ERNIE 5.1 · Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

SwitzerlandvsBosnia & Herzegovina
Wenxin
ERNIE 5.1Baidu

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: LateInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionHome win62%Hit
BetDraw$620Reverse
Post-match result4-1
Net P&L-$620
PredictionConfidence: 62%
Home win

Switzerland enter as clear favorites, with the market pricing them at roughly a 61% chance to win, while Bosnia & Herzegovina are given only about a 15% chance and a stalemate sits near 23%. Both sides have shown a strong tendency to share points in recent matches, yet Switzerland have notched more goals and faced tougher opposition, and both squads are fully fit with no suspensions. The superior recent record and squad availability tilt the prediction toward a Switzerland victory, though the shared draw‑prone pattern keeps the risk of a deadlock notable.

Bet
Draw$6202 bets
Net P&L-$620
  • Draw1X2Source prediction: PreviewReverse

    Draw

    $520
    odds 4.23Settled: loss-$520

    Betting rationale：Football posture: draw/trap protection with contrarian value. Match script: Both Switzerland and Bosnia drew their World Cup openers 1-1, both are stuck in a 1-win-3-draws-1-loss rut, and this is a cagey group-stage affair in Los Angeles where neither side can afford to lose. Switzerland's quality-of-opposition edge is real but thin, and the market at 1.530 is overpricing them by 10% according to the model. The draw at Pinnacle's 4.230 carries a +4.4% model edge — the clearest value on the board

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $9,756.3

  • Correct score 1-0Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 1-0

    $100
    odds 5.25Settled: loss-$100

    Betting rationale：Draw-prone script: both teams have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, making a cagey group-stage opener likely. I already hold a $520 draw bet as insurance. The model's top predicted score is 1-0 at 13% probability, while 10bet pays 5.250 (implied 19%)—a genuine ~6% edge. This $100 satellite bet (≈1% of bankroll) complements the draw hedge: if Switzerland sneak a narrow win, the correct score pays 5.25x while the draw loses; if it's 0-0, the draw bet covers it. Low-risk, high-script alignment.

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $9,756.3

Post-match result4-1
Outcome hitScoreline missedClosest off by 2 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 62%Draw 23%Away win 15%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 2
  1. #11-0
  2. #20-0
  3. #32-1

Analysis brief

  • - The odds market strongly favors Switzerland with consensus implied probabilities of 61% for a Switzerland win versus just 15.5% for Bosnia, and all major bookmakers align tightly around 1.55 for Switzerland, 3.9–4.2 for the draw, and 5.8–6.25 for Bosnia; the slight drift toward Switzerland (+0.2pp) and away from the draw (−0.19pp) in the latest update confirms growing market conviction, and Switzerland's superior recent record (3W 5D 2L vs Bosnia's 1W 5D 4L) supports this pricing, though the 23%
  • - Both teams are draw-heavy with matching 1W-3D-1L records, but Switzerland's superior goal tally and higher-quality opponents (Germany, Norway, Qatar) versus Bosnia's softer schedule (Malta, Macedonia, Panama) justify the 61% odds favoring Switzerland; however, the shared draw tendency and Bosnia's tighter defense (5 conceded vs Switzerland's 7) keep confidence moderate at 0.60 rather than higher.
  • - The odds consensus heavily favors Switzerland at 61% implied probability, and their recent record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in the last 10 matches is significantly stronger than Bosnia & Herzegovina's 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses including a 0-7 defeat to Germany. Both teams report zero injuries and zero suspensions, meaning squad risk is minimal and the clean availability slate lets each side deploy their best players, though starting XI data is not yet visible. The neutral Los Angeles v

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Qatar win 20.0%; draw 25.0%; Switzerland win 55.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-2 Switzerland, Qatar 1-2 Switzer
  • - Recall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.82. Probability distribution: Qatar win 6.0%; draw 12.0%; Switzerland win 82.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-1 Switzerland, Qatar 0-2 Switze
  • - Recall anchors: can bih group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Canada win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Canada win 55.0%; draw 28.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 17.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Canada 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina,
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.22Log loss 0.48

Meta thinking

  • Market odds positioningExamine the 14 captured odds observations to identify any market asymmetry between Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina, noting whether the market assigns a clear favorite or prices the match as tightly contested despite the schedule-listed home label.
  • Recent form trajectoryCompare the last 5 visible matches for each team: Switzerland shows 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss (including a 4-1 win vs Jordan and 3-4 loss vs Germany), while Bosnia & Herzegovina shows 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss (including a 4-1 win vs Malta and 1-2 loss vs Slovenia). Both teams are draw-heavy; assess whether goal-scoring patterns or opponent quality differ.
  • Squad availability baselineBoth teams report 0 injuries from the captured injury check as of 2026-06-18T13:00:00Z, and lineup checks returned no rows as of 2026-06-17T19:01:15Z. Evaluate what the clean injury slate implies for squad risk, while noting that actual starting XI data is not yet visible.

Tokens: 3714

Perspectives

Market odds positioningHome winThe odds market strongly favors Switzerland with consensus implied probabilities of 61% for a Switzerland win versus just 15.5% for Bosnia, and all major bookmakers align tightly around 1.55 for Switzerland, 3.9–4.2 for the draw, and 5.8–6.25 for Bosnia; the slight drift toward Switzerland (+0.2pp) and away from the draw (−0.19pp) in the latest update confirms growing market conviction, and Switzerland's superior recent record (3W 5D 2L vs Bosnia's 1W 5D 4L) supports this pricing, though the 23%65%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds positioning

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z. Venue: Los Angeles Stadium, Inglewood, altitude 38 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-17T19:01:15Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-18T13:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61%, draw 23.4%, side B win 15.5%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-18T08:03:24Z -> 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.2pp, draw -0.19pp, side B win -0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 3.9 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.9; william_hill side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8; bet365 side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.9; william_hill: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.8; bet365: side A 1.55, draw 4.2, side B 6; marathonbet: side A 1.56, draw 4.15, side B 6.25. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; correct scores 0-0 8.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 9.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 15, 0-2 34.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-18T16:17:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 20.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 71%, wind 11 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Canada, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The odds market strongly favors Switzerland with consensus implied probabilities of 61% for a Switzerland win versus just 15.5% for Bosnia, and all major bookmakers align tightly around 1.55 for Switzerland, 3.9–4.2 for the draw, and 5.8–6.25 for Bosnia; the slight drift toward Switzerland (+0.2pp) and away from the draw (−0.19pp) in the latest update confirms growing market conviction, and Switzerland's superior recent record (3W 5D 2L vs Bosnia's 1W 5D 4L) supports this pricing, though the 23%

Conclusion note

Switzerland are priced as clear favorites by the market with a 61% implied win probability across 14 bookmaker samples, while Bosnia & Herzegovina sit at only 15.5%, and the draw is priced around 23%; Switzerland's recent form shows 3 wins and 5 draws in 10 matches compared to Bosnia's 1 win and 4 losses, reinforcing the market's asymmetry despite the neutral Los Angeles Stadium venue.

Recent form trajectoryHome winBoth teams are draw-heavy with matching 1W-3D-1L records, but Switzerland's superior goal tally and higher-quality opponents (Germany, Norway, Qatar) versus Bosnia's softer schedule (Malta, Macedonia, Panama) justify the 61% odds favoring Switzerland; however, the shared draw tendency and Bosnia's tighter defense (5 conceded vs Switzerland's 7) keep confidence moderate at 0.60 rather than higher.60%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form trajectory

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z. Venue: Los Angeles Stadium, Inglewood, altitude 38 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-17T19:01:15Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-18T13:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61%, draw 23.4%, side B win 15.5%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-18T08:03:24Z -> 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.2pp, draw -0.19pp, side B win -0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 3.9 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.9; william_hill side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8; bet365 side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.9; william_hill: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.8; bet365: side A 1.55, draw 4.2, side B 6; marathonbet: side A 1.56, draw 4.15, side B 6.25. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; correct scores 0-0 8.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 9.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 15, 0-2 34.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-18T16:17:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 20.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 71%, wind 11 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Canada, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Both teams are draw-heavy with matching 1W-3D-1L records, but Switzerland's superior goal tally and higher-quality opponents (Germany, Norway, Qatar) versus Bosnia's softer schedule (Malta, Macedonia, Panama) justify the 61% odds favoring Switzerland; however, the shared draw tendency and Bosnia's tighter defense (5 conceded vs Switzerland's 7) keep confidence moderate at 0.60 rather than higher.

Conclusion note

Switzerland and Bosnia & Herzegovina both carry identical recent trajectories of 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss over their last five matches, but Switzerland's goal-scoring output is higher (9 goals vs 7) and they faced notably tougher opposition including a 3-4 loss to Germany and a 0-0 draw with Norway, whereas Bosnia's wins and losses came against weaker sides like Malta and Slovenia; bookmakers price Switzerland at 61% implied probability to win with the draw at 23.4%, reflecting the quality gap despite both teams being extremely draw-prone.

Squad availability baselineHome winThe odds consensus heavily favors Switzerland at 61% implied probability, and their recent record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in the last 10 matches is significantly stronger than Bosnia & Herzegovina's 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses including a 0-7 defeat to Germany. Both teams report zero injuries and zero suspensions, meaning squad risk is minimal and the clean availability slate lets each side deploy their best players, though starting XI data is not yet visible. The neutral Los Angeles v68%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Squad availability baseline

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Fixture: Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-18T19:00:00Z. Venue: Los Angeles Stadium, Inglewood, altitude 38 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-17T19:01:15Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-18T13:00:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Switzerland: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Switzerland: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 13, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 61%, draw 23.4%, side B win 15.5%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-18T08:03:24Z -> 2026-06-18T16:00:45Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0.2pp, draw -0.19pp, side B win -0.01pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.54 / draw 3.9 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.9; william_hill side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8 → side A 1.55 / draw 3.9 / side B 5.8; bet365 side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6 → side A 1.55 / draw 4.2 / side B 6. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.9; william_hill: side A 1.55, draw 3.9, side B 5.8; bet365: side A 1.55, draw 4.2, side B 6; marathonbet: side A 1.56, draw 4.15, side B 6.25. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; correct scores 0-0 8.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; william_hill: correct scores 0-0 9.5, 0-1 12, 0-2 29; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.06 / under 10; correct scores 0-0 10, 0-1 15, 0-2 34.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-18T16:17:58Z. Kickoff weather: partly_cloudy, 20.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 71%, wind 11 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Switzerland:

    • 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Qatar, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Jordan, home/away home, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Norway, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Germany, home/away home, score 3-4, result loss.
    • 2025-06-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against USA, home/away away, score 4-0, result win.
    • 2025-06-07T20:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mexico, home/away away, score 4-2, result win.
    • 2025-03-25T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Luxembourg, home/away home, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-03-21T19:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Northern Ireland, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-18T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Spain, home/away away, score 2-3, result loss.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-18T17:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Canada, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The odds consensus heavily favors Switzerland at 61% implied probability, and their recent record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses in the last 10 matches is significantly stronger than Bosnia & Herzegovina's 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses including a 0-7 defeat to Germany. Both teams report zero injuries and zero suspensions, meaning squad risk is minimal and the clean availability slate lets each side deploy their best players, though starting XI data is not yet visible. The neutral Los Angeles v

Conclusion note

Switzerland are strong 61% favorites over Bosnia & Herzegovina (15.5%) with the draw at 23.4%, backed by a clean injury slate for both squads that allows each to field their strongest available lineup; Switzerland's recent form shows 4 wins in 10 matches while Bosnia have managed only 1 win in 10 with heavy defeats including a 0-7 loss to Germany.

Synthesis

Switzerland enter as clear favorites, with the market pricing them at roughly a 61% chance to win, while Bosnia & Herzegovina are given only about a 15% chance and a stalemate sits near 23%. Both sides have shown a strong tendency to share points in recent matches, yet Switzerland have notched more goals and faced tougher opposition, and both squads are fully fit with no suspensions. The superior recent record and squad availability tilt the prediction toward a Switzerland victory, though the shared draw‑prone pattern keeps the risk of a deadlock notable.

Reasoning summary: All three independent analyses select Switzerland to win, with confidences ranging from 0.60 to 0.68, mirroring market odds that assign about a 61% win probability to Switzerland, 15% to Bosnia, and 23% to a draw. Recent form shows both teams draw often, but Switzerland have higher scoring output and have contested stronger opponents, while Bosnia’s tighter defense limits their scoring. With both squads at full strength, the preponderance of evidence supports a Switzerland win, although the draw

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Qatar vs Switzerland Preview editionRecall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Qatar win 20.0%; draw 25.0%; Switzerland win 55.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-2 Switzerland, Qatar 1-2 Switzerrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Qatar vs Switzerland Actionable editionRecall anchors: qat sui group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Switzerland win with confidence 0.82. Probability distribution: Qatar win 6.0%; draw 12.0%; Switzerland win 82.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Qatar 0-1 Switzerland, Qatar 0-2 Switzerelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Actionable editionRecall anchors: can bih group_b_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Canada win with confidence 0.55. Probability distribution: Canada win 55.0%; draw 28.0%; Bosnia & Herzegovina win 17.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Canada 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina, relevance 0.50