DeepSeek V4 Flash · Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

CanadavsBosnia & Herzegovina
DeepSeek
DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Actionable
PredictionHome win54%Miss
BetHome win$560Aligned
Post-match result1-1
Net P&L-$560
PredictionConfidence: 54%
Home win

Market odds heavily favor Canada (implied probability 51.5%) in Toronto, reflecting home advantage and a significant FIFA ranking gap (Canada #30, Bosnia #65). The betting consensus is tight across bookmakers, indicating a settled market. Recent form moderately supports this view: Canada is unbeaten in five friendlies with three clean sheets, while Bosnia's competitive record includes heavy defensive collapses against Germany (0-7) and the Netherlands (2-5), punctuated only by a creditable draw away to the Netherlands. The two analysis panels agree on a Canada win but slightly differ on the margin of confidence; the form panel notes Canada's friendly-dominated schedule as a limiting factor, while the market views the matchup as strongly aligned. The consensus favors Canada as the most likely winner, although the draw (27-28% implied) remains a live possibility given Canada's three draws in those five friendlies. A word-of-caution hypothesis: if Bosnia play a deep block like they did against the Netherlands, a narrow Canadian win or draw script is plausible. Recalled memory offers no specific disciplinary or availability updates for this fixture.

Bet
Home win$5602 bets
Net P&L-$560
  • Home win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Home win

    $300
    odds 1.84Settled: loss-$300

    Betting rationale：Posture: favourite conviction with home-narrative boost. Match script — Canada at home in Toronto for a World Cup group match, unbeaten in five with three clean sheets, facing a Bosnia side that has shipped heavy goals against quality opponents (0-7 vs Germany, 2-5 vs Netherlands). The ranking gap (#30 vs #65), home crowd at BMO Field, and Canada's solid recent form outweigh the draw risk (27% model). The execution price (Pinnacle 1.84) is essentially fair with no material edge, but the live mat

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $8,590

  • Home win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned

    Home win

    $260
    odds 1.84Settled: loss-$260

    Betting rationale：Football posture: favourite conviction with a home-opener tilt. Match script: Canada, at home in Toronto with a settled 4-4-2 led by David and Buchanan, faces a Bosnia side that drew four of its last five but lacks the attacking punch to dominate. The model sees Canada win at 54% (fair value vs Pinnacle 1.84, edge -0.003 essentially zero). World Cup group-stage opener with a partisan crowd, solid recent defensive record (3 clean sheets in 5), and modest but credible opponent make this a playable

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $7,480

Post-match result1-1
Outcome missedScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Home win
Home win 54%Draw 27%Away win 19%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #11-0
  2. #22-0
  3. #31-1Hit

Analysis brief

  • - Market odds analysis: Canada priced as clear favorite at ~1.83-1.87 (51.5% consensus implied probability) with tight bookmaker agreement. Draw ~3.4 (27.5%), Bosnia ~4.4 (21%). Home advantage and ranking gap support Canada as most likely outcome. Very minor movement confirms a settled market. Side A win is the most defensible pick from the odds perspective.
  • - Canada's unbeaten run, superior defensive record (0.6 GA/game vs 1.0), higher FIFA ranking (30 vs 65), and home venue support a Canada win prediction. Bosnia's Netherlands draw shows they can be competitive, but their overall recent competitive record (Nations League) is poor and their attacking stats are inflated by a 4-1 win over Malta (rank ~169). Market odds (Canada 51.5%) align with the form analysis. Confidence is moderate (0.55) because all recent matches for Canada and most for Bosnia ar

Memory brief

  • - Match: m_2026_001 Result: side_a Prediction evaluations by target: - t_minus_6h: prediction side_a_win, verdict correct Investment: bet win on side_a_win, stake 200.0, payout 286.0 Future rule: compare prediction direction, confidence and betting result before carrying this lesso
  • - Match: m_2026_002 Result: side_a Prediction evaluations by target: - t_minus_6h: prediction side_b_win, verdict wrong Investment: bet loss on side_b_win, stake 150.0, payout 0.0 Future rule: compare prediction direction, confidence and betting result before carrying this lesson f
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.86Log loss 1.31

Meta thinking

  • Market odds analysisScrutinize the 14 captured odds entries to derive market-implied probabilities for each match outcome and any overround. Identify whether the odds are consistent among bookmakers or exhibit variation, and check if the home/away status appears reflected in the prices.
  • Recent match record comparisonCompare Canada's and Bosnia & Herzegovina's last five official matches: record, goals for/against, opponent strength, and competition level. Look for trends in form, defensive solidity, attacking output, and any notable difference in recent opponent quality.

Tokens: 3024

Perspectives

Market odds analysisHome winMarket odds analysis: Canada priced as clear favorite at ~1.83-1.87 (51.5% consensus implied probability) with tight bookmaker agreement. Draw ~3.4 (27.5%), Bosnia ~4.4 (21%). Home advantage and ranking gap support Canada as most likely outcome. Very minor movement confirms a settled market. Side A win is the most defensible pick from the odds perspective.65%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Fixture: Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z. Venue: Toronto Stadium, Toronto, altitude 76 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z: lineups not captured (source returned no rows); injuries not captured (source returned no rows); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Canada: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 5, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 51.5%, draw 27.5%, side B win 21%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-11T12:07:24Z -> 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.44pp, draw +0.39pp, side B win +0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.87 / draw 3.45 / side B 4.1 → side A 1.87 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.1; william_hill side A 1.8 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.5 → side A 1.83 / draw 3.3 / side B 4.4; bet365 side A 1.83 / draw 3.6 / side B 4.33 → side A 1.85 / draw 3.5 / side B 4.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.87, draw 3.4, side B 4.1; william_hill: side A 1.83, draw 3.3, side B 4.4; bet365: side A 1.85, draw 3.5, side B 4.5; marathonbet: side A 1.87, draw 3.54, side B 4.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.7.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-10T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-09-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-09-07T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-5, result loss.

  10. Check team ranking facts

    #9

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Canada's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 30. points 1556.48; previous rank 29; previous points 1559.15; rated matches 60; confederation CONCACAF.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Bosnia & Herzegovina's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 65. points 1385.84; previous rank 71; previous points 1362.37; rated matches 44; confederation UEFA.

  12. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #11

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 5, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 51.5%, draw 27.5%, side B win 21%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-11T12:07:24Z -> 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.44pp, draw +0.39pp, side B win +0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.87 / draw 3.45 / side B 4.1 → side A 1.87 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.1; william_hill side A 1.8 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.5 → side A 1.83 / draw 3.3 / side B 4.4; bet365 side A 1.83 / draw 3.6 / side B 4.33 → side A 1.85 / draw 3.5 / side B 4.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.87, draw 3.4, side B 4.1; william_hill: side A 1.83, draw 3.3, side B 4.4; bet365: side A 1.85, draw 3.5, side B 4.5; marathonbet: side A 1.87, draw 3.54, side B 4.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.7.

  13. Check tournament context

    #12

    Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina group context: Group B; visible fixtures show 0 completed matches and 5 remaining. Current group table: Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 pts/0 played; Canada 0 pts/0 played; Qatar 0 pts/0 played; Switzerland 0 pts/0 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Bosnia & Herzegovina can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Canada can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Qatar can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Switzerland can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible. Remaining fixtures: Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina; Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina; Canada vs Qatar; Switzerland vs Canada. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.

  14. Market odds analysis for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (World Cup Group B): 14 bookmaker odds captured with latest update 2026-06-12T08:11Z. Consensus implied probabilities: Canada 51.5%, draw 27.5%, Bosnia 21%. Canada odds very consistent across bookmakers (1.83-1.87), draw moderate range (3.3-3.54), Bosnia wider (4.1-4.8). Overround ranges 2.6%-7.7% (typical). Movement negligible (-0.44pp Canada, +0.39pp draw, +0.05pp Bosnia) indicating settled market. Home advantage clearly reflected alongsi

  15. Market odds analysis: Canada priced as clear favorite at ~1.83-1.87 (51.5% consensus implied probability) with tight bookmaker agreement. Draw ~3.4 (27.5%), Bosnia ~4.4 (21%). Home advantage and ranking gap support Canada as most likely outcome. Very minor movement confirms a settled market. Side A win is the most defensible pick from the odds perspective.

Conclusion note

Market odds heavily favor Canada at home in Toronto. Consensus implied probabilities (from 14 bookmaker samples) give Canada a 51.5% win chance, draw 27.5%, Bosnia 21%. Canada's odds are very consistent across bookmakers (1.83-1.87), indicating strong market agreement. The odds reflect both Canada's home advantage and the FIFA ranking gap (Canada #30, Bosnia #65). Movement has been negligible in the latest updates, suggesting a settled market. Bosnia's recent form includes heavy competitive defeats (0-7 vs Germany, 2-5 vs Netherlands) while Canada has been solid at home. Overround ranges are typical (2.6-7.7%), no unusual pricing. The market clearly points to Canada as the most probable winner, though the 27.5% draw probability and 21% Bosnia chance mean confidence is moderate without confirmed lineups.

Recent match record comparisonHome winCanada's unbeaten run, superior defensive record (0.6 GA/game vs 1.0), higher FIFA ranking (30 vs 65), and home venue support a Canada win prediction. Bosnia's Netherlands draw shows they can be competitive, but their overall recent competitive record (Nations League) is poor and their attacking stats are inflated by a 4-1 win over Malta (rank ~169). Market odds (Canada 51.5%) align with the form analysis. Confidence is moderate (0.55) because all recent matches for Canada and most for Bosnia ar55%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent match record comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Fixture: Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina. Kickoff: 2026-06-12T19:00:00Z. Venue: Toronto Stadium, Toronto, altitude 76 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z: lineups not captured (source returned no rows); injuries not captured (source returned no rows); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Canada: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Canada: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Bosnia & Herzegovina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 5, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 51.5%, draw 27.5%, side B win 21%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-11T12:07:24Z -> 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.44pp, draw +0.39pp, side B win +0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.87 / draw 3.45 / side B 4.1 → side A 1.87 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.1; william_hill side A 1.8 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.5 → side A 1.83 / draw 3.3 / side B 4.4; bet365 side A 1.83 / draw 3.6 / side B 4.33 → side A 1.85 / draw 3.5 / side B 4.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.87, draw 3.4, side B 4.1; william_hill: side A 1.83, draw 3.3, side B 4.4; bet365: side A 1.85, draw 3.5, side B 4.5; marathonbet: side A 1.87, draw 3.54, side B 4.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.7.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-10T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss.
    • 2025-09-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss.
    • 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2024-09-07T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-5, result loss.

  10. Check team ranking facts

    #9

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Canada's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 30. points 1556.48; previous rank 29; previous points 1559.15; rated matches 60; confederation CONCACAF.

  11. Check team ranking facts

    #10

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Bosnia & Herzegovina's pre-match FIFA men's ranking release is dated 2026-04-01; rank 65. points 1385.84; previous rank 71; previous points 1362.37; rated matches 44; confederation UEFA.

  12. Check recent form

    #11

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 5 visible recent match record(s) for Canada:

    • 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.

  13. Check recent form

    #12

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 5 visible recent match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina:

    • 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw.
    • 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win.
    • 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss.
    • 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw.

  14. Check team process facts

    #13

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Canada recent sample: 5 visible matches, with detailed data for 5. record 2W-3D-0L；goals for/against 6/3, per-match 1.2/0.6。 Stat averages: shots 10.5, shots on target 4.25, possession 55.75, corners 7, fouls 9.5, yellow cards 1.33, red cards 1, passes 343.75, pass accuracy 81.5. Event sample: scored first in 3, conceded first in 1, penalty events 2/0, 68 substitution events, average minute 64. Lineup sample: starting XI visible in 5; formations recorded: 4-4-2 (4). Coverage notes: player-performance data covers only part of the sample；statistics cover only part of the sample.

  15. Check team process facts

    #14

    Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Bosnia & Herzegovina recent sample: 5 visible matches, with detailed data for 5. record 1W-3D-1L；goals for/against 7/5, per-match 1.4/1.0。 Stat averages: shots 10.5, shots on target 3, possession 52.5, corners 2.5, fouls 14.5, yellow cards 0.5, red cards 0, passes 334, pass accuracy 78. Event sample: scored first in 2, conceded first in 2, penalty events 0/2, 72 substitution events, average minute 64. Lineup sample: starting XI visible in 5; formations recorded: 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2). Coverage notes: player-performance data covers only part of the sample；statistics cover only part of the sample.

  16. Check team history

    #15

    Team history summary: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 10 visible historical match record(s) for Canada; this page returns 10 in reverse chronological order:

    1. 2026-06-05T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Rep. Of Ireland, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-aff9bb9ed5)
    2. 2026-06-02T01:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uzbekistan, home/away home, score 2-0, result win. (full detail via reference hist-3c8d3c3f7f)
    3. 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Tunisia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-7494415b24)
    4. 2026-03-28T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Iceland, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-4b0253a5c0)
    5. 2026-01-18T03:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 1-0, result win. (full detail via reference hist-8f7aad578d)
    6. 2025-11-19T01:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 2-0, result win. (full detail via reference hist-bdf5e50e07)
    7. 2025-11-14T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Ecuador, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-d322e15a0a)
    8. 2025-10-15T00:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-54d5bff7f4)
    9. 2025-10-10T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Australia, home/away home, score 0-1, result loss. (full detail via reference hist-7d471626ab)
    10. 2025-09-09T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Wales, home/away away, score 1-0, result win. (full detail via reference hist-0791b67cbf)

  17. Check team history

    #16

    Team history summary: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. 10 visible historical match record(s) for Bosnia & Herzegovina; this page returns 10 in reverse chronological order:

    1. 2026-06-06T19:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Panama, home/away away, score 1-1, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-e63dc43502)
    2. 2026-05-29T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against FYR Macedonia, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-cf59117978)
    3. 2025-10-12T17:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Malta, home/away away, score 4-1, result win. (full detail via reference hist-61d83b330b)
    4. 2025-06-10T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Slovenia, home/away away, score 1-2, result loss. (full detail via reference hist-d9d7476c6a)
    5. 2024-11-19T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away home, score 1-1, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-523fea70d6)
    6. 2024-11-16T19:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away away, score 0-7, result loss. (full detail via reference hist-f81f0a3c50)
    7. 2024-10-14T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away home, score 0-2, result loss. (full detail via reference hist-b63e809934)
    8. 2024-10-11T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Germany, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss. (full detail via reference hist-63f40060b4)
    9. 2024-09-10T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Hungary, home/away away, score 0-0, result draw. (full detail via reference hist-4ee75b6971)
    10. 2024-09-07T18:45:00Z, competition UEFA Nations League, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 2-5, result loss. (full detail via reference hist-3f62107383)

  18. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #17

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-12T13:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 5, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 51.5%, draw 27.5%, side B win 21%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-11T12:07:24Z -> 2026-06-12T08:11:35Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.44pp, draw +0.39pp, side B win +0.05pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 1.87 / draw 3.45 / side B 4.1 → side A 1.87 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.1; william_hill side A 1.8 / draw 3.4 / side B 4.5 → side A 1.83 / draw 3.3 / side B 4.4; bet365 side A 1.83 / draw 3.6 / side B 4.33 → side A 1.85 / draw 3.5 / side B 4.5. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 1.87, draw 3.4, side B 4.1; william_hill: side A 1.83, draw 3.3, side B 4.4; bet365: side A 1.85, draw 3.5, side B 4.5; marathonbet: side A 1.87, draw 3.54, side B 4.8. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.07 / under 8; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.08 / under 8; marathonbet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 7.7.

  19. Recent match record comparison: Canada (FIFA 30, home) vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (FIFA 65, away). Canada's last 5: 2W-3D-0L, all friendlies at home. Unbeaten run with 3 clean sheets (Guatemala, Tunisia, Uzbekistan). Goals 6-3. Opponent quality mid-tier (best: Tunisia ~41, Rep. Ireland ~60). Defensively solid but no competitive test recently. Bosnia's last 5: 1W-3D-1L. Standout result: 1-1 vs Netherlands (rank 6) in UEFA Nations League. Other results: draws vs Panama, FYR Macedonia; win vs Malta; l

  20. Canada's unbeaten run, superior defensive record (0.6 GA/game vs 1.0), higher FIFA ranking (30 vs 65), and home venue support a Canada win prediction. Bosnia's Netherlands draw shows they can be competitive, but their overall recent competitive record (Nations League) is poor and their attacking stats are inflated by a 4-1 win over Malta (rank ~169). Market odds (Canada 51.5%) align with the form analysis. Confidence is moderate (0.55) because all recent matches for Canada and most for Bosnia ar

Conclusion note

Canada (FIFA rank 30, home team in Toronto) enter the match unbeaten in their last five friendlies (2W-3D-0L, goals 6-3, three clean sheets). Their recent opponents have been mid-tier — Tunisia, Rep. of Ireland, Uzbekistan, Iceland, Guatemala — and all games were at home, limiting the competitive gauge. Bosnia & Herzegovina (FIFA rank 65) have a more mixed recent record (1W-3D-1L, goals 7-5) but include a creditable 1-1 Nations League draw away to the Netherlands (rank 6). However, Bosnia's wider competitive form shows heavy losses to Germany (0-7, 1-2) and Netherlands (2-5), highlighting defensive vulnerability against quality sides. The odds market gives Canada a 51.5% implied win probability with minimal movement, reflecting the home side's higher ranking, better recent defensive numbers, and home advantage. No head-to-head, lineup or weather data is available. The form comparison moderately favors Canada but the friendly-dominated schedules and limited data cap confidence.

Synthesis

Market odds heavily favor Canada (implied probability 51.5%) in Toronto, reflecting home advantage and a significant FIFA ranking gap (Canada #30, Bosnia #65). The betting consensus is tight across bookmakers, indicating a settled market. Recent form moderately supports this view: Canada is unbeaten in five friendlies with three clean sheets, while Bosnia's competitive record includes heavy defensive collapses against Germany (0-7) and the Netherlands (2-5), punctuated only by a creditable draw away to the Netherlands. The two analysis panels agree on a Canada win but slightly differ on the margin of confidence; the form panel notes Canada's friendly-dominated schedule as a limiting factor, while the market views the matchup as strongly aligned. The consensus favors Canada as the most likely winner, although the draw (27-28% implied) remains a live possibility given Canada's three draws in those five friendlies. A word-of-caution hypothesis: if Bosnia play a deep block like they did against the Netherlands, a narrow Canadian win or draw script is plausible. Recalled memory offers no specific disciplinary or availability updates for this fixture.

Reasoning summary: Both market odds and recent form consistently favor Canada. The odds are settled and strongly reflect home advantage and ranking gap. Canada's defensive solidity contrasts with Bosnia's defensive vulnerability. The limited number of high-quality opponents on Canada's schedule and Bosnia's potential for disruption moderate confidence. The most defensible pick is a Canada win.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection m_2026_001Match: m_2026_001 Result: side_a Prediction evaluations by target: - t_minus_6h: prediction side_a_win, verdict correct Investment: bet win on side_a_win, stake 200.0, payout 286.0 Future rule: compare prediction direction, confidence and betting result before carrying this lessorelevance 0.00
  • Post-match reflection m_2026_002Match: m_2026_002 Result: side_a Prediction evaluations by target: - t_minus_6h: prediction side_b_win, verdict wrong Investment: bet loss on side_b_win, stake 150.0, payout 0.0 Future rule: compare prediction direction, confidence and betting result before carrying this lesson frelevance 0.00