GLM-5.1 · Switzerland vs Canada

SwitzerlandvsCanada
Z.ai
GLM-5.1Zhipu AI

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Actionable
PredictionHome win40%Hit
BetBet portfolio$640Bet portfolio
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L+$536
PredictionConfidence: 40%
Home win

Switzerland are the bookmakers' consensus favorite at roughly 40% implied win probability, and they hold a clear squad availability advantage with no recorded injuries while Canada face two questionable players in key midfield and defensive positions. However, common-opponent comparisons yield conflicting signals—Canada performed far better against Qatar but worse against Bosnia—and both teams draw frequently in recent form. Canada's home support in Vancouver offsets some of Switzerland's edge, keeping the draw as a meaningful threat. Switzerland's combined odds consensus and selection certainty make them the most defensible pick, but confidence is moderate given the close probability spread and both teams' draw tendency.

Bet
Bet portfolio$6403 bets
Net P&L+$536
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $290
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$406

    Betting rationale：Switzerland are narrow favourites with 41% model probability, strong recent scoring form (4-1 WC win over Bosnia), and zero injury concerns. Canada have two questionable starters (Koné, Jones) and despite BC Place home support, they draw too often (5 of last 10). Execution price 2.400 at Pinnacle offers fair payout on a team with clearer tactical cohesion. Already holding $200 on side_a_win, I'm adding conviction here — the match script favours Swiss control against a Canada side that may be wea

    Payout: $696 · Balance after: $9,613.2

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $200
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$280

    Betting rationale：Switzerland carry a small positive model edge (+1.3% vs Pinnacle execution at 2.40) and a directional quality advantage: they beat Bosnia 4-1 while Canada drew 1-1 against the same opponent. Canada's 6-0 over Qatar inflates home-based form that's harder to trust at neutral assessment, and Ismaël Koné is questionable. Both teams are draw-heavy, but the draw has negative edge (-2.3%) at 3.10, making it a trap price. The venue anomaly — BC Place is Canada's home stadium yet Canada is listed away —

    Payout: $480 · Balance after: $8,917.2

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: LateReverse

    Draw

    $150
    odds 3.18Settled: loss-$150

    Betting rationale：Portfolio-hedge posture. Already holding $490 on Switzerland at 2.400 with negative model edge on that side (-0.017). The draw at 3.180 is the only outcome with positive execution edge (+0.006) and the football script supports it strongly: both teams draw frequently (Switzerland 3 draws in 5, Canada 2 draws plus a 0-0), Canada enjoys Vancouver home support at BC Place offsetting Switzerland's squad advantage, and Canada's 2 injuries in midfield/defense may push them into a compact, risk-averse s

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $9,613.2

Post-match result2-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 40%Draw 32%Away win 28%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-1
  2. #22-1Hit
  3. #31-0

Analysis brief

  • - The odds trend perspective shows a clear and stable consensus favoring Switzerland, whose implied win probability remains the highest at 40.1% despite a negligible 0.65pp drift over the most recent update window. Bookmaker-level divergence is limited: only bet365 drifted Switzerland to 2.38 while others held at 2.30, and Canada prices range narrowly from 3.20 to 3.42. The draw has edged up slightly (+0.7pp) but remains the second option, not overtaking Switzerland. With no significant odds disag
  • - The common-opponent comparison yields conflicting signals because Canada performed far better against Qatar but far worse against Bosnia compared to Switzerland, and both teams have drawn heavily in their last ten matches. Switzerland holds a modest odds favorite status at 40.1% implied probability, but Canada's home-crowd advantage at BC Place Vancouver and defensive solidity balance that edge, making a draw the most defensible outcome with moderate uncertainty.
  • - Canada's two questionable players occupy structurally important positions in midfield and defense, and their potential absence would reduce tactical depth and force lineup adjustments; Switzerland has no recorded availability issues, giving them greater selection certainty and flexibility. The odds consensus aligns with this asymmetry by pricing Switzerland at 40.1% versus Canada at 28.9%. However, both Canadian players are listed as questionable rather than confirmed absent, and without confirm

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.59. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 59.0%; draw 26.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia &
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.50. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 50.0%; draw 30.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 20.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herz
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 60.0%; draw 24.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 16.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.54Log loss 0.92

Meta thinking

  • Market odds trendInvestigate the 13 captured odds observations to identify any shift in implied probability between Switzerland and Canada as kickoff approaches, and check whether the odds alignment or divergence signals consensus or disagreement among bookmakers.
  • Recent form and common opponentsCompare recent results for both sides, noting that each faced Qatar and Bosnia & Herzegovina in this tournament window; Switzerland drew 1-1 with Qatar and beat Bosnia 4-1, while Canada beat Qatar 6-0 and drew 1-1 with Bosnia. This overlapping opponent data offers a direct form benchmark to examine.
  • Squad availability riskAssess the impact of Canada's 2 observed injuries versus Switzerland's 0 recorded injuries, focusing on whether missing personnel affect key positions or tactical depth, given that confirmed lineups are still unavailable.

Tokens: 2514

Perspectives

Market odds trendHome winThe odds trend perspective shows a clear and stable consensus favoring Switzerland, whose implied win probability remains the highest at 40.1% despite a negligible 0.65pp drift over the most recent update window. Bookmaker-level divergence is limited: only bet365 drifted Switzerland to 2.38 while others held at 2.30, and Canada prices range narrowly from 3.20 to 3.42. The draw has edged up slightly (+0.7pp) but remains the second option, not overtaking Switzerland. With no significant odds disag55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds trend

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The odds trend perspective shows a clear and stable consensus favoring Switzerland, whose implied win probability remains the highest at 40.1% despite a negligible 0.65pp drift over the most recent update window. Bookmaker-level divergence is limited: only bet365 drifted Switzerland to 2.38 while others held at 2.30, and Canada prices range narrowly from 3.20 to 3.42. The draw has edged up slightly (+0.7pp) but remains the second option, not overtaking Switzerland. With no significant odds disag

Conclusion note

Switzerland are the bookmakers' consensus favorite at 40.1% implied probability, with Canada at 28.9% and the draw at 31%, and across 13 captured odds observations the movement toward kickoff has been minimal—Switzerland drifted by only 0.65 percentage points—indicating stable market alignment rather than disagreement. Bet365 moved Switzerland from 2.30 to 2.38 while 10bet and William Hill held at 2.30, showing slight divergence but no meaningful shift away from Switzerland as the likeliest winner.

Recent form and common opponentsDrawThe common-opponent comparison yields conflicting signals because Canada performed far better against Qatar but far worse against Bosnia compared to Switzerland, and both teams have drawn heavily in their last ten matches. Switzerland holds a modest odds favorite status at 40.1% implied probability, but Canada's home-crowd advantage at BC Place Vancouver and defensive solidity balance that edge, making a draw the most defensible outcome with moderate uncertainty.38%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form and common opponents

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The common-opponent comparison yields conflicting signals because Canada performed far better against Qatar but far worse against Bosnia compared to Switzerland, and both teams have drawn heavily in their last ten matches. Switzerland holds a modest odds favorite status at 40.1% implied probability, but Canada's home-crowd advantage at BC Place Vancouver and defensive solidity balance that edge, making a draw the most defensible outcome with moderate uncertainty.

Conclusion note

Switzerland and Canada show mixed signals against shared opponents: Switzerland beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-1 but drew 1-1 with Qatar, while Canada drew 1-1 with Bosnia but hammered Qatar 6-0, so the common-opponent benchmark does not clearly favor either side. Both teams draw frequently in recent form and the Vancouver venue likely gives Canada crowd support that offsets Switzerland's slight odds edge.

Squad availability riskHome winCanada's two questionable players occupy structurally important positions in midfield and defense, and their potential absence would reduce tactical depth and force lineup adjustments; Switzerland has no recorded availability issues, giving them greater selection certainty and flexibility. The odds consensus aligns with this asymmetry by pricing Switzerland at 40.1% versus Canada at 28.9%. However, both Canadian players are listed as questionable rather than confirmed absent, and without confirm55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Squad availability risk

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Canada's two questionable players occupy structurally important positions in midfield and defense, and their potential absence would reduce tactical depth and force lineup adjustments; Switzerland has no recorded availability issues, giving them greater selection certainty and flexibility. The odds consensus aligns with this asymmetry by pricing Switzerland at 40.1% versus Canada at 28.9%. However, both Canadian players are listed as questionable rather than confirmed absent, and without confirm

Conclusion note

Switzerland enters with no recorded injuries while Canada faces two questionable players in key positions—midfielder I. Koné (#8) and defender A. Jones (#3)—creating a squad availability gap that could weaken Canada's midfield creativity and defensive stability if either misses out. The odds consensus favors Switzerland at roughly 40%, and their recent World Cup form includes a 4-1 victory over Bosnia & Herzegovina, though confirmed lineups remain unavailable, limiting certainty about the actual impact of Canada's injury concerns.

Synthesis

Switzerland are the bookmakers' consensus favorite at roughly 40% implied win probability, and they hold a clear squad availability advantage with no recorded injuries while Canada face two questionable players in key midfield and defensive positions. However, common-opponent comparisons yield conflicting signals—Canada performed far better against Qatar but worse against Bosnia—and both teams draw frequently in recent form. Canada's home support in Vancouver offsets some of Switzerland's edge, keeping the draw as a meaningful threat. Switzerland's combined odds consensus and selection certainty make them the most defensible pick, but confidence is moderate given the close probability spread and both teams' draw tendency.

Reasoning summary: Two of three perspectives favor Switzerland, citing stable market odds at 40.1% implied win probability and a squad availability advantage with no injuries versus Canada's two questionable starters in structurally important positions. The form perspective prefers a draw, noting conflicting common-opponent results, both teams' draw frequency, and Canada's home advantage in Vancouver. Resolving the disagreement, Switzerland's odds consensus and full selection certainty outweigh the draw and home-s

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Preview editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.59. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 59.0%; draw 26.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia & relevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Late editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.50. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 50.0%; draw 30.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 20.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herzrelevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Actionable editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 60.0%; draw 24.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 16.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 2-0 Bosnia relevance 1.00