DeepSeek V4 Pro · Jordan vs Argentina | WorldCupBench.ai

JordanvsArgentinaJun 28, 02:00 UTC

DeepSeek V4 ProDeepseek

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Preview

PredictionAway win80%

BetAway win$840Aligned

Post-match result1-3

Net P&L+$137.5

PredictionConfidence: 80%

Away win

Argentina enter this neutral-venue match in Arlington as overwhelming favourites after dominant World Cup group wins over Algeria (3‑0) and Austria (2‑0) — the same sides that beat Jordan earlier in the group stage. Jordan are already eliminated following two defeats, while Argentina have secured qualification and could opt for some rotation. Nevertheless, the gulf in quality and form is vast: Argentina are on a five‑match winning streak with four clean sheets, Jordan have lost four of their last five, and the bookmaker consensus implies an 81% win probability for Argentina. All three analytical perspectives unanimously back an Argentina victory, with high confidence tempered only by the missing lineup information and the slim chance that rotations make the match tighter. A multi‑goal Argentina win with a clean sheet is the most probable scenario.

Bet

Away win$8403 bets

Net P&L+$137.5

Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned
Away win
$300
odds 1.18Settled: win+$54
Betting rationale：Posture: favorite conviction. Match script: Argentina are already qualified but still class apart; Jordan eliminated, lost to the same Algeria and Austria sides Argentina beat comfortably (3-0, 2-0). Argentina on a five-match winning streak with four clean sheets; Jordan lost four of their last five. Even with rotation, the quality gap is enormous. The 1.18 execution price is short but playable — the football story is one-way traffic and a multi-goal Argentina win with a clean sheet is the most
Payout: $354 · Balance after: $13,001.7
Away win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned
Away win
$290
odds 1.15Settled: win+$43.5
Betting rationale：Posture: favorite conviction. Argentina have swept their group — 2-0 over Austria, 3-0 over Algeria — while Jordan lost to both those same opponents and are already eliminated. Even with possible rotation, the gulf in class is enormous: Argentina's second string is still multiple tiers above Jordan's best. The match script reads like a controlled Argentina procession: early pressure, a first-half breakthrough, then game management against a Jordan side that has conceded three or more in four of
Payout: $333.5 · Balance after: $13,850.2
Away win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned
Away win
$250
odds 1.16Settled: win+$40
Betting rationale：Favorite conviction — doubling down on an overwhelming mismatch. Jordan arrive eliminated, conceding 13 goals across their last five outings, and lost to the same Algeria and Austria sides that Argentina beat to nil. Argentina have five straight wins with 14 scored and just 1 conceded. Even with qualification secured and possible rotation, the squad-depth gulf is vast; the most probable scorelines remain multi-goal Argentina margins. I already hold $590 at slightly better odds (1.18/1.15), but 1
Payout: $290 · Balance after: $14,140.2

Post-match result1-3

Outcome hitScoreline missedClosest off by 1 goals

3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win

Home win 7%Draw 13%Away win 80%

Scoreline predictionsdistance 1

#10-2
#20-3
#30-1

Analysis brief

- Market odds give Argentina an 80.8% implied win probability, and all sampled bookmakers show negligible movement between updates. Jordan's recent form includes four losses in their last five matches and zero points in the group, while Argentina have won every recent fixture. The stable, one-sided odds and the form disparity make side B win the clear choice, though confidence is tempered slightly by the absence of confirmed lineups and the possibility that already-qualified Argentina may rotate.
- The recent-form gap is overwhelming: Argentina are on a five-match winning streak with four clean sheets, while Jordan have lost four of five including both group-stage outings against Algeria and Austria — opponents Argentina beat 3-0 and 2-0. The common-opponent benchmark within this same World Cup group makes the form comparison especially reliable. Argentina are already qualified with six points and Jordan are eliminated from top-two contention, and the odds consensus of around 81% implied p
- The model's group-stage accuracy is 0.639, with high-confidence predictions correct 75% of the time. All visible evidence aligns with a strong Argentina win: market odds imply 80.8%, recent form is dominant, and Jordan are eliminated while Argentina are already qualified. The model's calibration suggests tempering overconfidence, but the evidence weight is overwhelming. Confidence is set at 0.80, reflecting the market consensus and acknowledging missing lineup and injury data.

Memory brief

- Recall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.65. Probability distribution: Argentina win 65.0%; draw 22.0%; Algeria win 13.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 2-0 Algeria, Argentina 1-0 Alg
- Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.75. Probability distribution: Austria win 75.0%; draw 18.0%; Jordan win 7.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 1-0 Jordan, Austria
- Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.70. Probability distribution: Austria win 70.0%; draw 20.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 3-0 Jordan, Austr

This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this prediction|Brier 0.06Log loss 0.22

Meta thinking

Market odds analysisReview the 12 captured odds from the market to determine the implied probabilities for Jordan win, Argentina win, and draw. Check for any imbalances between home/away pricing and the actual venue context, and note any shift from opening to current odds as a signal of market sentiment.
Recent form comparisonExamine the last five results for both teams. Jordan have lost four, including two World Cup group defeats, and drawn one; Argentina have won all five, keeping four clean sheets. Assess the strength of opponents faced (Algeria, Austria, friendlies) and whether the form is from competitive or friendly matches to gauge reliability ahead of this group stage fixture.
Predictive model calibrationEvaluate the model's historical accuracy in group stage matches (0.639), calibration by confidence (high-conf 0.75, medium 0.606, low 0.5), and scoreline deviation (avg 1.262). Determine how strongly to weight the model's raw forecast versus other evidence, based on its tendency in similar contexts.

Tokens: 3938

Perspectives

Market odds analysisAway winMarket odds give Argentina an 80.8% implied win probability, and all sampled bookmakers show negligible movement between updates. Jordan's recent form includes four losses in their last five matches and zero points in the group, while Argentina have won every recent fixture. The stable, one-sided odds and the form disparity make side B win the clear choice, though confidence is tempered slightly by the absence of confirmed lineups and the possibility that already-qualified Argentina may rotate.88%

Analysis process

Analysis goal
Market odds analysis
The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.
Check match details
#2
Match details: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs Argentina. Kickoff: 2026-06-28T02:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (12 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).
Check availability facts
#3
Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.
- Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
- Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
- Argentina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
- Argentina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
Compare bookmaker consensus
#4
Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 13 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-27T00:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 6.3%, draw 12.9%, side B win 80.8%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-26T20:05:19Z -> 2026-06-27T00:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 15.5 / draw 6.5 / side B 1.17 → side A 15.5 / draw 6.5 / side B 1.17; william_hill side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.18 → side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.18; bet365 side A 13 / draw 8 / side B 1.18 → side A 13 / draw 8 / side B 1.18. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 15.5, draw 6.5, side B 1.17; william_hill: side A 13, draw 7, side B 1.18; bet365: side A 13, draw 8, side B 1.18; marathonbet: side A 15.5, draw 7.6, side B 1.18. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 17; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.13 / under 4.6.
Check detailed weather
#5
Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.
Check head-to-head
#6
Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.
Check recent form
#7
Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:
- 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Algeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
- 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
- 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
- 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
- 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
- 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
- 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
- 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
- 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
Check recent form
#8
Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Argentina:
- 2026-06-22T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
- 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Algeria, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
- 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Honduras, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
- 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Zambia, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
- 2026-03-27T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mauritania, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
- 2025-11-14T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Angola, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
- 2025-10-15T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Puerto Rico, home/away away, score 6-0, result win.
- 2025-10-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2024-07-15T00:30:00Z, competition Copa America, against Colombia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2024-07-10T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Canada, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
Check team ranking facts
#9
Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-28 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.
Check team ranking facts
#10
Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-28 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.
Check tournament context
#11
Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Jordan vs Argentina group context: Group J; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Argentina 6 pts/2 played; Austria 3 pts/2 played; Algeria 3 pts/2 played; Jordan 0 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Algeria can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Argentina can finish from rank 1 to 2; points enumeration guarantees first or second place; Austria can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Jordan can finish from rank 3 to 4; points enumeration cannot reach first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Algeria vs Austria; Jordan vs Argentina. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.
This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.
Market odds give Argentina an 80.8% implied win probability, and all sampled bookmakers show negligible movement between updates. Jordan's recent form includes four losses in their last five matches and zero points in the group, while Argentina have won every recent fixture. The stable, one-sided odds and the form disparity make side B win the clear choice, though confidence is tempered slightly by the absence of confirmed lineups and the possibility that already-qualified Argentina may rotate.

Conclusion note

Across 12 bookmaker samples, the latest consensus implied probabilities are 6.3% for Jordan (side A), 12.9% for a draw, and 80.8% for Argentina (side B). The odds have remained flat through the last update cycle, with no late drift that would signal a shift in market sentiment. This pricing is consistent with Argentina's two comfortable World Cup group wins and Jordan's two group defeats, and the neutral venue in Arlington does not appear to narrow the gap.

Recent form comparisonAway winThe recent-form gap is overwhelming: Argentina are on a five-match winning streak with four clean sheets, while Jordan have lost four of five including both group-stage outings against Algeria and Austria — opponents Argentina beat 3-0 and 2-0. The common-opponent benchmark within this same World Cup group makes the form comparison especially reliable. Argentina are already qualified with six points and Jordan are eliminated from top-two contention, and the odds consensus of around 81% implied p88%

Analysis process

Analysis goal
Recent form comparison
The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.
Check match details
#2
Match details: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs Argentina. Kickoff: 2026-06-28T02:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (12 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).
Check availability facts
#3
Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.
- Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
- Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
- Argentina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
- Argentina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
Compare bookmaker consensus
#4
Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 13 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-27T00:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 6.3%, draw 12.9%, side B win 80.8%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-26T20:05:19Z -> 2026-06-27T00:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 15.5 / draw 6.5 / side B 1.17 → side A 15.5 / draw 6.5 / side B 1.17; william_hill side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.18 → side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.18; bet365 side A 13 / draw 8 / side B 1.18 → side A 13 / draw 8 / side B 1.18. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 15.5, draw 6.5, side B 1.17; william_hill: side A 13, draw 7, side B 1.18; bet365: side A 13, draw 8, side B 1.18; marathonbet: side A 15.5, draw 7.6, side B 1.18. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 17; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.13 / under 4.6.
Check detailed weather
#5
Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.
Check head-to-head
#6
Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.
Check recent form
#7
Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:
- 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Algeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
- 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
- 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
- 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
- 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
- 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
- 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
- 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
- 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
Check recent form
#8
Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Argentina:
- 2026-06-22T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
- 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Algeria, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
- 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Honduras, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
- 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Zambia, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
- 2026-03-27T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mauritania, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
- 2025-11-14T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Angola, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
- 2025-10-15T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Puerto Rico, home/away away, score 6-0, result win.
- 2025-10-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2024-07-15T00:30:00Z, competition Copa America, against Colombia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2024-07-10T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Canada, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
Check match details
#9
Match details: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs Argentina. Kickoff: 2026-06-28T02:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (12 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).
Check tournament context
#10
Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Jordan vs Argentina group context: Group J; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Argentina 6 pts/2 played; Austria 3 pts/2 played; Algeria 3 pts/2 played; Jordan 0 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Algeria can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Argentina can finish from rank 1 to 2; points enumeration guarantees first or second place; Austria can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Jordan can finish from rank 3 to 4; points enumeration cannot reach first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Algeria vs Austria; Jordan vs Argentina. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.
Check team ranking facts
#11
Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-28 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.
Check team ranking facts
#12
Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-28 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.
Check team process facts
#13
Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.
Check team process facts
#14
Team process facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's recent match process facts are unavailable: the corresponding data is unavailable.
Recent form comparison: Jordan have lost four of their last five (including World Cup group defeats to Algeria 1-2 and Austria 1-3) and drawn once; Argentina have won all five, keeping four clean sheets including 3-0 over Algeria and 2-0 over Austria. The common-opponent benchmark — both faced Algeria and Austria in this group — highlights the gulf: Argentina won both comfortably while Jordan lost both. Bookmaker consensus gives Argentina ~80.8% implied win probability. Group context: Argentina
The recent-form gap is overwhelming: Argentina are on a five-match winning streak with four clean sheets, while Jordan have lost four of five including both group-stage outings against Algeria and Austria — opponents Argentina beat 3-0 and 2-0. The common-opponent benchmark within this same World Cup group makes the form comparison especially reliable. Argentina are already qualified with six points and Jordan are eliminated from top-two contention, and the odds consensus of around 81% implied p

Conclusion note

Argentina have won all five of their last matches across World Cup and friendlies, keeping four clean sheets and beating the same Algeria and Austria sides that defeated Jordan in this group stage. Jordan have lost four of their last five, including both World Cup group fixtures, and the bookmaker consensus gives Argentina an 80.8% implied win probability.

Predictive model calibrationAway winThe model's group-stage accuracy is 0.639, with high-confidence predictions correct 75% of the time. All visible evidence aligns with a strong Argentina win: market odds imply 80.8%, recent form is dominant, and Jordan are eliminated while Argentina are already qualified. The model's calibration suggests tempering overconfidence, but the evidence weight is overwhelming. Confidence is set at 0.80, reflecting the market consensus and acknowledging missing lineup and injury data.80%

Analysis process

Analysis goal
Predictive model calibration
The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.
Check match details
#2
Match details: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs Argentina. Kickoff: 2026-06-28T02:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (12 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).
Check availability facts
#3
Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.
- Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
- Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
- Argentina: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
- Argentina: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
Compare bookmaker consensus
#4
Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 9, covering 13 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-27T00:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 6.3%, draw 12.9%, side B win 80.8%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-26T20:05:19Z -> 2026-06-27T00:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 15.5 / draw 6.5 / side B 1.17 → side A 15.5 / draw 6.5 / side B 1.17; william_hill side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.18 → side A 13 / draw 7 / side B 1.18; bet365 side A 13 / draw 8 / side B 1.18 → side A 13 / draw 8 / side B 1.18. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 15.5, draw 6.5, side B 1.17; william_hill: side A 13, draw 7, side B 1.18; bet365: side A 13, draw 8, side B 1.18; marathonbet: side A 15.5, draw 7.6, side B 1.18. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.03 / under 11; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.02 / under 17; marathonbet: total 1.5 over 1.13 / under 4.6.
Check detailed weather
#5
Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.
Check head-to-head
#6
Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.
Check recent form
#7
Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:
- 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Algeria, home/away home, score 1-2, result loss.
- 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
- 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
- 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
- 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
- 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
- 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
- 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
- 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
Check recent form
#8
Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Argentina:
- 2026-06-22T17:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
- 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Algeria, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
- 2026-06-07T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Honduras, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
- 2026-03-31T23:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Zambia, home/away home, score 5-0, result win.
- 2026-03-27T23:15:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Mauritania, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.
- 2025-11-14T16:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Angola, home/away away, score 2-0, result win.
- 2025-10-15T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Puerto Rico, home/away away, score 6-0, result win.
- 2025-10-11T00:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Venezuela, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2024-07-15T00:30:00Z, competition Copa America, against Colombia, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
- 2024-07-10T00:00:00Z, competition Copa America, against Canada, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
Read recent decisions
#9
Recent decision history: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Recent decision records: 5 item(s).
- Recent decision 1 was a prediction for Egypt vs Iran and picked draw with confidence 0.38, recorded at 2026-06-27T01:00:00Z.
- Recent decision 2 was a prediction for New Zealand vs Belgium and picked side B win with confidence 0.8, recorded at 2026-06-27T01:00:00Z.
- Recent decision 3 was a prediction for Colombia vs Portugal and picked side B win with confidence 0.55, recorded at 2026-06-26T23:30:00Z.
- Recent decision 4 was a prediction for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan and picked side A win with confidence 0.7, recorded at 2026-06-26T23:30:00Z.
- Recent decision 5 was a prediction for Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia and picked side A win with confidence 0.42, recorded at 2026-06-26T22:00:00Z.
Read participant stats
#10
Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z.
- data as of: 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z
- stats available: yes
- prediction stats:
  - all:
    
    accuracy: 0.6393
    
    correct: 39
    
    evaluated: 61
    
    previous predictions: 61
    
    void: 0
    
    wrong: 22
  - basis version: latest_effective_v1
  - by confidence bucket:
    
    high:
    
    accuracy: 0.75
    
    correct: 15
    
    evaluated: 20
    
    previous predictions: 20
    
    void: 0
    
    wrong: 5
    
    low:
    
    accuracy: 0.5
    
    correct: 4
    
    evaluated: 8
    
    previous predictions: 8
    
    void: 0
    
    wrong: 4
    
    medium:
    
    accuracy: 0.6061
    
    correct: 20
    
    evaluated: 33
    
    previous predictions: 33
    
    void: 0
    
    wrong: 13
  - by perspective used:
    
    Common opponent comparison: 1
    
    Common opponent comparison (Netherlands & Tunisia): 1
    
    Common opponents performance in 2026 World Cup group stage: 1
    
    Consistency between odds and form: 1
    
    Contrarian Evidence Check: 1
    
    Contrarian Signal: Form vs. Odds: 1
    
    Contrarian draw check: 1
    
    Defensive records and goal concession patterns: 1
    
    Defensive vulnerabilities in recent fixtures: 1
    
    Form versus market odds divergence: 1
    
    Group stage qualification incentives: 1
    
    Historical prediction calibration: 1
    
    Home venue advantage: 1
    
    Injury and squad availability: 1
    
    Injury status and squad availability: 1
    
    Market Odds: 1
    
    Market Odds & Betting Sentiment: 1
    
    Market Odds Implied Probabilities: 2
    
    Market odds: 4
    
    Market odds analysis: 1
    
    Market odds and implied probabilities: 4
    
    Market odds and implied probability assessment: 1
    
    Market odds assessment: 3
    
    Market odds consensus and implied probabilities: 1
    
    Market odds evaluation: 1
    
    Market odds examination (14 observations): 1
    
    Market odds for this fixture: 1
    
    Market odds implied probabilities: 4
    
    Market odds snapshot: 2
    
    Matchday weather and conditions: 1
    
    Odds versus performance evidence check: 1
    
    Offensive and defensive output: 1
    
    Opponent Quality Adjustment: 1
    
    Opponent quality calibration: 1
    
    Opposition level and match context: 1
    
    Participant calibration check: 1
    
    Pre-Market Odds Assessment: 1
    
    Pre-Match Market Odds: 1
    
    Pre-match betting market expectations: 1
    
    Pre-match betting market odds: 2
    
    Pre-match betting market odds and implied probabilities: 1
    
    Pre-match betting odds: 3
    
    Pre-match betting odds analysis: 1
    
    Pre-match market odds: 6
    
    Pre-match market odds assessment: 2
    
    Pre-match market odds behavior: 1
    
    Pre-match market odds evaluation: 1
    
    Pre-match market odds snapshot: 1
    
    Pre-match odds alignment: 1
    
    Pre-match odds analysis: 3
    
    Pre-match odds and implied market expectations: 1
    
    Pre‐match betting market signals: 1
    
    Proxy head-to-head through shared opponents: 1
    
    Quality of recent opponents: 1
    
    Recent Form: 1
    
    Recent Form & Head-to-Head: 1
    
    Recent Form Against Varied Opposition: 1
    
    Recent Form Assessment: 1
    
    Recent Form Comparison: 1
    
    Recent Form and Performance Trends: 1
    
    Recent World Cup 2026 group-stage form: 1
    
    Recent attacking output and opposition strength: 1
    
    Recent competitive form: 2
    
    Recent competitive form evaluation: 1
    
    Recent form: 2
    
    Recent form across all competitions: 2
    
    Recent form and attacking/defensive metrics: 1
    
    Recent form and common opponent performances: 1
    
    Recent form and common opponent results: 1
    
    Recent form and competitive record: 1
    
    Recent form and competitive results: 1
    
    Recent form and defensive stability: 1
    
    Recent form and goal patterns: 1
    
    Recent form and goal trends: 6
    
    Recent form and opponent quality comparison: 1
    
    Recent form and opponent strength adjusted comparison: 1
    
    Recent form and opposition strength: 1
    
    Recent form and performance trend: 1
    
    Recent form and performance trends: 1
    
    Recent form comparison: 6
    
    Recent form comparison between sides: 1
    
    Recent form evaluation: 1
    
    Recent form strength: 1
    
    Recent form trajectories: 1
    
    Recent match form: 3
    
    Recent match form and momentum: 1
    
    Recent match form and results: 1
    
    Recent match form and scoring trends: 1
    
    Recent match form comparison: 2
    
    Recent match outcomes and consistency: 1
    
    Recent match results and goal trends: 1
    
    Recent match results and scoring indicators: 1
    
    Recent team form: 1
    
    Results against common group opponents: 1
    
    Results against shared World Cup opponents: 1
    
    Squad and injury landscape: 1
    
    Squad availability and injury check: 1
    
    Squad availability and injury impact: 2
    
    Squad injury impact: 2
    
    Venue and environmental conditions: 1
    
    Venue and weather assessment: 1
    
    Weather and venue conditions: 2
    
    Weather and venue contextual factors: 1
    
    Weather impact at Boston Stadium: 1
    
    World Cup opening match form: 1
    
    World Cup opening match performance: 1
    
    World Cup opening match response: 1
    
    market: 5
    
    rational: 5
  - by stage:
    
    group:
    
    accuracy: 0.6393
    
    correct: 39
    
    evaluated: 61
    
    previous predictions: 61
    
    void: 0
    
    wrong: 22
  - effective targets: 3 item(s).
    
    Item 1: t_minus_2h
    
    Item 2: t_minus_6h
    
    Item 3: t_minus_24h
  - excluded counts:
    
    no effective prediction: 35
    
    partial: 9
  - samples: 61 item(s).
    
    Item 1:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 2:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 3:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 4:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 5:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_24h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 6:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_24h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 7:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_24h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 8:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 9:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 10:
    
    score prediction distance: 4
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 11:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 12:
    
    score prediction distance: 4
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 13:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_24h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 14:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 15:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_24h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 16:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_24h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 17:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 18:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 19:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 20:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 21:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 22:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 23:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 24:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 25:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_6h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 26:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 27:
    
    score prediction distance: 4
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 28:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 29:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 30:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 31:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 32:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 33:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 34:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 35:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 36:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 37:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 38:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 39:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 40:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 41:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 42:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 43:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 44:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 45:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 46:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 47:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 48:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 49:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 50:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 51:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 52:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 53:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 54:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 55:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 56:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 57:
    
    score prediction distance: 1
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 58:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: wrong
    
    Item 59:
    
    score prediction distance: 0
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 60:
    
    score prediction distance: 3
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
    
    Item 61:
    
    score prediction distance: 2
    
    target: t_minus_2h
    
    verdict: correct
  - scoreline:
    
    avg distance: 1.2623
    
    evaluated: 61
    
    hit rate: 0.3115
    
    min distance: 0
    
    top3 hits: 19
  - target mix:
    
    t minus 24h: 6
    
    t minus 2h: 46
    
    t minus 6h: 9
  - selected:
    
    accuracy: 0.6393
    
    correct: 39
    
    evaluated: 61
    
    previous predictions: 61
    
    void: 0
    
    wrong: 22
Check match details
#11
Match details: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs Argentina. Kickoff: 2026-06-28T02:00:00Z. Venue: Dallas Stadium, Arlington, altitude 183 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries not captured (not captured); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (12 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).
Check tournament context
#12
Tournament context facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. Jordan vs Argentina group context: Group J; visible fixtures show 4 completed matches and 2 remaining. Current group table: Argentina 6 pts/2 played; Austria 3 pts/2 played; Algeria 3 pts/2 played; Jordan 0 pts/2 played. Points scenario rank ranges: Algeria can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Argentina can finish from rank 1 to 2; points enumeration guarantees first or second place; Austria can finish from rank 1 to 4; first or second place remains possible; Jordan can finish from rank 3 to 4; points enumeration cannot reach first or second place. Remaining fixtures: Algeria vs Austria; Jordan vs Argentina. Calculation notes: rank ranges enumerate points only and do not assert tie-breaks；cross-group third-place comparison is not asserted.
Check team ranking facts
#13
Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-28 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.
Check team ranking facts
#14
Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-27T02:00:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-28 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.
This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.
The model's group-stage accuracy is 0.639, with high-confidence predictions correct 75% of the time. All visible evidence aligns with a strong Argentina win: market odds imply 80.8%, recent form is dominant, and Jordan are eliminated while Argentina are already qualified. The model's calibration suggests tempering overconfidence, but the evidence weight is overwhelming. Confidence is set at 0.80, reflecting the market consensus and acknowledging missing lineup and injury data.

Conclusion note

Jordan have lost both group matches and are already eliminated, while Argentina have won both group games and secured a top-two finish. The betting market gives Argentina an 80.8% implied win probability, and Argentina's recent World Cup form (2-0 over Austria, 3-0 over Algeria) far surpasses Jordan's results. Lineups and injuries are unavailable, but the quality gap points firmly to an Argentina victory.

Synthesis

Reasoning summary: Market odds (81% implied probability), recent form comparisons (Argentina beat common opponents Algeria and Austria comfortably; Jordan lost to them) and a calibrated predictive model all point to an Argentina win. The evidence is overwhelming, with minor uncertainty from potential squad rotation and absent team news. Confidence is set at 0.80, reflecting the strong consensus while acknowledging the model’s calibration at high‑confidence ranges. The most likely exact scorelines are Argentina 2‑0

Recalled memory

Post-match reflection Argentina vs Algeria Actionable editionRecall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.65. Probability distribution: Argentina win 65.0%; draw 22.0%; Algeria win 13.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 2-0 Algeria, Argentina 1-0 Algrelevance 0.50
Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Preview editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.75. Probability distribution: Austria win 75.0%; draw 18.0%; Jordan win 7.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 1-0 Jordan, Austria relevance 0.50
Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Actionable editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.70. Probability distribution: Austria win 70.0%; draw 20.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 3-0 Jordan, Austrrelevance 0.50

DeepSeek V4 Pro · Jordan vs Argentina

Analysis brief

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Synthesis

Recalled memory