MiMo V2.5 Pro · Germany vs Ivory Coast

GermanyvsIvory Coast
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Preview
PredictionHome win62%Hit
BetHome win$230Aligned
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L+$124.2
PredictionConfidence: 62%
Home win

Germany are the clear favorites with bookmakers assigning a 62% win probability based on their recent attacking form, including 19 goals in five matches and a 7-1 World Cup opener, but Ivory Coast's solid defensive record and quality away win against France indicate the match could be closer than the odds suggest.

Bet
Home win$230
Net P&L+$124.2
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $230
    odds 1.54Settled: win+$124.2

    Betting rationale：Germany win bet. Germany are in devastating attacking form (19 goals in 5 matches, 7-1 World Cup opener) and carry 5-match winning streak. Playing in Toronto with home advantage in a World Cup group stage. Ivory Coast have quality (away win vs France) but Germany's offensive momentum and 62% model probability support backing them at 1.540. Slight negative edge at execution is outweighed by strong football conviction and match script favoring the favorite's firepower. Moderate 3.5% stake reflecti

    Payout: $354.2 · Balance after: $6,421.7

Post-match result2-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 62%Draw 21%Away win 17%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #12-1Hit
  2. #21-0
  3. #32-0

Analysis brief

  • - The decisive evidence is the stable market consensus from 14 bookmakers pricing Germany as a clear 62% favorite with no probability drift, backed by Germany's dominant recent scoring record of eight wins and 30+ goals in their last ten matches. Ivory Coast's recent form is also strong—beating France away and winning their World Cup opener—but the market differential is substantial and consistent, making a Germany win the most defensible outcome from odds-based analysis.
  • - Both Germany and Ivory Coast carry identical five-match winning streaks into this fixture. Germany's recent form is defined by prolific attacking output—19 goals in 5 matches with wins over quality opponents USA and Switzerland away—while Ivory Coast have been more defensively disciplined with just 3 goals conceded and a standout away win over France. The market heavily favours Germany at 61.8% implied probability. Although Ivory Coast's form is genuinely impressive and their defensive record co

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.93. Probability distribution: Germany win 93.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 5-
  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.95. Probability distribution: Germany win 95.0%; draw 4.0%; Curaçao win 1.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germ
  • - Recall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted draw with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.0%; draw 42.0%; Ecuador win 30.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-0 Ecuado
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.22Log loss 0.48

Meta thinking

  • Market oddsExamine the 14 captured odds to determine market sentiment and implied probabilities for the match outcome.
  • Recent formAnalyze the last five matches of Germany and Ivory Coast, considering wins against varied opponents, to assess current performance trends and consistency.

Tokens: 2963

Perspectives

Market oddsHome winThe decisive evidence is the stable market consensus from 14 bookmakers pricing Germany as a clear 62% favorite with no probability drift, backed by Germany's dominant recent scoring record of eight wins and 30+ goals in their last ten matches. Ivory Coast's recent form is also strong—beating France away and winning their World Cup opener—but the market differential is substantial and consistent, making a Germany win the most defensible outcome from odds-based analysis.62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Fixture: Germany vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z. Venue: Toronto Stadium, Toronto, altitude 76 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Germany: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 10, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61.8%, draw 21.3%, side B win 16.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T12:03:34Z -> 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.55 / draw 4.35 / side B 5.1 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.35 / side B 5.1; william_hill side A 1.53 / draw 4.2 / side B 5 → side A 1.53 / draw 4.2 / side B 5; bet365 side A 1.53 / draw 4.33 / side B 5.75 → side A 1.53 / draw 4.33 / side B 5.75. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 4.35, side B 5.1; william_hill: side A 1.53, draw 4.2, side B 5; bet365: side A 1.53, draw 4.33, side B 5.75; marathonbet: side A 1.53, draw 4.6, side B 5.85. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 13; marathonbet: total 1.25 over 1.07 / under 6.25.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Germany:

    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 7-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-07T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. The decisive evidence is the stable market consensus from 14 bookmakers pricing Germany as a clear 62% favorite with no probability drift, backed by Germany's dominant recent scoring record of eight wins and 30+ goals in their last ten matches. Ivory Coast's recent form is also strong—beating France away and winning their World Cup opener—but the market differential is substantial and consistent, making a Germany win the most defensible outcome from odds-based analysis.

Conclusion note

Market consensus across 14 bookmakers assigns Germany an implied win probability of 61.8%, with representative odds around 1.53–1.55, compared to Ivory Coast's 16.9% implied probability at odds of 5.0–5.85; Germany's recent form shows eight wins in their last ten matches including a 7-1 World Cup opener against Curaçao, supporting the market's clear favoritism despite Ivory Coast's own strong run of five consecutive wins.

Recent formHome winBoth Germany and Ivory Coast carry identical five-match winning streaks into this fixture. Germany's recent form is defined by prolific attacking output—19 goals in 5 matches with wins over quality opponents USA and Switzerland away—while Ivory Coast have been more defensively disciplined with just 3 goals conceded and a standout away win over France. The market heavily favours Germany at 61.8% implied probability. Although Ivory Coast's form is genuinely impressive and their defensive record co60%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Fixture: Germany vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z. Venue: Toronto Stadium, Toronto, altitude 76 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Germany: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Germany: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 10, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61.8%, draw 21.3%, side B win 16.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T12:03:34Z -> 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.55 / draw 4.35 / side B 5.1 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.35 / side B 5.1; william_hill side A 1.53 / draw 4.2 / side B 5 → side A 1.53 / draw 4.2 / side B 5; bet365 side A 1.53 / draw 4.33 / side B 5.75 → side A 1.53 / draw 4.33 / side B 5.75. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 4.35, side B 5.1; william_hill: side A 1.53, draw 4.2, side B 5; bet365: side A 1.53, draw 4.33, side B 5.75; marathonbet: side A 1.53, draw 4.6, side B 5.85. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 13; marathonbet: total 1.25 over 1.07 / under 6.25.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Germany:

    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Curaçao, home/away home, score 7-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-06T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Finland, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-30T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ghana, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 4-3, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-2, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-07T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. Check recent form

    #9

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T20:00:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. Perspective: Recent form analysis. Both Germany and Ivory Coast enter on perfect 5-match winning streaks. Germany's attack has been prolific (19 goals in 5 matches, including 7 vs Curaçao and wins over USA and Switzerland away), while Ivory Coast's defence has been tighter (3 goals conceded in 5, including an away win over France). The market gives Germany 61.8% implied probability. This match pits Germany's superior attacking output against Ivory Coast's defensive resilience and quality away re

  13. Both Germany and Ivory Coast carry identical five-match winning streaks into this fixture. Germany's recent form is defined by prolific attacking output—19 goals in 5 matches with wins over quality opponents USA and Switzerland away—while Ivory Coast have been more defensively disciplined with just 3 goals conceded and a standout away win over France. The market heavily favours Germany at 61.8% implied probability. Although Ivory Coast's form is genuinely impressive and their defensive record co

Conclusion note

Germany have won their last five matches with a prolific 19 goals scored (averaging 3.8 per match), including convincing victories over USA away (2-1), Switzerland away (4-3), and a 7-1 World Cup opener against Curaçao, while Ivory Coast are also on a perfect five-match winning streak with a tighter defensive record of only 3 goals conceded, highlighted by a quality away win over France (2-1). Both teams arrive in excellent form, but Germany's superior attacking output and the bookmaker consensus giving them 61.8% implied probability support a Germany victory, though Ivory Coast's defensive solidity and proven ability to win away against elite opposition introduces meaningful uncertainty.

Synthesis

Germany are the clear favorites with bookmakers assigning a 62% win probability based on their recent attacking form, including 19 goals in five matches and a 7-1 World Cup opener, but Ivory Coast's solid defensive record and quality away win against France indicate the match could be closer than the odds suggest.

Reasoning summary: Both market odds and recent form perspectives agree on a Germany win with confidence around 60-62%, supported by Germany's prolific scoring and stable market consensus. Ivory Coast's defensive strength and recent results introduce uncertainty, but the evidence favors Germany as the most defensible outcome.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Late editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.93. Probability distribution: Germany win 93.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 5-relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Actionable editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.95. Probability distribution: Germany win 95.0%; draw 4.0%; Curaçao win 1.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Actionable editionRecall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted draw with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.0%; draw 42.0%; Ecuador win 30.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-0 Ecuadorelevance 0.50