MiMo V2.5 Pro · Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

SwitzerlandvsBosnia & Herzegovina
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Late
PredictionHome win58%Hit
BetDraw$360Reverse
Post-match result4-1
Net P&L-$360
PredictionConfidence: 58%
Home win

Switzerland are clear favorites with 61% implied win probability from stable market odds, bolstered by recent competitive wins over USA and Mexico. Bosnia & Herzegovina's inconsistency, including a heavy loss to Germany, contrasts with Switzerland's consistency, but both teams have drawn three of their last five matches, including their World Cup openers, creating notable draw risk. The decisive evidence tradeoff is between Switzerland's strong bookmaker consensus and the high draw frequency observed in recent form.

Bet
Draw$3602 bets
Net P&L-$360
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: LateReverse

    Draw

    $200
    odds 4.25Settled: loss-$200

    Betting rationale：Football posture: draw-trap protection with conviction. Both Switzerland and Bosnia have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, including their World Cup openers (1-1 each). This is a must-not-lose group stage match where neither side will overcommit — classic cautious tournament football. The match script screams tight, tactical, low-scoring stalemate. Model gives draw 25% probability vs. 23.5% implied at execution (Pinnacle 4.250), providing a small positive edge. Adding to existing $160 draw positi

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $6,934.5

  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $160
    odds 4.23Settled: loss-$160

    Betting rationale：Draw play at $160 (~2% of bankroll). Match script supports it: both teams drew their WC openers (Switzerland 1-1 Qatar, Bosnia 1-1 Canada), Switzerland drew 3 of last 5 matches, and the executable draw price at 4.230 is essentially fair (-0.2% edge). The favorite Switzerland is overpriced at execution (-4.1% edge), making the draw a better risk-reward football angle than backing the short-priced favorite. Small satellite stake reflects modest conviction but genuine football story.

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $6,934.5

Post-match result4-1
Outcome hitScoreline missedClosest off by 3 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 58%Draw 25%Away win 17%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 3
  1. #11-0
  2. #22-0
  3. #31-1

Analysis brief

  • - Market odds across 14 bookmaker samples with 13 update points show Switzerland priced as clear favorites with 61% implied probability versus Bosnia's 15.5%. The odds have remained essentially flat over the observed window (Switzerland +0.2pp), indicating stable market confidence rather than late money shifting expectations. Switzerland's competitive recent record and Bosnia's inconsistency—including heavy defeats—support the market's favoritism, though the neutral venue in Los Angeles and Bosnia
  • - Both Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina share an identical recent record of one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures, with high draw frequency in competitive matches. Switzerland's goal difference (+3 vs +2) and broader quality wins give them the edge, but the consistent draw patterns for both sides—especially in their World Cup group-stage openers—limit confidence in a Swiss victory despite the clear bookmaker pricing in their favour.

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Qatar win 15.0%; draw 25.0%; Switzerland win 60.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-1 Switzerland, Qatar 0-2 Switzer
  • - Recall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.82. Probability distribution: Qatar win 6.0%; draw 12.0%; Switzerland win 82.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-1 Switzerland, Qatar 0-2 Switze
  • - Recall anchors: can bih group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Canada win with confidence 0.53. Probability distribution: Canada win 53.0%; draw 28.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Canada 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina,
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.27Log loss 0.54

Meta thinking

  • Market odds analysisExamine the 14 captured betting odds for Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina to gauge market expectations and identify potential trends in implied probabilities.
  • Recent form evaluationCompare the recent match results and scoring patterns from the last five fixtures for both teams, focusing on draws and goal differences to assess consistency.

Tokens: 3768

Perspectives

Market odds analysisHome winMarket odds across 14 bookmaker samples with 13 update points show Switzerland priced as clear favorites with 61% implied probability versus Bosnia's 15.5%. The odds have remained essentially flat over the observed window (Switzerland +0.2pp), indicating stable market confidence rather than late money shifting expectations. Switzerland's competitive recent record and Bosnia's inconsistency—including heavy defeats—support the market's favoritism, though the neutral venue in Los Angeles and Bosnia58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z. Venue: Los Angeles Stadium, Inglewood, altitude 38 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-17T19:01:15Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-18T13:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61%, draw 23.4%, side B win 15.5%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-18T08:03:24Z -> 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.2pp, draw -0.19pp, side B win -0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 3.9 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.9; william_hill side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8; bet365 side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.9; william_hill: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.8; bet365: side A 1.55, draw 4.2, side B 6; marathonbet: side A 1.56, draw 4.15, side B 6.25. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; correct scores 0-0 8.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 9.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 15, 0-2 34.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-18T16:17:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 20.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 71%, wind 11 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Canada, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #9

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61%, draw 23.4%, side B win 15.5%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-18T08:03:24Z -> 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.2pp, draw -0.19pp, side B win -0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 3.9 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.9; william_hill side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8; bet365 side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.9; william_hill: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.8; bet365: side A 1.55, draw 4.2, side B 6; marathonbet: side A 1.56, draw 4.15, side B 6.25. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; correct scores 0-0 8.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 9.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 15, 0-2 34.

  11. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  12. Market odds across 14 bookmaker samples with 13 update points show Switzerland priced as clear favorites with 61% implied probability versus Bosnia's 15.5%. The odds have remained essentially flat over the observed window (Switzerland +0.2pp), indicating stable market confidence rather than late money shifting expectations. Switzerland's competitive recent record and Bosnia's inconsistency—including heavy defeats—support the market's favoritism, though the neutral venue in Los Angeles and Bosnia

Conclusion note

The 14 captured bookmaker samples show strong, stable consensus favoring Switzerland at 61% implied win probability, with odds tightly clustered around 1.55 across 10bet, William Hill, bet365 and Marathonbet, while Bosnia & Herzegovina's win probability sits at just 15.5% with odds ranging from 5.8 to 6.25. Switzerland's recent form includes wins over USA and Mexico and a draw against Qatar in their World Cup opener, whereas Bosnia & Herzegovina have struggled badly with a 0-7 loss to Germany and several draws, though they did manage a 1-1 result against Canada in their opening match.

Recent form evaluationHome winBoth Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina share an identical recent record of one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures, with high draw frequency in competitive matches. Switzerland's goal difference (+3 vs +2) and broader quality wins give them the edge, but the consistent draw patterns for both sides—especially in their World Cup group-stage openers—limit confidence in a Swiss victory despite the clear bookmaker pricing in their favour.55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form evaluation

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z. Venue: Los Angeles Stadium, Inglewood, altitude 38 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-17T19:01:15Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-18T13:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61%, draw 23.4%, side B win 15.5%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-18T08:03:24Z -> 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.2pp, draw -0.19pp, side B win -0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 3.9 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.9; william_hill side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8; bet365 side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.9; william_hill: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.8; bet365: side A 1.55, draw 4.2, side B 6; marathonbet: side A 1.56, draw 4.15, side B 6.25. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; correct scores 0-0 8.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 9.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 15, 0-2 34.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-18T16:17:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 20.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 71%, wind 11 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Canada, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Check recent form

    #9

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. Check team process facts

    #11

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.

  13. Check team process facts

    #12

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.

  14. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  15. Both Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina share an identical recent record of one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five fixtures, with high draw frequency in competitive matches. Switzerland's goal difference (+3 vs +2) and broader quality wins give them the edge, but the consistent draw patterns for both sides—especially in their World Cup group-stage openers—limit confidence in a Swiss victory despite the clear bookmaker pricing in their favour.

Conclusion note

Switzerland are clear bookmaker favourites at 61% implied probability against Bosnia & Herzegovina, and their wider form includes quality wins over USA (4-0) and Mexico (4-2), but both teams have drawn three of their last five matches each, with Switzerland drawing Qatar 1-1 and Bosnia drawing Canada 1-1 in their World Cup openers, which introduces meaningful draw risk despite the talent gap.

Synthesis

Switzerland are clear favorites with 61% implied win probability from stable market odds, bolstered by recent competitive wins over USA and Mexico. Bosnia & Herzegovina's inconsistency, including a heavy loss to Germany, contrasts with Switzerland's consistency, but both teams have drawn three of their last five matches, including their World Cup openers, creating notable draw risk. The decisive evidence tradeoff is between Switzerland's strong bookmaker consensus and the high draw frequency observed in recent form.

Reasoning summary: Both market odds analysis and recent form evaluation agree on a Switzerland victory, with market odds implying a 61% win probability and form showing quality wins for Switzerland. However, recent form highlights that both teams have drawn frequently in competitive matches, limiting confidence in a Swiss win and elevating draw probability.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Qatar vs Switzerland Preview editionRecall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.60. Probability distribution: Qatar win 15.0%; draw 25.0%; Switzerland win 60.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-1 Switzerland, Qatar 0-2 Switzerrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Qatar vs Switzerland Actionable editionRecall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.82. Probability distribution: Qatar win 6.0%; draw 12.0%; Switzerland win 82.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-1 Switzerland, Qatar 0-2 Switzerelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Actionable editionRecall anchors: can bih group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Canada win with confidence 0.53. Probability distribution: Canada win 53.0%; draw 28.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 19.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Canada 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina, relevance 0.50