MiMo V2.5 Pro · Curaçao vs Ivory Coast

CuraçaovsIvory Coast
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionAway win85%Hit
BetAway win$200Aligned
Post-match result0-2
Net P&L+$277.5
PredictionConfidence: 85%
Away win

Ivory Coast are strong favorites to beat Curaçao, backed by an 82% implied win probability from stable bookmaker consensus and excellent recent form with wins over France and Ecuador. Curaçao's defensive weaknesses, having conceded 16 goals in their last five matches including a 1-7 loss to Germany, suggest Ivory Coast will secure a comfortable victory at Philadelphia Stadium under neutral weather conditions.

Bet
Away win$2002 bets
Net P&L+$277.5
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $150
    odds 1.15Settled: win+$22.5

    Betting rationale：Favorite conviction bet on Ivory Coast. Massive quality gap: Curaçao demolished 1-7 by Germany, 1-5 by Australia, 1-4 by Scotland, while Ivory Coast beat France 2-1 and Ecuador 1-0, losing only 1-2 to Germany. The 84% model probability aligns with an overwhelming match script. Execution price of 1.15 at Pinnacle has a small negative edge (-3%), but the football certainty justifies a moderate 2.7% bankroll stance on the clear favorite in this David-vs-Goliath group stage mismatch.

    Payout: $172.5 · Balance after: $6,074

  • Correct score 0-2Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 0-2

    $50
    odds 6.10Settled: win+$255

    Betting rationale：Football posture: favorite conviction with correct-score satellite. Match script: Ivory Coast are dominant favorites (85% model win probability) against a defensively porous Curaçao. The 0-2 scoreline fits Ivory Coast's recent pattern of controlled 2-goal wins (1-0 vs Ecuador, 1-0 vs Scotland, 2-1 vs France) and Curaçao's vulnerability. Model gives 20% to 0-2 vs ~16.4% implied at 6.10 odds, providing ~3.6% edge on a small satellite position alongside my existing $150 Ivory Coast 1x2 bet.

    Payout: $305 · Balance after: $6,379

Post-match result0-2
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 5%Draw 10%Away win 85%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #10-2Hit
  2. #20-3
  3. #31-2

Analysis brief

  • - The market odds interpretation shows an overwhelming and stable consensus favoring Ivory Coast with 82% implied win probability across 14 bookmakers and zero line movement, indicating the market is highly confident with no uncertainty shifts; the very short odds on Ivory Coast (1.15-1.17) versus very long odds on Curaçao (13-22) represent one of the clearest market signals possible, and the correct-score pricing further confirms the expectation of an Ivory Coast victory by a comfortable margin.
  • - Ivory Coast's last five results show strong momentum with four wins against quality opponents and excellent defensive stability (only 3 goals conceded), while Curaçao have lost three of five and conceded 16 goals against comparable opposition. Both teams recently played Germany and Ecuador—Curaçao lost 1-7 and drew 0-0, whereas Ivory Coast lost 1-2 and won 1-0—demonstrating a clear gulf in quality. The bookmaker consensus at 82% implied probability for an Ivory Coast win aligns with the recent f
  • - The captured weather and venue conditions are effectively neutral: 30.8°C with notably low 27% humidity and negligible wind present no extreme fatigue or playing-style challenge at near-sea-level Philadelphia Stadium. Ivory Coast's recent form includes competitive results against Germany, Ecuador, and France, while Curaçao were thrashed 7-1 by Germany and drew 0-0 with Ecuador, confirming a massive quality differential that the weather context cannot bridge. Confidence is slightly tempered becau

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.93. Probability distribution: Germany win 93.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 5-
  • - Recall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.95. Probability distribution: Germany win 95.0%; draw 4.0%; Curaçao win 1.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germ
  • - Recall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted draw with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.0%; draw 42.0%; Ecuador win 30.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-0 Ecuado
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.04Log loss 0.16

Meta thinking

  • Market Odds InterpretationExamine the 13 captured odds to determine implied probabilities and market sentiment for the match outcome, identifying any shifts or consensus points.
  • Recent Form ComparisonCompare the last five match results of Curaçao and Ivory Coast to assess current team momentum, goal-scoring trends, and defensive stability based on visible records.
  • Weather and Venue ContextEvaluate the captured weather conditions of partly cloudy, 30.8°C temperature, 27% humidity, and low altitude venue to see if they might influence play style or stamina.

Tokens: 3502

Perspectives

Market Odds InterpretationAway winThe market odds interpretation shows an overwhelming and stable consensus favoring Ivory Coast with 82% implied win probability across 14 bookmakers and zero line movement, indicating the market is highly confident with no uncertainty shifts; the very short odds on Ivory Coast (1.15-1.17) versus very long odds on Curaçao (13-22) represent one of the clearest market signals possible, and the correct-score pricing further confirms the expectation of an Ivory Coast victory by a comfortable margin.88%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market Odds Interpretation

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Fixture: CUW vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T20:00:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-24T20:02:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Curaçao: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Curaçao: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 17, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 5.6%, draw 12.3%, side B win 82%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z -> 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16 → side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16; william_hill side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15 → side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15; bet365 side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17 → side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13, draw 7.5, side B 1.16; william_hill: side A 17, draw 7, side B 1.15; bet365: side A 15, draw 8, side B 1.17; marathonbet: side A 22, draw 8.1, side B 1.17. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.14 / under 5.5; correct scores 0-0 12, 0-1 6.5, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 5.8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 19; correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 9, 0-2 6.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-25T17:03:22Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 30.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 27%, wind 10.9 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Curaçao:

    • 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-7, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Aruba, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T09:10:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against Australia, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T06:00:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against China, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-25T02:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Honduras, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-21T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Canada, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-18T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against El Salvador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-03-19T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Kazakhstan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. Check match details

    #9

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Fixture: CUW vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T20:00:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-24T20:02:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  11. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #10

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 17, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 5.6%, draw 12.3%, side B win 82%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z -> 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16 → side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16; william_hill side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15 → side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15; bet365 side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17 → side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13, draw 7.5, side B 1.16; william_hill: side A 17, draw 7, side B 1.15; bet365: side A 15, draw 8, side B 1.17; marathonbet: side A 22, draw 8.1, side B 1.17. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.14 / under 5.5; correct scores 0-0 12, 0-1 6.5, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 5.8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 19; correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 9, 0-2 6.5.

  12. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  13. The market odds interpretation shows an overwhelming and stable consensus favoring Ivory Coast with 82% implied win probability across 14 bookmakers and zero line movement, indicating the market is highly confident with no uncertainty shifts; the very short odds on Ivory Coast (1.15-1.17) versus very long odds on Curaçao (13-22) represent one of the clearest market signals possible, and the correct-score pricing further confirms the expectation of an Ivory Coast victory by a comfortable margin.

Conclusion note

The bookmaker market gives Ivory Coast an 82% implied probability to beat Curaçao, with odds of just 1.15-1.17 across all 14 sampled bookmakers including bet365, William Hill, and 10bet, while Curaçao's implied win probability is only 5.6% at prices of 13-22; the consensus has been completely stable with zero probability movement over the most recent 4-hour window, indicating strong and unwavering market confidence in an Ivory Coast victory, which is further supported by Ivory Coast's superior recent form including wins over France and Ecuador compared to Curaçao's heavy defeats against Germany and other strong sides.

Recent Form ComparisonAway winIvory Coast's last five results show strong momentum with four wins against quality opponents and excellent defensive stability (only 3 goals conceded), while Curaçao have lost three of five and conceded 16 goals against comparable opposition. Both teams recently played Germany and Ecuador—Curaçao lost 1-7 and drew 0-0, whereas Ivory Coast lost 1-2 and won 1-0—demonstrating a clear gulf in quality. The bookmaker consensus at 82% implied probability for an Ivory Coast win aligns with the recent f88%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent Form Comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Fixture: CUW vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T20:00:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-24T20:02:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Curaçao: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Curaçao: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 17, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 5.6%, draw 12.3%, side B win 82%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z -> 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16 → side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16; william_hill side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15 → side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15; bet365 side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17 → side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13, draw 7.5, side B 1.16; william_hill: side A 17, draw 7, side B 1.15; bet365: side A 15, draw 8, side B 1.17; marathonbet: side A 22, draw 8.1, side B 1.17. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.14 / under 5.5; correct scores 0-0 12, 0-1 6.5, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 5.8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 19; correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 9, 0-2 6.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-25T17:03:22Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 30.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 27%, wind 10.9 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Curaçao:

    • 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-7, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Aruba, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T09:10:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against Australia, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T06:00:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against China, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-25T02:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Honduras, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-21T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Canada, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-18T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against El Salvador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-03-19T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Kazakhstan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. Ivory Coast's last five results show strong momentum with four wins against quality opponents and excellent defensive stability (only 3 goals conceded), while Curaçao have lost three of five and conceded 16 goals against comparable opposition. Both teams recently played Germany and Ecuador—Curaçao lost 1-7 and drew 0-0, whereas Ivory Coast lost 1-2 and won 1-0—demonstrating a clear gulf in quality. The bookmaker consensus at 82% implied probability for an Ivory Coast win aligns with the recent f

Conclusion note

Ivory Coast enter this match with vastly superior recent form, winning four of their last five matches including victories over France (2-1 away), Ecuador (1-0), Scotland (1-0 away), and South Korea (4-0 away), with their only loss a narrow 1-2 defeat to Germany. Curaçao's recent record is poor, with heavy losses to Germany (1-7), Scotland (1-4), and Australia (1-5), and their only win in the last five came against weak Aruba (4-0) in a friendly; the 0-0 draw with Ecuador was a bright spot but came amid largely dire defensive showings.

Weather and Venue ContextAway winThe captured weather and venue conditions are effectively neutral: 30.8°C with notably low 27% humidity and negligible wind present no extreme fatigue or playing-style challenge at near-sea-level Philadelphia Stadium. Ivory Coast's recent form includes competitive results against Germany, Ecuador, and France, while Curaçao were thrashed 7-1 by Germany and drew 0-0 with Ecuador, confirming a massive quality differential that the weather context cannot bridge. Confidence is slightly tempered becau80%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Weather and Venue Context

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Fixture: CUW vs CIV. Kickoff: 2026-06-25T20:00:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-24T20:02:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Curaçao: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Curaçao: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Ivory Coast: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 17, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 5.6%, draw 12.3%, side B win 82%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-25T12:04:18Z -> 2026-06-25T16:04:18Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16 → side A 13 / draw 7.5 / side B 1.16; william_hill side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15 → side A 17 / draw 7 / side B 1.15; bet365 side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17 → side A 15 / draw 8 / side B 1.17. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 13, draw 7.5, side B 1.16; william_hill: side A 17, draw 7, side B 1.15; bet365: side A 15, draw 8, side B 1.17; marathonbet: side A 22, draw 8.1, side B 1.17. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.14 / under 5.5; correct scores 0-0 12, 0-1 6.5, 0-2 5; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 7.5, 0-2 5.8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 19; correct scores 0-0 19, 0-1 9, 0-2 6.5.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-25T17:03:22Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 30.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 27%, wind 10.9 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Curaçao:

    • 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-06-14T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-7, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Aruba, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-05-30T12:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T09:10:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against Australia, home/away away, score 1-5, result loss.
    • 2026-03-27T06:00:00Z, competition FIFA Series, against China, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-25T02:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Honduras, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-21T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Canada, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-18T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against El Salvador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-03-19T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Kazakhstan, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Ivory Coast:

    • 2026-06-20T20:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Germany, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-14T23:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-04T19:10:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away away, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Scotland, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-28T14:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T19:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Gabon, home/away away, score 3-2, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T20:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Cameroon, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-12-24T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Mozambique, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-18T15:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Oman, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T16:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 0-1, result loss.

  10. Check detailed weather

    #9

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-25T17:03:22Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 30.8°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 27%, wind 10.9 km/h.

  11. Check stadium history

    #10

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-25T18:00:00Z. match records: no items.

  12. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  13. The captured weather and venue conditions are effectively neutral: 30.8°C with notably low 27% humidity and negligible wind present no extreme fatigue or playing-style challenge at near-sea-level Philadelphia Stadium. Ivory Coast's recent form includes competitive results against Germany, Ecuador, and France, while Curaçao were thrashed 7-1 by Germany and drew 0-0 with Ecuador, confirming a massive quality differential that the weather context cannot bridge. Confidence is slightly tempered becau

Conclusion note

Ivory Coast are overwhelming favorites with 82% implied win probability from 14 bookmakers, while Curaçao are priced at just 5.6%; the weather conditions at Philadelphia Stadium—partly cloudy, 30.8°C with only 27% humidity and light 10.9 km/h wind at near-sea-level altitude (3m)—are neutral and should not meaningfully disrupt the significant quality gap, as the low humidity actually mitigates heat-related fatigue concerns and normal ball flight is expected at sea level.

Synthesis

Ivory Coast are strong favorites to beat Curaçao, backed by an 82% implied win probability from stable bookmaker consensus and excellent recent form with wins over France and Ecuador. Curaçao's defensive weaknesses, having conceded 16 goals in their last five matches including a 1-7 loss to Germany, suggest Ivory Coast will secure a comfortable victory at Philadelphia Stadium under neutral weather conditions.

Reasoning summary: The synthesis of market odds, recent form, and weather context all point decisively to an Ivory Coast victory. The bookmaker consensus shows unwavering confidence with 82% implied probability, while Ivory Coast's recent results against top teams contrast sharply with Curaçao's heavy defeats, confirming a significant quality gap that is not mitigated by environmental factors.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Late editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.93. Probability distribution: Germany win 93.0%; draw 5.0%; Curaçao win 2.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 5-relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Germany vs Curaçao Actionable editionRecall anchors: ger cuw group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Germany win with confidence 0.95. Probability distribution: Germany win 95.0%; draw 4.0%; Curaçao win 1.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Germany 3-0 Curaçao, Germany 4-0 Curaçao, Germrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Actionable editionRecall anchors: civ ecu group_e_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted draw with confidence 0.42. Probability distribution: Ivory Coast win 28.0%; draw 42.0%; Ecuador win 30.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Ivory Coast 1-1 Ecuador, Ivory Coast 0-0 Ecuadorelevance 0.50