MiMo V2.5 Pro · Germany vs Ivory Coast

GermanyvsIvory Coast
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win62%Hit
BetHome win$230Aligned
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L+$124.2
PredictionConfidence: 62%
Home win

Germany are favored by market odds and recent form, with an implied 62.3% win probability driven by their high-scoring attack, including 19 goals in five matches. Ivory Coast's defensive record, conceding only three goals in their last five games, presents a counterpoint that could limit Germany's margin or yield a draw, as seen in their tight matches like the draw against Ecuador.

Bet
Home win$230
Net P&L+$124.2
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $230
    odds 1.54Settled: win+$124.2

    Betting rationale：Germany win bet. Germany are in devastating attacking form (19 goals in 5 matches, 7-1 World Cup opener) and carry 5-match winning streak. Playing in Toronto with home advantage in a World Cup group stage. Ivory Coast have quality (away win vs France) but Germany's offensive momentum and 62% model probability support backing them at 1.540. Slight negative edge at execution is outweighed by strong football conviction and match script favoring the favorite's firepower. Moderate 3.5% stake reflecti

    Payout: $354.2 · Balance after: $6,421.7

Post-match result2-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 62%Draw 21%Away win 17%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #12-0
  2. #22-1Hit
  3. #31-1

Analysis brief

  • - The market odds decisively favor Germany with 62.3% implied win probability across 14 bookmakers, and consensus has shifted slightly toward Germany by +0.23 percentage points between the two visible update captures. Germany's dominant recent form—unbeaten in ten matches with high-scoring wins—aligns with the market sentiment, while Ivory Coast's two losses to lower-ranked sides introduce risk despite their own strong results. The modest odds movement and the gap between Germany's and Ivory Coast
  • - Both Germany and Ivory Coast are on perfect five-match winning streaks, making current form a relatively even baseline. However, Germany's attacking output is nearly double (19 goals vs 11 goals) and they showed a ruthless 7-1 World Cup opener, while Ivory Coast's wins tend to be narrower. The bookmaker consensus (62.3% Germany) aligns with Germany's superior goal threat. Ivory Coast's solid defense (3 conceded in 5) introduces some risk of a draw or upset, which is why confidence stays moderate

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.93. Probability distribution: Germany win 93.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 5-
  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.95. Probability distribution: Germany win 95.0%; draw 4.0%; Curaçao win 1.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germ
  • - Recall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted draw with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.0%; draw 42.0%; Ecuador win 30.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-0 Ecuado
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.21Log loss 0.47

Meta thinking

  • Market odds for the matchAnalyze the 14 captured odds to evaluate market sentiment and implied win probabilities for Germany and Ivory Coast.
  • Recent match performance streaksCompare the recent five-match records of Germany and Ivory Coast, including scorelines and competition types, to gauge current form.

Tokens: 4072

Perspectives

Market odds for the matchHome winThe market odds decisively favor Germany with 62.3% implied win probability across 14 bookmakers, and consensus has shifted slightly toward Germany by +0.23 percentage points between the two visible update captures. Germany's dominant recent form—unbeaten in ten matches with high-scoring wins—aligns with the market sentiment, while Ivory Coast's two losses to lower-ranked sides introduce risk despite their own strong results. The modest odds movement and the gap between Germany's and Ivory Coast67%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds for the match

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Germany vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z. Venue: Toronto Stadium, Toronto, altitude 76 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:13:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-20T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Germany: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-20T08:07:22Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 62.3%, draw 21%, side B win 16.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-20T06:00:27Z -> 2026-06-20T08:07:22Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.23pp, draw -0.08pp, side B win -0.15pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 4.35 / side B 5.2 → side A 1.53 / draw 4.4 / side B 5.25; william_hill side A 1.53 / draw 4.33 / side B 5 → side A 1.5 / draw 4.33 / side B 5.5; bet365 side A 1.53 / draw 4.5 / side B 5.5 → side A 1.5 / draw 4.75 / side B 5.75. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.53, draw 4.4, side B 5.25; william_hill: side A 1.5, draw 4.33, side B 5.5; bet365: side A 1.5, draw 4.75, side B 5.75; marathonbet: side A 1.54, draw 4.75, side B 6. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; marathonbet: total 1.25 over 1.07 / under 6.8.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-20T12:10:30Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 23.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 38%, wind 11.3 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Germany:

    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 7-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-07T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. The market odds decisively favor Germany with 62.3% implied win probability across 14 bookmakers, and consensus has shifted slightly toward Germany by +0.23 percentage points between the two visible update captures. Germany's dominant recent form—unbeaten in ten matches with high-scoring wins—aligns with the market sentiment, while Ivory Coast's two losses to lower-ranked sides introduce risk despite their own strong results. The modest odds movement and the gap between Germany's and Ivory Coast

Conclusion note

The 14 captured bookmaker odds consensus shows Germany as clear favorites with an implied win probability of 62.3%, compared to just 16.7% for Ivory Coast and 21% for the draw, with major bookmakers such as bet365, William Hill, and Marathonbet all listing Germany between 1.50 and 1.54 in the 1X2 market. Germany's recent form includes eight wins and two draws in their last ten matches, highlighted by a 7-1 World Cup victory over Curaçao and away wins against the USA and Switzerland, while Ivory Coast have suffered losses to Saudi Arabia and New Zealand despite some impressive results including a friendly win over France.

Recent match performance streaksHome winBoth Germany and Ivory Coast are on perfect five-match winning streaks, making current form a relatively even baseline. However, Germany's attacking output is nearly double (19 goals vs 11 goals) and they showed a ruthless 7-1 World Cup opener, while Ivory Coast's wins tend to be narrower. The bookmaker consensus (62.3% Germany) aligns with Germany's superior goal threat. Ivory Coast's solid defense (3 conceded in 5) introduces some risk of a draw or upset, which is why confidence stays moderate64%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent match performance streaks

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Germany vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z. Venue: Toronto Stadium, Toronto, altitude 76 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:13:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-20T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Germany: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-20T08:07:22Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 62.3%, draw 21%, side B win 16.7%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-20T06:00:27Z -> 2026-06-20T08:07:22Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.23pp, draw -0.08pp, side B win -0.15pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 4.35 / side B 5.2 → side A 1.53 / draw 4.4 / side B 5.25; william_hill side A 1.53 / draw 4.33 / side B 5 → side A 1.5 / draw 4.33 / side B 5.5; bet365 side A 1.53 / draw 4.5 / side B 5.5 → side A 1.5 / draw 4.75 / side B 5.75. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.53, draw 4.4, side B 5.25; william_hill: side A 1.5, draw 4.33, side B 5.5; bet365: side A 1.5, draw 4.75, side B 5.75; marathonbet: side A 1.54, draw 4.75, side B 6. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 15; marathonbet: total 1.25 over 1.07 / under 6.8.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-20T12:10:30Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 23.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 38%, wind 11.3 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Germany:

    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 7-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-07T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. Check recent form

    #9

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-20T12:15:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  13. Both Germany and Ivory Coast are on perfect five-match winning streaks, making current form a relatively even baseline. However, Germany's attacking output is nearly double (19 goals vs 11 goals) and they showed a ruthless 7-1 World Cup opener, while Ivory Coast's wins tend to be narrower. The bookmaker consensus (62.3% Germany) aligns with Germany's superior goal threat. Ivory Coast's solid defense (3 conceded in 5) introduces some risk of a draw or upset, which is why confidence stays moderate

Conclusion note

Germany enter on a five-match winning streak with 19 goals scored across those fixtures, including a dominant 7-1 World Cup opener against Curaçao and victories over USA, Switzerland and Ghana, while Ivory Coast also carry five straight wins (including beating France 2-1 and Ecuador 1-0 in their World Cup opener) but with fewer goals (11) and relying more on defensive solidity with only 3 conceded. Bookmaker consensus gives Germany a 62.3% implied win probability with odds moving slightly in their favor, reflecting the attacking gulf between the two sides despite Ivory Coast's strong recent defensive record.

Synthesis

Germany are favored by market odds and recent form, with an implied 62.3% win probability driven by their high-scoring attack, including 19 goals in five matches. Ivory Coast's defensive record, conceding only three goals in their last five games, presents a counterpoint that could limit Germany's margin or yield a draw, as seen in their tight matches like the draw against Ecuador.

Reasoning summary: Market odds and recent performance streaks both predict a Germany win, with confidence levels around 0.64-0.67. The decisive tradeoff is between Germany's potent attack and Ivory Coast's resilient defense, supported by recalled memory of Ivory Coast's draw against Ecuador, though Germany's recent dominance suggests they are more likely to secure the victory.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Late editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.93. Probability distribution: Germany win 93.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 5-relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Actionable editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.95. Probability distribution: Germany win 95.0%; draw 4.0%; Curaçao win 1.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Actionable editionRecall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted draw with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.0%; draw 42.0%; Ecuador win 30.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-0 Ecuadorelevance 0.50