DeepSeek V4 Pro · Switzerland vs Canada

SwitzerlandvsCanada
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4 ProDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win45%Hit
BetBet portfolio$875Bet portfolio
Post-match result2-1
Net P&L+$385
PredictionConfidence: 45%
Home win

Switzerland enter the Group B contest in Vancouver with a completely fit squad, while Canada have at least two availability concerns — midfielder Ismaël Koné and a defender (reported as either Alistair Johnston or A. Jones) are listed as questionable, which could limit Canada’s depth over the ninety minutes. The pre‑match betting market gives Switzerland around 40% implied win probability, the draw about 31%, and Canada roughly 29%; recent line movement shows a slight drift toward the draw but no bookmaker has flipped to favor the hosts. The indirect form comparison through shared opponents is split (Canada thrashed Qatar 6‑0 whereas Switzerland only drew 1‑1, but Switzerland beat Bosnia 4‑1 while Canada drew 1‑1 at home), and weighting the stronger Bosnia side tilts the proxy evidence toward Switzerland. Canada’s home‑crowd advantage at BC Place and both teams’ level on four points add uncertainty, but the fitness gap and Switzerland’s full tactical flexibility make a Swiss victory the most defensible single outcome. Confidence is kept moderate to reflect the respected draw probability and the possibility that the Canadian home atmosphere keeps the match tighter than pure squad strength would suggest.

Bet
Bet portfolio$8753 bets
Net P&L+$385
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $350
    odds 3.10Settled: loss-$350

    Betting rationale：Draw-trap posture. Switzerland have drawn three of their last five — both recent away matches ended level — and Canada are unbeaten in ten at home with three draws in their last five. BC Place will be rocking, but World Cup group-stage caution and Switzerland's tournament experience point to a tight, low-event match. The model's top predicted scoreline is 1-1 (12%), and both sides' form patterns converge on a stalemate. At 3.10, the draw pays well enough for a normal-conviction stake (~3% of ban

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $11,083.5

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned

    Home win

    $300
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$420

    Betting rationale：Adjustment slice — already holding $350 on draw at 3.10 and $225 on Switzerland at 2.40. The T-2h prediction gives Switzerland 45% win probability with a slim but positive model edge (+3.3%) at Pinnacle's 2.40. Canada carry two injury concerns (Koné and a defender) into a high-stakes group match on home soil at BC Place; Switzerland have a fully fit squad, tactical flexibility, and the stronger proxy form against Bosnia. The match script reads tight and nervy — Switzerland likely to control temp

    Payout: $720 · Balance after: $12,343.5

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $225
    odds 2.40Settled: win+$315

    Betting rationale：Hedge/portfolio balance posture. Already holding $350 on draw at 3.100, which leaves the most probable outcome — a Switzerland win at 42% model probability — unprotected. Switzerland come into this Group B clash with a clean injury sheet while Canada are missing two midfielders (Koné and Jones), and the shared-opponent contrast against Bosnia (Switzerland 4-1 home win vs Canada 1-1 home draw) tilts the balance. Canada have the BC Place crowd in Vancouver, but Switzerland's tournament know-how an

    Payout: $540 · Balance after: $11,623.5

Post-match result2-1
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 45%Draw 30%Away win 25%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-0
  2. #21-1
  3. #32-1Hit

Analysis brief

  • - The odds market designates Switzerland as the marginal favourite with a consensus implied win probability near 40%, while the draw is unusually respected at 31% and Canada trails at 29%. Recent movement shows a slight drift toward the draw and away from Switzerland, but the overall pricing hierarchy across all sampled bookmakers still points to a Switzerland win as the most probable single result. No extreme discrepancies among bookmakers were observed; marathonbet is most cautious on both outri
  • - The shared-opponent proxy is split: Canada outperformed Switzerland against Qatar (six-goal win vs draw), but Switzerland outperformed Canada against the stronger Bosnia side (four-goal win vs draw). Weighting the Bosnia comparison more heavily — since Bosnia is the more credible opponent — tips the indirect form guide toward Switzerland. Add Switzerland's clean availability picture versus two questionable Canada starters and odds that lean 40.1% toward a Swiss win, and side_a_win becomes the mo
  • - Switzerland's clean bill of health contrasts with Canada's two questionable players (Koné and Jones), potentially weakening Canada's midfield and defensive options. Odds favor Switzerland (implied ~40% win vs ~29% for Canada), and while both teams are tied on four points in Group B, the Swiss have full tactical and substitution flexibility. The venue advantage for Canada tempers confidence, but the fitness disparity remains the decisive factor pointing to a Switzerland win.

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia &
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 60.0%; draw 25.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herz
  • - Recall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.46Log loss 0.80

Meta thinking

  • Pre-match market odds evaluationExamine the 13 available odds to infer market expectations for the match result and goal lines, and identify any notable shifts or discrepancies in the pricing.
  • Proxy head-to-head through shared opponentsCompare how Switzerland and Canada each performed against common opponents Qatar and Bosnia & Herzegovina in the current World Cup group stage, using scorelines and match circumstances as an indirect form guide.
  • Squad availability and injury impactReview the injury reports, noting that Canada enters the match with two recorded injuries while Switzerland has a fully fit squad, and assess how this might affect Canada's depth and tactical options.

Tokens: 3707

Perspectives

Pre-match market odds evaluationHome winThe odds market designates Switzerland as the marginal favourite with a consensus implied win probability near 40%, while the draw is unusually respected at 31% and Canada trails at 29%. Recent movement shows a slight drift toward the draw and away from Switzerland, but the overall pricing hierarchy across all sampled bookmakers still points to a Switzerland win as the most probable single result. No extreme discrepancies among bookmakers were observed; marathonbet is most cautious on both outri40%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Pre-match market odds evaluation

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Switzerland vs Canada group context: Group B; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Canada 4 pts/2 played; Switzerland 4 pts/2 played; Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 pts/2 played; Qatar 1 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Bosnia & Herzegovina can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Canada can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Qatar can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Switzerland can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Switzerland vs Canada; Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-24 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-24 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Check stadium history

    #12

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. match records: no items.

  14. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #13

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  15. Pre-match odds evaluation for Switzerland vs Canada: The market consensus across 14 bookmakers gives Switzerland a ~40.1% implied win probability, with the draw at 31% and Canada at 28.9%. A slight recent shift (approximately +0.7pp toward the draw and -0.65pp away from Switzerland) suggests the market is modestly reassessing the balance, possibly reflecting the Vancouver venue and the group-stage context where both teams sit on 4 points. No dramatic discrepancies across bookmakers, though marat

  16. The odds market designates Switzerland as the marginal favourite with a consensus implied win probability near 40%, while the draw is unusually respected at 31% and Canada trails at 29%. Recent movement shows a slight drift toward the draw and away from Switzerland, but the overall pricing hierarchy across all sampled bookmakers still points to a Switzerland win as the most probable single result. No extreme discrepancies among bookmakers were observed; marathonbet is most cautious on both outri

Conclusion note

Across 14 bookmakers the consensus implied probability gives Switzerland roughly 40.1 percent to win, the draw 31 percent, and Canada 28.9 percent, making a Switzerland victory the single most favoured outcome despite the market being relatively balanced. A small recent shift of about 0.7 percentage points toward the draw and away from Switzerland suggests modest reassessment, likely influenced by the Vancouver venue and both teams sitting on four points in Group B, but no bookmaker has flipped to make Canada the favourite.

Proxy head-to-head through shared opponentsHome winThe shared-opponent proxy is split: Canada outperformed Switzerland against Qatar (six-goal win vs draw), but Switzerland outperformed Canada against the stronger Bosnia side (four-goal win vs draw). Weighting the Bosnia comparison more heavily — since Bosnia is the more credible opponent — tips the indirect form guide toward Switzerland. Add Switzerland's clean availability picture versus two questionable Canada starters and odds that lean 40.1% toward a Swiss win, and side_a_win becomes the mo40%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Proxy head-to-head through shared opponents

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Switzerland vs Canada group context: Group B; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Canada 4 pts/2 played; Switzerland 4 pts/2 played; Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 pts/2 played; Qatar 1 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Bosnia & Herzegovina can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Canada can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Qatar can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Switzerland can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Switzerland vs Canada; Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-24 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-24 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Check stadium history

    #12

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. match records: no items.

  14. Check team process facts

    #13

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.

  15. Check team process facts

    #14

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.

  16. Check match details

    #15

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  17. Proxy head-to-head analysis via shared opponents Qatar and Bosnia & Herzegovina: Vs Qatar: Switzerland drew 1-1 (away), Canada won 6-0 (home) — Canada significantly better. Vs Bosnia: Switzerland won 4-1 (home), Canada drew 1-1 (home) — Switzerland significantly better. The proxy comparison is mixed. Bosnia appears the stronger shared opponent, and Switzerland's dominant 4-1 win there may be more instructive than Canada's rout of a very weak Qatar side. Canada's home-soil advantage at BC Place i

  18. The shared-opponent proxy is split: Canada outperformed Switzerland against Qatar (six-goal win vs draw), but Switzerland outperformed Canada against the stronger Bosnia side (four-goal win vs draw). Weighting the Bosnia comparison more heavily — since Bosnia is the more credible opponent — tips the indirect form guide toward Switzerland. Add Switzerland's clean availability picture versus two questionable Canada starters and odds that lean 40.1% toward a Swiss win, and side_a_win becomes the mo

Conclusion note

The proxy comparison through shared opponents is mixed: Canada crushed Qatar 6-0 while Switzerland only drew 1-1, but Switzerland dismantled Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-1 while Canada could only manage a 1-1 home draw. Bosnia appears the more competitive shared opponent, so Switzerland's dominant performance there carries more weight in this indirect form guide. Switzerland also enters with a fully available squad, whereas Canada have midfielder Ismaël Koné and defender Alistair Johnston listed as questionable. Odds narrowly favour Switzerland at a 40.1% implied win probability, though the 31% draw probability and Canada's de facto home-soil advantage at BC Place Vancouver inject considerable uncertainty.

Squad availability and injury impactHome winSwitzerland's clean bill of health contrasts with Canada's two questionable players (Koné and Jones), potentially weakening Canada's midfield and defensive options. Odds favor Switzerland (implied ~40% win vs ~29% for Canada), and while both teams are tied on four points in Group B, the Swiss have full tactical and substitution flexibility. The venue advantage for Canada tempers confidence, but the fitness disparity remains the decisive factor pointing to a Switzerland win.55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Squad availability and injury impact

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Canada. Kickoff: 2026-06-24T19:00:00Z. Venue: BC Place Vancouver, Vancouver, altitude 15 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-23T19:14:16Z); injuries observed with non-empty content (2 observed, non-empty observation time 2026-06-24T13:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (13 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 40.1%, draw 31%, side B win 28.9%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-24T08:03:18Z -> 2026-06-24T12:03:28Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.65pp, draw +0.7pp, side B win -0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.3 / draw 3.05 / side B 3.25; william_hill side A 2.3 / draw 3.1 / side B 3 → side A 2.3 / draw 3 / side B 3.2; bet365 side A 2.3 / draw 3.2 / side B 3.25 → side A 2.38 / draw 3.1 / side B 3.3. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 2.3, draw 3.05, side B 3.25; william_hill: side A 2.3, draw 3, side B 3.2; bet365: side A 2.38, draw 3.1, side B 3.3; marathonbet: side A 2.43, draw 3.1, side B 3.42. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 9.5; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 6.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-18T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away home, score 6-0, result win.
    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Bosnia & Herzegovina, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Check tournament context

    #9

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Switzerland vs Canada group context: Group B; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Canada 4 pts/2 played; Switzerland 4 pts/2 played; Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 pts/2 played; Qatar 1 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Bosnia & Herzegovina can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Canada can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible; Qatar can finish from rank 2 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Switzerland can finish from rank 1 to 3; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Switzerland vs Canada; Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Qatar. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-24 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  12. Check team ranking facts

    #11

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-24 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  13. Check availability facts

    #12

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Canada injuries/availability: I. Koné (Midfielder, #8) status questionable; A. Jones (Defender, #3) status questionable.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  14. Check stadium history

    #13

    Stadium history: Data as of 2026-06-24T17:00:00Z. match records: no items.

  15. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  16. Switzerland's clean bill of health contrasts with Canada's two questionable players (Koné and Jones), potentially weakening Canada's midfield and defensive options. Odds favor Switzerland (implied ~40% win vs ~29% for Canada), and while both teams are tied on four points in Group B, the Swiss have full tactical and substitution flexibility. The venue advantage for Canada tempers confidence, but the fitness disparity remains the decisive factor pointing to a Switzerland win.

Conclusion note

Switzerland enters the match with a fully fit squad and no suspensions, while Canada has two players listed as questionable — midfielder Ismaël Koné and defender A. Jones — which could force lineup adjustments and limit Canada's depth during the 90 minutes. The implied odds give Switzerland roughly a 40% win probability against Canada's 29%, and although the Vancouver venue offers Canada a home-crowd lift, the availability gap tilts the balance toward the Swiss securing a narrow victory.

Synthesis

Switzerland enter the Group B contest in Vancouver with a completely fit squad, while Canada have at least two availability concerns — midfielder Ismaël Koné and a defender (reported as either Alistair Johnston or A. Jones) are listed as questionable, which could limit Canada’s depth over the ninety minutes. The pre‑match betting market gives Switzerland around 40% implied win probability, the draw about 31%, and Canada roughly 29%; recent line movement shows a slight drift toward the draw but no bookmaker has flipped to favor the hosts. The indirect form comparison through shared opponents is split (Canada thrashed Qatar 6‑0 whereas Switzerland only drew 1‑1, but Switzerland beat Bosnia 4‑1 while Canada drew 1‑1 at home), and weighting the stronger Bosnia side tilts the proxy evidence toward Switzerland. Canada’s home‑crowd advantage at BC Place and both teams’ level on four points add uncertainty, but the fitness gap and Switzerland’s full tactical flexibility make a Swiss victory the most defensible single outcome. Confidence is kept moderate to reflect the respected draw probability and the possibility that the Canadian home atmosphere keeps the match tighter than pure squad strength would suggest.

Reasoning summary: Three independent perspectives (market odds, proxy head‑to‑head, squad availability) unanimously favor a Switzerland win, though with varied confidence. The market implied Switzerland win at ~40%, the draw at ~31%, and Canada at ~29%; the squad view lifts Switzerland’s chances to 55% due to Canada’s two questionable players. The proxy comparison is mixed but gives more weight to Switzerland’s decisive win over Bosnia. Synthesising these, Switzerland is the most likely winner, but the draw remain

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Preview editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & relevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Late editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Late edition. Visible at: T-2h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 60.0%; draw 25.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia & Herzrelevance 1.00
  • Post-match reflection Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Actionable editionRecall anchors: sui bih group_b_round_2. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.62. Probability distribution: Switzerland win 62.0%; draw 23.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Switzerland 1-0 Bosnia relevance 1.00