ERNIE 5.1 · Switzerland vs Canada

SwitzerlandvsCanada
Wenxin
ERNIE 5.1Baidu

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Actionable
PredictionHome win44%Hit
BetHome win$1,210Aligned
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L+$1,694
PredictionConfidence: 44%
Home win

Switzerland enter the match with a fully fit squad while Canada have two doubtful players—midfielder I. Koné and defender A. Jones—which restricts Canada's midfield and defensive options. Switzerland's recent form is noticeably stronger with 6 wins in 10 matches compared to Canada's 3 wins, and the market prices Switzerland as 40.1% favorites. Although Canada's defense has been tighter (conceding only 0.4 goals per game versus Switzerland's 0.8), all three analytical perspectives favor Switzerland, and the odds drift toward a higher draw probability reflects some uncertainty. A plausible scenario is Switzerland dominating possession in the first half and breaking through Canada's compact defense, with Canada relying on counter-attacks but limited by their missing personnel.

Bet
Home win$1,2103 bets
Net P&L+$1,694
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $500
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$700

    Betting rationale：Football posture: favorite conviction with clear model edge. Match script: Switzerland arrive at BC Place fresh off a 4-1 demolition of Bosnia, zero injuries, while Canada are missing two starters (Koné, Jones) and their headline 6-0 win came against Qatar—the group's weakest side. Canada only drew 1-1 with the same Bosnia team Switzerland thrashed. Canada's defense is tight (2 goals conceded in 5), so expect a narrow, tense game—but the model edge of +9.3% at 2.400 is too sharp to ignore. Alrea

    Payout: $1,200 · Balance after: $10,283.8

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned

    Home win

    $400
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$560

    Betting rationale：Cold value with conviction. Switzerland enter fully fit while Canada are missing midfielder Koné and defender Jones — a critical blow to their midfield and backline. Switzerland's recent form is dominant (4-1, 4-1 wins) versus Canada's inconsistent record (6-0 highlight but 3 draws in 5). Model edge sits at +2.3% at Pinnacle's 2.400, and the script is clear: Switzerland control possession, Canada sit compact but lack the personnel to hold. Already have $810 on Switzerland; adding $400 (5.3% of b

    Payout: $960 · Balance after: $11,243.8

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $310
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$434

    Betting rationale：Favorite conviction with clear edge. Switzerland carry an 8.3% model edge at Pinnacle's 2.400 (model 50% vs market 41.7%), backed by a 4-1 demolition of Bosnia, full fitness, and Canada's questionable midfielder Koné. The 1-0 script (13% top score) fits a tight, efficient Switzerland win. Staking ~3% of bankroll ($310) on a genuine value favorite in a group-stage opener where form and availability clearly favor side A.

    Payout: $744 · Balance after: $9,083.8

Post-match result2-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 44%Draw 30%Away win 26%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-0
  2. #21-1
  3. #32-1Hit

Analysis brief

  • - Switzerland's superior recent form (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in last 10) compared to Canada's (4 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss) supports the favoritism, and Canada's two questionable players—a starting midfielder and a defender—reduce their tactical flexibility against a clean Swiss squad; the odds movement toward a higher draw probability (+0.7pp) acknowledges the injury uncertainty, but Switzerland's form advantage and full squad availability make their win the most defensible pick despite the elevated
  • - Both teams show identical total goal volume over five matches, but Canada's 6-0 win is a high outlier while Switzerland's scoring is more evenly spread across two 4-1 victories; Canada's defensive record is superior (0.4 goals conceded per match vs 0.8), yet Switzerland has more consistent attacking output and full squad availability versus Canada's two doubtful players; the bookmaker consensus gives Switzerland a 40.1% win probability against Canada's 28.9% with a 31% draw, so the slight edge i
  • - The market consensus gives Switzerland a clear but not dominant edge at 40.1%, which aligns reasonably with the observable squad facts—Switzerland have a clean injury sheet versus Canada's two questionable players, and Switzerland's recent record of 6-3-1 is significantly stronger than Canada's 3-5-2. The odds drifted slightly against Switzerland (-0.65pp) and toward the draw (+0.7pp) between the two visible update times, suggesting some market uncertainty, but the injury asymmetry and form diff

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 55.0%; draw 28.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 17.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia &
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herz
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.47Log loss 0.82

Meta thinking

  • Squad injury availabilityCheck the two Canada injuries observed at 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z against Switzerland's clean injury sheet. Assess how the absence of specific Canada players might affect lineup composition and tactical options, given that lineups themselves were not returned by the source as of 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z.
  • Recent match form and scoring patternsCompare Switzerland's last five results (W 4-1, D 1-1, D 1-1, W 4-1, D 0-0) with Canada's last five (W 6-0, D 1-1, D 1-1, W 2-0, D 0-0). Both show a W-D-D-W-D pattern, but Canada's most recent competitive result was a dominant 6-0 win while Switzerland's was a 4-1 win. Evaluate whether goal volume and consistency differ meaningfully between the two sides.
  • Market odds signalExamine the 13 captured odds observations to identify the implied probability spread between Switzerland and Canada. Cross-reference the odds-implied expectations with the visible injury asymmetry (0 vs 2) and recent form to check for any mispricing or alignment between market consensus and observable squad evidence.

Tokens: 2962

Perspectives

Squad injury availabilityHome winSwitzerland's superior recent form (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in last 10) compared to Canada's (4 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss) supports the favoritism, and Canada's two questionable players—a starting midfielder and a defender—reduce their tactical flexibility against a clean Swiss squad; the odds movement toward a higher draw probability (+0.7pp) acknowledges the injury uncertainty, but Switzerland's form advantage and full squad availability make their win the most defensible pick despite the elevated58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Squad injury availability

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Switzerland's superior recent form (6 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in last 10) compared to Canada's (4 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss) supports the favoritism, and Canada's two questionable players—a starting midfielder and a defender—reduce their tactical flexibility against a clean Swiss squad; the odds movement toward a higher draw probability (+0.7pp) acknowledges the injury uncertainty, but Switzerland's form advantage and full squad availability make their win the most defensible pick despite the elevated

Conclusion note

Switzerland enter the match with a clean injury sheet while Canada have two questionable players—midfielder I. Koné and defender A. Jones—which could weaken Canada's midfield and defensive options, and the odds market reflects this with Switzerland as 40.1% favorites, the draw at 31%, and Canada at 28.9%.

Recent match form and scoring patternsHome winBoth teams show identical total goal volume over five matches, but Canada's 6-0 win is a high outlier while Switzerland's scoring is more evenly spread across two 4-1 victories; Canada's defensive record is superior (0.4 goals conceded per match vs 0.8), yet Switzerland has more consistent attacking output and full squad availability versus Canada's two doubtful players; the bookmaker consensus gives Switzerland a 40.1% win probability against Canada's 28.9% with a 31% draw, so the slight edge i55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent match form and scoring patterns

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Both teams show identical total goal volume over five matches, but Canada's 6-0 win is a high outlier while Switzerland's scoring is more evenly spread across two 4-1 victories; Canada's defensive record is superior (0.4 goals conceded per match vs 0.8), yet Switzerland has more consistent attacking output and full squad availability versus Canada's two doubtful players; the bookmaker consensus gives Switzerland a 40.1% win probability against Canada's 28.9% with a 31% draw, so the slight edge i

Conclusion note

Switzerland and Canada both scored exactly 10 goals across their last five matches (2.0 per game), but Canada conceded only 2 goals (0.4 per match) compared to Switzerland's 4 (0.8 per match), making Canada defensively tighter; however, Switzerland scored in 4 of 5 games versus Canada's 3 of 5, and the odds favor Switzerland at 40.1% while Canada has two questionable players (Koné and Jones) listed as doubtful.

Market odds signalHome winThe market consensus gives Switzerland a clear but not dominant edge at 40.1%, which aligns reasonably with the observable squad facts—Switzerland have a clean injury sheet versus Canada's two questionable players, and Switzerland's recent record of 6-3-1 is significantly stronger than Canada's 3-5-2. The odds drifted slightly against Switzerland (-0.65pp) and toward the draw (+0.7pp) between the two visible update times, suggesting some market uncertainty, but the injury asymmetry and form diff58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds signal

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The market consensus gives Switzerland a clear but not dominant edge at 40.1%, which aligns reasonably with the observable squad facts—Switzerland have a clean injury sheet versus Canada's two questionable players, and Switzerland's recent record of 6-3-1 is significantly stronger than Canada's 3-5-2. The odds drifted slightly against Switzerland (-0.65pp) and toward the draw (+0.7pp) between the two visible update times, suggesting some market uncertainty, but the injury asymmetry and form diff

Conclusion note

Switzerland are priced as 40.1% favorites over Canada at 28.9% with a 31% draw, and the squad evidence supports this edge: Switzerland have no visible injuries while Canada have two questionable players including midfielder I. Koné and defender A. Jones, and Switzerland's recent form shows 6 wins in 10 matches compared to Canada's 3 wins in 10.

Synthesis

Switzerland enter the match with a fully fit squad while Canada have two doubtful players—midfielder I. Koné and defender A. Jones—which restricts Canada's midfield and defensive options. Switzerland's recent form is noticeably stronger with 6 wins in 10 matches compared to Canada's 3 wins, and the market prices Switzerland as 40.1% favorites. Although Canada's defense has been tighter (conceding only 0.4 goals per game versus Switzerland's 0.8), all three analytical perspectives favor Switzerland, and the odds drift toward a higher draw probability reflects some uncertainty. A plausible scenario is Switzerland dominating possession in the first half and breaking through Canada's compact defense, with Canada relying on counter-attacks but limited by their missing personnel.

Reasoning summary: All three perspectives unanimously pick Switzerland to win, citing Switzerland's clean injury sheet against Canada's two questionable players, Switzerland's superior recent form of 6 wins in 10 matches versus Canada's 3 wins, and market odds that favor Switzerland at 40.1%. Canada's defensive record is stronger (0.4 goals conceded per match compared to Switzerland's 0.8), but this advantage is outweighed by Switzerland's full squad availability and more consistent attacking output. The market sh

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Preview editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 55.0%; draw 28.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 17.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & relevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Late editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herzrelevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Actionable editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia relevance 1.00