MiMo V2.5 Pro · Brazil vs Haiti

BrazilvsHaiti
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Late
PredictionHome win86%Hit
BetDraw$125Reverse
Post-match result3-0
Net P&L-$125
PredictionConfidence: 86%
Home win

Brazil are strongly favored to defeat Haiti based on market odds showing an 86% implied win probability with stable pricing across bookmakers, and recent form highlighting Brazil's dominant victories such as 6-2 over Panama and 5-0 over South Korea, while Haiti have struggled against mid-tier teams. Although Brazil's occasional draws, including a 1-1 with Morocco in their opener, introduce a minor draw risk, the evidence decisively supports a Brazil victory.

Bet
Draw$125
Net P&L-$125
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: LateReverse

    Draw

    $125
    odds 11.50Settled: loss-$125

    Betting rationale：Contrarian draw protection bet. Brazil drew 1-1 with Morocco in their opener, showing vulnerability against compact defensive teams. Haiti will likely park the bus and try to frustrate. Model shows +0.3% positive edge on draw at 11.50 execution odds. Small satellite stake (~2% bankroll) as a thin-story position acknowledging the defensive match script and Brazil's opener draw pattern. Brazil are clearly favored but at 1.12 they offer negative value, making the draw the more interesting position.

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $7,232.5

Post-match result3-0
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 86%Draw 9%Away win 5%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #12-0
  2. #23-0Hit
  3. #31-0

Analysis brief

  • - The market odds consensus is overwhelmingly one-sided: 14 bookmakers price Brazil at 86.3% implied win probability with extremely short odds (1.10-1.12), while Haiti sits at just 4.3% (odds 19-27) and the draw at 9.4% (odds 8.25-11). Zero odds movement across visible update times reinforces that bookmakers have consistently priced Brazil as a heavy favorite. Brazil's recent form (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) is stronger than Haiti's (3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), and Brazil drew Morocco 1-1 in their
  • - The recent form comparison reveals a massive gulf between the two sides: Brazil have been consistently competitive against major footballing nations with a strong goal-scoring record, while Haiti have struggled against mid-level and even lower-ranked opponents. Brazil's World Cup opener was a 1-1 draw with Morocco, whereas Haiti lost 0-1 to Scotland. The form data strongly supports a Brazil victory, with only minor uncertainty arising from the absence of confirmed lineups and the inherent unpred
  • - The odds and recent form strongly converge on a Brazil victory: Brazil have dominant wins against Haiti-caliber opponents (6-2 vs Panama, 5-0 vs South Korea) and Haiti have lost to every mid-tier or better team they have faced. The slight divergence is that Brazil's three draws in ten matches, including a 1-1 with Morocco in their World Cup opener and a home draw against Tunisia, point to a non-trivial draw probability that the market's 9.4% may slightly underweight, though the overall direction

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: bra mar group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Brazil win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Brazil win 55.0%; draw 30.0%; Morocco win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Brazil 1-0 Morocco, Brazil 1-1 Morocco, Brazil 2
  • - Recall anchors: hai sco group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Scotland win with confidence 0.64. Probability distribution: Haiti win 15.0%; draw 21.0%; Scotland win 64.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Haiti 0-2 Scotland, Haiti 1-2 Scotland, Haiti
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.03Log loss 0.15

Meta thinking

  • Market odds analysisAnalyze the 14 captured odds to examine market expectations for the match without asserting which side is favored.
  • Recent form comparisonCompare the visible recent match records of Brazil and Haiti to investigate their current performance trends neutrally.
  • Odds versus recent formExamine if the market odds converge with or diverge from the recent form data available for both teams.

Tokens: 3291

Perspectives

Market odds analysisHome winThe market odds consensus is overwhelmingly one-sided: 14 bookmakers price Brazil at 86.3% implied win probability with extremely short odds (1.10-1.12), while Haiti sits at just 4.3% (odds 19-27) and the draw at 9.4% (odds 8.25-11). Zero odds movement across visible update times reinforces that bookmakers have consistently priced Brazil as a heavy favorite. Brazil's recent form (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) is stronger than Haiti's (3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), and Brazil drew Morocco 1-1 in their86%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Fixture: Brazil vs HAI. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T00:30:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T18:30:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Brazil: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Brazil: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 86.3%, draw 9.4%, side B win 4.3%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z -> 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19 → side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19; william_hill side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21 → side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21; bet365 side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21 → side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.12, draw 8.25, side B 19; william_hill: side A 1.11, draw 9.5, side B 21; bet365: side A 1.1, draw 11, side B 21; marathonbet: side A 1.12, draw 10.75, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 26; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 7.2.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-19T21:30:30Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 25.3°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 36%, wind 12.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Brazil:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Morocco, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T22:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Egypt, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T21:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away home, score 6-2, result win.
    • 2026-04-01T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Croatia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2025-10-10T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-07-07T01:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Uruguay, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Scotland, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. The market odds consensus is overwhelmingly one-sided: 14 bookmakers price Brazil at 86.3% implied win probability with extremely short odds (1.10-1.12), while Haiti sits at just 4.3% (odds 19-27) and the draw at 9.4% (odds 8.25-11). Zero odds movement across visible update times reinforces that bookmakers have consistently priced Brazil as a heavy favorite. Brazil's recent form (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) is stronger than Haiti's (3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses), and Brazil drew Morocco 1-1 in their

Conclusion note

Across 14 captured bookmakers as of 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z, Brazil's implied win probability stands at 86.3%, with representative odds ranging from 1.10 (bet365) to 1.12 (10bet, marathonbet), while Haiti's implied win probability is just 4.3% with odds between 19 and 27; the consensus draw probability is 9.4% at odds of 8.25 to 11. No odds movement was recorded between the two visible update points, indicating a stable and strong market expectation of a Brazil victory.

Recent form comparisonHome winThe recent form comparison reveals a massive gulf between the two sides: Brazil have been consistently competitive against major footballing nations with a strong goal-scoring record, while Haiti have struggled against mid-level and even lower-ranked opponents. Brazil's World Cup opener was a 1-1 draw with Morocco, whereas Haiti lost 0-1 to Scotland. The form data strongly supports a Brazil victory, with only minor uncertainty arising from the absence of confirmed lineups and the inherent unpred90%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Fixture: Brazil vs HAI. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T00:30:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T18:30:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Brazil: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Brazil: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 86.3%, draw 9.4%, side B win 4.3%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z -> 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19 → side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19; william_hill side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21 → side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21; bet365 side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21 → side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.12, draw 8.25, side B 19; william_hill: side A 1.11, draw 9.5, side B 21; bet365: side A 1.1, draw 11, side B 21; marathonbet: side A 1.12, draw 10.75, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 26; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 7.2.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-19T21:30:30Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 25.3°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 36%, wind 12.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Brazil:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Morocco, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T22:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Egypt, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T21:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away home, score 6-2, result win.
    • 2026-04-01T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Croatia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2025-10-10T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-07-07T01:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Uruguay, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Scotland, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. Check recent form

    #9

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  13. The recent form comparison reveals a massive gulf between the two sides: Brazil have been consistently competitive against major footballing nations with a strong goal-scoring record, while Haiti have struggled against mid-level and even lower-ranked opponents. Brazil's World Cup opener was a 1-1 draw with Morocco, whereas Haiti lost 0-1 to Scotland. The form data strongly supports a Brazil victory, with only minor uncertainty arising from the absence of confirmed lineups and the inherent unpred

Conclusion note

Brazil's recent form shows 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 10 matches, including high-scoring victories like 6-2 vs Panama and 5-0 vs South Korea, with their only defeats coming against top-tier France and Japan, while Haiti's recent record stands at just 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses including a 0-1 loss to Scotland in their World Cup opener and defeats to mid-tier sides Peru, Tunisia, and Saudi Arabia. The bookmaker consensus at 86.3% implied probability for a Brazil win reflects the enormous quality gap evident in both teams' recent performances.

Odds versus recent formHome winThe odds and recent form strongly converge on a Brazil victory: Brazil have dominant wins against Haiti-caliber opponents (6-2 vs Panama, 5-0 vs South Korea) and Haiti have lost to every mid-tier or better team they have faced. The slight divergence is that Brazil's three draws in ten matches, including a 1-1 with Morocco in their World Cup opener and a home draw against Tunisia, point to a non-trivial draw probability that the market's 9.4% may slightly underweight, though the overall direction84%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Odds versus recent form

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Fixture: Brazil vs HAI. Kickoff: 2026-06-20T00:30:00Z. Venue: Philadelphia Stadium, Philadelphia, altitude 3 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-19T18:30:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Brazil: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Brazil: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Haiti: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 86.3%, draw 9.4%, side B win 4.3%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z -> 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19 → side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19; william_hill side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21 → side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21; bet365 side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21 → side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.12, draw 8.25, side B 19; william_hill: side A 1.11, draw 9.5, side B 21; bet365: side A 1.1, draw 11, side B 21; marathonbet: side A 1.12, draw 10.75, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 26; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 7.2.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-19T21:30:30Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 25.3°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 36%, wind 12.1 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Brazil:

    • 2026-06-13T22:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Morocco, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T22:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Egypt, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
    • 2026-05-31T21:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away home, score 6-2, result win.
    • 2026-04-01T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Croatia, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-26T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against France, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-11-18T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-11-15T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Senegal, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-10-14T10:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Japan, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.
    • 2025-10-10T11:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against South Korea, home/away away, score 5-0, result win.
    • 2024-07-07T01:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Uruguay, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Haiti:

    • 2026-06-14T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Scotland, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2026-06-06T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Peru, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against New Zealand, home/away home, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-06-22T23:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against USA, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2025-06-19T22:45:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Trinidad and Tobago, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2025-06-16T00:15:00Z, competition CONCACAF Gold Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-03-22T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Azerbaijan, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2024-11-19T00:00:00Z, competition CONCACAF Nations League, against Puerto Rico, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.

  10. Check recent form

    #9

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #11

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. Visible odds update points: 16, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 86.3%, draw 9.4%, side B win 4.3%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-19T16:15:23Z -> 2026-06-19T20:07:20Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19 → side A 1.12 / draw 8.25 / side B 19; william_hill side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21 → side A 1.11 / draw 9.5 / side B 21; bet365 side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21 → side A 1.1 / draw 11 / side B 21. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.12, draw 8.25, side B 19; william_hill: side A 1.11, draw 9.5, side B 21; bet365: side A 1.1, draw 11, side B 21; marathonbet: side A 1.12, draw 10.75, side B 27. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 1.5 over 1.08 / under 7.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.01 / under 26; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.04 / under 7.2.

  13. Check team ranking facts

    #12

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-20 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  14. Check team ranking facts

    #13

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-19T22:30:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-20 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  15. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  16. The odds and recent form strongly converge on a Brazil victory: Brazil have dominant wins against Haiti-caliber opponents (6-2 vs Panama, 5-0 vs South Korea) and Haiti have lost to every mid-tier or better team they have faced. The slight divergence is that Brazil's three draws in ten matches, including a 1-1 with Morocco in their World Cup opener and a home draw against Tunisia, point to a non-trivial draw probability that the market's 9.4% may slightly underweight, though the overall direction

Conclusion note

The market consensus prices Brazil at 86.3% implied win probability with odds stable across 14 bookmakers, and this broadly converges with recent form: Brazil have won 5 of their last 10 including a 6-2 demolition of Panama at a comparable level, while Haiti have lost 5 of their last 10 and were beaten 0-1 by Scotland in their World Cup opener. However, there is mild divergence because Brazil drew 1-1 with Morocco in their own opening match and drew at home versus Tunisia, a team that beat Haiti 0-1, suggesting a small draw risk that the market's 9.4% draw probability slightly underestimates.

Synthesis

Brazil are strongly favored to defeat Haiti based on market odds showing an 86% implied win probability with stable pricing across bookmakers, and recent form highlighting Brazil's dominant victories such as 6-2 over Panama and 5-0 over South Korea, while Haiti have struggled against mid-tier teams. Although Brazil's occasional draws, including a 1-1 with Morocco in their opener, introduce a minor draw risk, the evidence decisively supports a Brazil victory.

Reasoning summary: The market odds analysis, recent form comparison, and odds versus recent form perspectives all independently pick Brazil to win, with market odds providing 86% implied probability and recent form showing Brazil's superior quality. The slight draw risk mentioned in the odds versus form analysis does not outweigh the strong convergence on a Brazil win.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Brazil vs Morocco Preview editionRecall anchors: bra mar group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Brazil win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Brazil win 55.0%; draw 30.0%; Morocco win 15.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Brazil 1-0 Morocco, Brazil 1-1 Morocco, Brazil 2relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Haiti vs Scotland Preview editionRecall anchors: hai sco group_c_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Scotland win with confidence 0.64. Probability distribution: Haiti win 15.0%; draw 21.0%; Scotland win 64.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Haiti 0-2 Scotland, Haiti 1-2 Scotland, Haiti relevance 0.50