesis

Uruguay are firmly priced as favorites over Cape Verde Islands, with a tight bookmaker consensus near 1.44-1.48 implying about 65% for a home win against only 12% for the visitors, and the three perspectives all back Uruguay. The decisive tradeoff is that Uruguay's recent form has been draw-heavy and defensively cautious while Cape Verde Islands recently held Spain scoreless, so a narrow margin is likely; as a hypothesis Uruguay may need patience to break a stubborn defense rather than a comfortable win, and the lack of lineup, weather and head-to-head data keeps confidence measured.

Reasoning summary: All three perspectives agree that Uruguay are clear favorites, with 14 bookmaker samples clustered tightly around 1.44-1.48 for the home win, implying roughly 64.9% against just 12.1% for Cape Verde Islands. The main uncertainty noted across views is Uruguay's draw-heavy recent run including 1-1 against Saudi Arabia, 0-0 against Algeria and 1-1 against England, plus Cape Verde Islands holding Spain to a goalless draw, which raises the chance of a tight, low-scoring game. With no head-to-head, li

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Spain vs Cape Verde Islands Preview editionRecall anchors: esp cpv group_h_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Spain win with confidence 0.85. Probability distribution: Spain win 85.0%; draw 10.0%; Cape Verde Islands win 5.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Spain 2-0 Cape Verde Islands, Spain 3-0 relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Spain vs Cape Verde Islands Actionable editionRecall anchors: esp cpv group_h_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Spain win with confidence 0.87. Probability distribution: Spain win 87.0%; draw 8.5%; Cape Verde Islands win 4.5%. Top-3 scorelines: Spain 3-0 Cape Verde Islands, Spain 2-0relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Preview editionRecall anchors: ksa uru group_h_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Uruguay win with confidence 0.64. Probability distribution: Saudi Arabia win 13.0%; draw 23.0%; Uruguay win 64.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Uruguay, Saudi Arabia 0-relevance 0.50