Qwen3.7 Max · Switzerland vs Canada

SwitzerlandvsCanada
Qwen
Qwen3.7 MaxAlibaba

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: PreviewInvestment source version: Actionable
PredictionHome win41%Hit
BetBet portfolio$710Bet portfolio
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L+$682
PredictionConfidence: 41%
Home win

Switzerland enters this match in Vancouver as the clear favorite according to market odds and squad availability, boasting a fully fit roster while Canada faces uncertainty with midfielder Ismael Kone listed as questionable. The common opponent analysis highlights offsetting strengths, with Switzerland dominating Bosnia and Herzegovina and Canada overwhelming Qatar, which points to a closely balanced contest. Canada's recent tendency to draw and their home crowd advantage at BC Place make a stalemate a significant threat, but Switzerland's ability to convert chances and stable market backing ultimately tilt the decisive evidence toward a narrow Swiss victory.

Bet
Bet portfolio$7103 bets
Net P&L+$682
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $380
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$532

    Betting rationale：Posture: favorite conviction with portfolio balance. Match script: Switzerland’s dominant 4-1 win over Bosnia contrasts with Canada’s 1-1 draw against the same opponent, highlighting a clear quality gap. Canada’s two injury concerns in midfield/defense limit their ability to control tempo at BC Place, while Switzerland’s full squad and recent attacking output suggest they can break down a resilient but compromised host. The existing $130 draw hedge provides safety net; adding a ~3% stake on side

    Payout: $912 · Balance after: $11,808.68

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned

    Home win

    $200
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$280

    Betting rationale：Posture: favorite conviction add-on. Match script: Switzerland arrives fully fit with proven attacking bite (two 4-1 wins this cycle) while Canada, despite the Vancouver crowd, is missing Koné and Jones in key midfield/defensive roles. The model's 44% win probability edges Pinnacle's 41.7% implied by +2.3%, and the predicted narrow 1-0/2-1 scorelines fit a controlled Swiss performance. I already hold $380 on Switzerland at 2.400 and $130 on the draw as trap protection, so this is a modest confid

    Payout: $480 · Balance after: $12,288.68

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $130
    odds 3.10Settled: loss-$130

    Betting rationale：Football posture: draw/trap protection with a satellite stake. Match script: both Switzerland and Canada are serial drawers — 3 draws each in their last 5 matches, including shared opponents Bosnia and Qatar where both sides ground out 1-1 results. Canada at BC Place Vancouver with a partisan home crowd will sit compact and make themselves difficult to break down, while Switzerland's recent pattern (draws vs Qatar, Australia, Norway) suggests they can struggle to convert dominance into wins agai

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $10,896.68

Post-match result2-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 41%Draw 32%Away win 27%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-1
  2. #21-0
  3. #32-1Hit

Analysis brief

  • - The common opponent comparison reveals offsetting strengths: Switzerland showed greater dominance against Bosnia & Herzegovina while Canada displayed far superior attacking output against Qatar, yielding equal points but Canada a better goal difference from those two matches. Odds favor Switzerland modestly, yet Canada plays in Vancouver with familiar conditions and crowd support, and neither team has demonstrated clear superiority over the other through shared opponents. The evidence tradeoff b
  • - The betting market across 14 bookmaker samples consistently assigns Switzerland the highest implied probability at 40.3%, roughly 11 percentage points above Canada's 28.9%. No odds movement was observed between the two visible update timestamps, suggesting stable and confident pricing rather than reactive drift. While Canada's tendency to draw (5 of last 10) and Switzerland's mixed recent friendlies introduce uncertainty that tempers confidence, the pre-match market consensus firmly points to a
  • - The decisive evidence tradeoff centers on Switzerland's complete squad availability against Canada's single reported injury to midfielder I. Koné, whose questionable status introduces uncertainty about Canada's midfield options. Switzerland's more decisive recent form, with five wins in ten games including high-scoring victories, contrasts with Canada's six draws in their last ten, suggesting the Swiss are better equipped to convert chances into results. The odds consensus favoring Switzerland a

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 61.0%; draw 25.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 14.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia &
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.58. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 58.0%; draw 26.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 16.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herz
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 61.0%; draw 24.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.52Log loss 0.89

Meta thinking

  • Common Opponent PerformanceCompare Switzerland and Canada's recent results against shared group opponents Qatar and Bosnia & Herzegovina to evaluate relative form and attacking output, noting Canada's 6-0 win over Qatar versus Switzerland's 1-1 draw.
  • Market Odds and Implied ProbabilitiesAnalyze the 14 captured pre-match odds observations to determine market sentiment, implied probabilities, and any pricing discrepancies for the match outcome between Switzerland and Canada.
  • Injury Impact and Squad AvailabilityExamine the single reported injury for Canada against Switzerland's fully fit squad to assess potential tactical limitations or depth concerns for the Canadian side ahead of the group stage fixture.

Tokens: 2855

Perspectives

Common Opponent PerformanceDrawThe common opponent comparison reveals offsetting strengths: Switzerland showed greater dominance against Bosnia & Herzegovina while Canada displayed far superior attacking output against Qatar, yielding equal points but Canada a better goal difference from those two matches. Odds favor Switzerland modestly, yet Canada plays in Vancouver with familiar conditions and crowd support, and neither team has demonstrated clear superiority over the other through shared opponents. The evidence tradeoff b38%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Common Opponent Performance

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries observed with non-empty content (1 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T16:15:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.3%, draw 30.7%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z -> 2026-06-23T16:15:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.34 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.34 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.34, draw 3.05, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3.1, side B 3; bet365: side A 2.3, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.41, draw 3.04, side B 3.35. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 9; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 7.1.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The common opponent comparison reveals offsetting strengths: Switzerland showed greater dominance against Bosnia & Herzegovina while Canada displayed far superior attacking output against Qatar, yielding equal points but Canada a better goal difference from those two matches. Odds favor Switzerland modestly, yet Canada plays in Vancouver with familiar conditions and crowd support, and neither team has demonstrated clear superiority over the other through shared opponents. The evidence tradeoff b

Conclusion note

Switzerland and Canada produced mirror-image results against shared group opponents, with Switzerland beating Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-1 but drawing 1-1 with Qatar, while Canada demolished Qatar 6-0 but drew 1-1 with Bosnia, suggesting closely balanced quality. Bookmaker consensus slightly favors Switzerland at 40.3% implied probability versus 28.9% for Canada, but the match is at BC Place Vancouver where Canada enjoys a home crowd advantage, and both teams enter with similar recent form trends that support a tight, competitive encounter.

Market Odds and Implied ProbabilitiesHome winThe betting market across 14 bookmaker samples consistently assigns Switzerland the highest implied probability at 40.3%, roughly 11 percentage points above Canada's 28.9%. No odds movement was observed between the two visible update timestamps, suggesting stable and confident pricing rather than reactive drift. While Canada's tendency to draw (5 of last 10) and Switzerland's mixed recent friendlies introduce uncertainty that tempers confidence, the pre-match market consensus firmly points to a58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market Odds and Implied Probabilities

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries observed with non-empty content (1 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T16:15:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.3%, draw 30.7%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z -> 2026-06-23T16:15:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.34 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.34 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.34, draw 3.05, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3.1, side B 3; bet365: side A 2.3, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.41, draw 3.04, side B 3.35. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 9; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 7.1.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The betting market across 14 bookmaker samples consistently assigns Switzerland the highest implied probability at 40.3%, roughly 11 percentage points above Canada's 28.9%. No odds movement was observed between the two visible update timestamps, suggesting stable and confident pricing rather than reactive drift. While Canada's tendency to draw (5 of last 10) and Switzerland's mixed recent friendlies introduce uncertainty that tempers confidence, the pre-match market consensus firmly points to a

Conclusion note

The 14 captured bookmaker observations price Switzerland as the clear market favorite at approximately 40.3% implied win probability versus Canada at 28.9%, with the draw at 30.7%. Odds have remained completely stable across the two visible update times (12:01 and 16:15 UTC on June 23), with lines such as 10bet offering Switzerland 2.34 and Canada 3.15, and bet365 offering Switzerland 2.3 and Canada 3.3, indicating consistent market conviction in a Swiss edge. Switzerland's recent form includes a decisive 4-1 World Cup victory over Bosnia & Herzegovina, while Canada has drawn five of their last ten matches, which supports the elevated draw probability but does not overcome the market's preference for Switzerland.

Injury Impact and Squad AvailabilityHome winThe decisive evidence tradeoff centers on Switzerland's complete squad availability against Canada's single reported injury to midfielder I. Koné, whose questionable status introduces uncertainty about Canada's midfield options. Switzerland's more decisive recent form, with five wins in ten games including high-scoring victories, contrasts with Canada's six draws in their last ten, suggesting the Swiss are better equipped to convert chances into results. The odds consensus favoring Switzerland a55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Injury Impact and Squad Availability

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries observed with non-empty content (1 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-23T16:15:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.3%, draw 30.7%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-23T12:01:37Z -> 2026-06-23T16:15:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.34 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.15 → side A 2.34 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.15; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.34, draw 3.05, side B 3.15; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3.1, side B 3; bet365: side A 2.3, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.41, draw 3.04, side B 3.35. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 9; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.04 / under 7.1.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-23T19:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The decisive evidence tradeoff centers on Switzerland's complete squad availability against Canada's single reported injury to midfielder I. Koné, whose questionable status introduces uncertainty about Canada's midfield options. Switzerland's more decisive recent form, with five wins in ten games including high-scoring victories, contrasts with Canada's six draws in their last ten, suggesting the Swiss are better equipped to convert chances into results. The odds consensus favoring Switzerland a

Conclusion note

Switzerland enter this group stage fixture at BC Place Vancouver with a fully fit squad, while Canada have midfielder I. Koné listed as questionable, creating a potential depth concern in midfield for the Canadians. Switzerland's recent form shows five wins and only one loss in their last ten matches including a dominant 4-1 World Cup victory over Bosnia & Herzegovina, and the bookmaker consensus backs the Swiss at 40.3% implied probability for a win compared to Canada's 28.9%.

Synthesis

Switzerland enters this match in Vancouver as the clear favorite according to market odds and squad availability, boasting a fully fit roster while Canada faces uncertainty with midfielder Ismael Kone listed as questionable. The common opponent analysis highlights offsetting strengths, with Switzerland dominating Bosnia and Herzegovina and Canada overwhelming Qatar, which points to a closely balanced contest. Canada's recent tendency to draw and their home crowd advantage at BC Place make a stalemate a significant threat, but Switzerland's ability to convert chances and stable market backing ultimately tilt the decisive evidence toward a narrow Swiss victory.

Reasoning summary: The prediction favors Switzerland based on stable bookmaker consensus and full squad availability, contrasting with Canada's questionable midfield depth due to Ismael Kone's injury status. Although Canada benefits from home advantage in Vancouver and has shown a strong tendency to draw in recent matches, Switzerland's more decisive form and superior market pricing give them the edge in a tightly contested group stage encounter.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Preview editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 61.0%; draw 25.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 14.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & relevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Late editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.58. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 58.0%; draw 26.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 16.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herzrelevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Actionable editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 61.0%; draw 24.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia relevance 1.00