Qwen3.7 Max · Brazil vs Haiti

BrazilvsHaiti
Qwen
Qwen3.7 MaxAlibaba

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Actionable
PredictionHome win87%Hit
BetHome win$1,340Aligned
Post-match result3-0
Net P&L+$142.8
PredictionConfidence: 87%
Home win

Brazil enters this match as the overwhelming favorite against Haiti, supported by extreme market consensus and a significant gap in recent form. Brazil's attacking output has been highly productive, averaging over two goals per game in recent matches, while Haiti has struggled to score against stronger opposition and recently lost their opener to Scotland. Although Brazil has shown some defensive vulnerability by conceding in most of their recent games, Haiti's inconsistent attack makes an upset highly unlikely. The most probable scenario involves Brazil controlling the match and securing a comfortable multi-goal victory.

Bet
Home win$1,3403 bets
Net P&L+$142.8
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $540
    odds 1.10Settled: win+$54

    Betting rationale：Football posture: favorite conviction with portfolio scaling. Match script: Brazil, despite a recent draw vs Morocco, remains vastly superior to a Haiti side that lost their opener and struggles against quality; expect controlled dominance and multiple goals in clear Philadelphia conditions. Existing $360 position at 1.10 confirms the base thesis but is undersized relative to bankroll and conviction. Adding $540 (≈6% of current balance) increases exposure to the high-probability outcome while st

    Payout: $594 · Balance after: $11,017.59

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned

    Home win

    $440
    odds 1.12Settled: win+$52.8

    Betting rationale：Posture: Favorite conviction with portfolio scaling. Match script: Brazil needs to shake off their opening 1-1 draw against Morocco and assert dominance over a Haiti side that failed to score against Scotland. The talent gap is immense, and Brazil's recent friendly form (6-2 vs Panama, 3-1 vs Croatia) suggests they will overwhelm a limited opponent in Philadelphia. While the 1.12 execution odds offer negative model edge, the 87% win probability and tournament context justify adding to our existi

    Payout: $492.8 · Balance after: $11,510.39

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Home win

    $360
    odds 1.10Settled: win+$36

    Betting rationale：Posture: favorite conviction with disciplined sizing. Match script: Brazil needs to assert dominance after opening-match draw nerves; Haiti lacks the quality to punish defensive lapses against elite opposition, as shown in recent losses to Scotland and Peru. Despite negative model edge at execution odds (1.10), Brazil's squad depth and tournament urgency make this a high-probability banker worth including for portfolio stability. Stake set at ~5% of current balance ($360) reflects strong outcome

    Payout: $396 · Balance after: $10,423.59

Post-match result3-0
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 87%Draw 8%Away win 5%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #12-0
  2. #23-0Hit
  3. #31-0

Analysis brief

  • - Brazil's recent form shows five wins, three draws and two losses across ten visible matches, with high-scoring victories over quality opponents before their opening World Cup draw against Morocco. Haiti managed only three wins in ten matches, with victories coming against weaker opposition such as New Zealand and Azerbaijan, and their 0-1 loss to Scotland in the group opener confirms the significant gap in quality. The extreme odds consensus at 87.1% for a Brazil win, combined with clear weather
  • - The decisive evidence is the extremely short and stable bookmaker pricing: consensus implied probability of 87.1% for Brazil with no drift across multiple visible update points and odds as low as 1.08 from William Hill. This market signal aligns with Brazil's stronger recent results and Haiti's inconsistent form featuring five losses in ten matches. The absence of head-to-head records and any visible injury or suspension concerns for either side does not materially offset the overwhelming market
  • - The decisive evidence is the stark gap in attacking output and recent results: Brazil scored 13 goals in their last five visible matches and won three of five, while Haiti scored only six, failed to score twice, and lost three of five including to lower-tier opposition like Scotland and Tunisia. Brazil's defensive vulnerability (conceding in four of five) offers Haiti a slim route to scoring, but Haiti's own inconsistent attack and the overwhelming bookmaker consensus pointing to a Brazil win ma

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: bra mar group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Brazil win with confidence 0.58. Probability distribution: Brazil win 58.0%; draw 25.0%; Morocco win 17.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Brazil 1-0 Morocco, Brazil 2-1 Morocco, Brazil 1
  • - Recall anchors: hai sco group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Scotland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Haiti win 16.0%; draw 23.0%; Scotland win 61.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Haiti 0-2 Scotland, Haiti 1-2 Scotland, Haiti
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.03Log loss 0.14

Meta thinking

  • Recent Form and Tournament ContextAnalyze the recent match results for both teams, focusing on their respective performances in their opening World Cup group stage matches and preceding friendlies to assess current competitive momentum and consistency.
  • Market Odds AnalysisExamine the captured pre-match odds records to evaluate the market's implied probabilities, pricing trends, and expected margins for this group stage fixture without presuming the outcome.
  • Goal Trends and Match DynamicsReview the goal-scoring and concession patterns from the last five visible matches for both sides to identify potential tactical matchups, defensive solidity, and expected match tempo.

Tokens: 3255

Perspectives

Recent Form and Tournament ContextHome winBrazil's recent form shows five wins, three draws and two losses across ten visible matches, with high-scoring victories over quality opponents before their opening World Cup draw against Morocco. Haiti managed only three wins in ten matches, with victories coming against weaker opposition such as New Zealand and Azerbaijan, and their 0-1 loss to Scotland in the group opener confirms the significant gap in quality. The extreme odds consensus at 87.1% for a Brazil win, combined with clear weather92%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent Form and Tournament Context

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Brazil vs HAI. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T00:30:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T00:36:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Brazil: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Brazil: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T08:15:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 87.1%, draw 8.8%, side B win 4.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T04:01:52Z -> 2026-06-19T08:15:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.1 / draw 9.4 / side B 18 → side A 1.1 / draw 9.4 / side B 18; william_hill side A 1.08 / draw 11 / side B 23 → side A 1.08 / draw 11 / side B 23; bet365 side A 1.09 / draw 11 / side B 23 → side A 1.09 / draw 11 / side B 23. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.1, draw 9.4, side B 18; william_hill: side A 1.08, draw 11, side B 23; bet365: side A 1.09, draw 11, side B 23; marathonbet: side A 1.09, draw 11.25, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 29; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 6.95.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-19T12:10:38Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 26.2°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 30%, wind 12.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Brazil:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Morocco, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T22:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Egypt, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T21:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away home, score 6-2, result win.
    • 2026-04-01T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Croatia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2025-10-10T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-07-07T01:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Uruguay, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Scotland, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. Brazil's recent form shows five wins, three draws and two losses across ten visible matches, with high-scoring victories over quality opponents before their opening World Cup draw against Morocco. Haiti managed only three wins in ten matches, with victories coming against weaker opposition such as New Zealand and Azerbaijan, and their 0-1 loss to Scotland in the group opener confirms the significant gap in quality. The extreme odds consensus at 87.1% for a Brazil win, combined with clear weather

Conclusion note

Brazil are overwhelming favorites at 87.1% implied probability (odds around 1.08-1.10) against a Haiti side that lost 0-1 to Scotland in their World Cup opener. Brazil won five of their last ten matches with dominant friendlies including 6-2 over Panama and 5-0 over South Korea, and after drawing 1-1 with Morocco in their group stage opener they will be strongly motivated to secure three points against the group's weakest opponent.

Market Odds AnalysisHome winThe decisive evidence is the extremely short and stable bookmaker pricing: consensus implied probability of 87.1% for Brazil with no drift across multiple visible update points and odds as low as 1.08 from William Hill. This market signal aligns with Brazil's stronger recent results and Haiti's inconsistent form featuring five losses in ten matches. The absence of head-to-head records and any visible injury or suspension concerns for either side does not materially offset the overwhelming market88%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market Odds Analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Brazil vs HAI. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T00:30:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T00:36:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Brazil: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Brazil: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T08:15:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 87.1%, draw 8.8%, side B win 4.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T04:01:52Z -> 2026-06-19T08:15:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.1 / draw 9.4 / side B 18 → side A 1.1 / draw 9.4 / side B 18; william_hill side A 1.08 / draw 11 / side B 23 → side A 1.08 / draw 11 / side B 23; bet365 side A 1.09 / draw 11 / side B 23 → side A 1.09 / draw 11 / side B 23. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.1, draw 9.4, side B 18; william_hill: side A 1.08, draw 11, side B 23; bet365: side A 1.09, draw 11, side B 23; marathonbet: side A 1.09, draw 11.25, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 29; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 6.95.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-19T12:10:38Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 26.2°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 30%, wind 12.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Brazil:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Morocco, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T22:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Egypt, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T21:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away home, score 6-2, result win.
    • 2026-04-01T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Croatia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2025-10-10T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-07-07T01:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Uruguay, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Scotland, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. The decisive evidence is the extremely short and stable bookmaker pricing: consensus implied probability of 87.1% for Brazil with no drift across multiple visible update points and odds as low as 1.08 from William Hill. This market signal aligns with Brazil's stronger recent results and Haiti's inconsistent form featuring five losses in ten matches. The absence of head-to-head records and any visible injury or suspension concerns for either side does not materially offset the overwhelming market

Conclusion note

The pre-match odds market prices Brazil as an overwhelming favorite at 87.1% implied probability, with bookmaker odds ranging from 1.08 to 1.10 across major operators and zero movement between the two visible update windows, signaling strong market conviction. Brazil's recent form (six wins, three draws, one loss in ten matches, including a 6-2 thrashing of Panama) contrasts sharply with Haiti's record (three wins, two draws, five losses, including a 0-1 World Cup opener defeat to Scotland), while the total-goals market pricing over 1.5 at 1.04-1.08 further reinforces the expectation of a comfortable Brazil victory.

Goal Trends and Match DynamicsHome winThe decisive evidence is the stark gap in attacking output and recent results: Brazil scored 13 goals in their last five visible matches and won three of five, while Haiti scored only six, failed to score twice, and lost three of five including to lower-tier opposition like Scotland and Tunisia. Brazil's defensive vulnerability (conceding in four of five) offers Haiti a slim route to scoring, but Haiti's own inconsistent attack and the overwhelming bookmaker consensus pointing to a Brazil win ma87%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Goal Trends and Match Dynamics

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Fixture: Brazil vs HAI. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T00:30:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T00:36:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Brazil: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Brazil: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T08:15:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 87.1%, draw 8.8%, side B win 4.1%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T04:01:52Z -> 2026-06-19T08:15:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.1 / draw 9.4 / side B 18 → side A 1.1 / draw 9.4 / side B 18; william_hill side A 1.08 / draw 11 / side B 23 → side A 1.08 / draw 11 / side B 23; bet365 side A 1.09 / draw 11 / side B 23 → side A 1.09 / draw 11 / side B 23. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.1, draw 9.4, side B 18; william_hill: side A 1.08, draw 11, side B 23; bet365: side A 1.09, draw 11, side B 23; marathonbet: side A 1.09, draw 11.25, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 29; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 6.95.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-19T12:10:38Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 26.2°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 30%, wind 12.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Brazil:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Morocco, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T22:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Egypt, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T21:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away home, score 6-2, result win.
    • 2026-04-01T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Croatia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2025-10-10T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-07-07T01:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Uruguay, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Scotland, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. The decisive evidence is the stark gap in attacking output and recent results: Brazil scored 13 goals in their last five visible matches and won three of five, while Haiti scored only six, failed to score twice, and lost three of five including to lower-tier opposition like Scotland and Tunisia. Brazil's defensive vulnerability (conceding in four of five) offers Haiti a slim route to scoring, but Haiti's own inconsistent attack and the overwhelming bookmaker consensus pointing to a Brazil win ma

Conclusion note

Brazil enters this World Cup group match as a heavy favorite per bookmaker consensus (87.1% implied win probability, odds around 1.08-1.10), and their recent attacking form supports this: across their last five visible matches they averaged 2.6 goals scored per game, including a 6-2 win over Panama, a 3-1 win over Croatia and a 2-1 win over Egypt. Haiti, by contrast, managed just 1.2 goals per game over their last five and failed to score in two of those matches (0-1 losses to Scotland and Tunisia), while losing three of five overall, suggesting they will struggle to contain Brazil's attack.

Synthesis

Brazil enters this match as the overwhelming favorite against Haiti, supported by extreme market consensus and a significant gap in recent form. Brazil's attacking output has been highly productive, averaging over two goals per game in recent matches, while Haiti has struggled to score against stronger opposition and recently lost their opener to Scotland. Although Brazil has shown some defensive vulnerability by conceding in most of their recent games, Haiti's inconsistent attack makes an upset highly unlikely. The most probable scenario involves Brazil controlling the match and securing a comfortable multi-goal victory.

Reasoning summary: All perspectives strongly favor Brazil, citing an 87.1% implied probability from stable bookmaker odds and a stark contrast in recent results. Brazil's high-scoring victories contrast with Haiti's struggles against lower-tier teams, justifying a high-confidence prediction for a Brazil win despite minor defensive concerns.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Brazil vs Morocco Preview editionRecall anchors: bra mar group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Brazil win with confidence 0.58. Probability distribution: Brazil win 58.0%; draw 25.0%; Morocco win 17.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Brazil 1-0 Morocco, Brazil 2-1 Morocco, Brazil 1relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Haiti vs Scotland Preview editionRecall anchors: hai sco group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Scotland win with confidence 0.61. Probability distribution: Haiti win 16.0%; draw 23.0%; Scotland win 61.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Haiti 0-2 Scotland, Haiti 1-2 Scotland, Haiti relevance 0.50