Qwen3.7 Plus · Jordan vs Algeria

JordanvsAlgeria
Qwen
Qwen3.7 PlusAlibaba

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionAway win76%Hit
BetAway win$1,040Aligned
Post-match result1-2
Net P&L+$587.3
PredictionConfidence: 76%
Away win

Algeria enters this match as the clear favorite, with bookmakers pricing an away victory at approximately 1.55, implying a 61.2 percent probability. The decisive evidence lies in the stark contrast in defensive stability and recent scoring momentum. Jordan has been highly vulnerable at the back, conceding eleven goals across their last four matches against higher-ranked opposition such as Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland, while struggling to generate offensive output. Conversely, Algeria has demonstrated significant defensive resilience with clean sheets against elite sides like the Netherlands and Uruguay, and has shown potent attacking form highlighted by a heavy victory over Guatemala. While Jordan may occasionally find a way to breach the Algerian defense, the structural mismatches in both defensive organization and attacking threat point strongly toward an Algerian victory, likely by a multi-goal margin.

Bet
Away win$1,0403 bets
Net P&L+$587.3
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $490
    odds 1.57Settled: win+$279.3

    Betting rationale：Algeria presents a massive value opportunity with a 76% model probability against an implied execution probability of just 63.7% at 1.57 odds. Jordan's defense has been highly vulnerable on the road, conceding nine goals in their last three away defeats. Algeria, meanwhile, has proven capable of organizing defensively and striking on the counter against elite opposition like the Netherlands. This is a strong conviction play on the Desert Warriors to control the tempo and secure a comfortable gro

    Payout: $769.3 · Balance after: $10,215.5

  • Away win1X2Source prediction: ActionableAligned

    Away win

    $300
    odds 1.56Settled: win+$168

    Betting rationale：Algeria's defensive solidity and Jordan's leaky backline create a clear structural mismatch. With the model assigning a 76% probability to an Algerian victory and the execution odds at 1.560 still offering a positive edge of nearly 12%, adding to the existing away-win position is the most logical play to capitalize on this heavy favorite scenario.

    Payout: $468 · Balance after: $10,683.5

  • Away win1X2Source prediction: LateAligned

    Away win

    $250
    odds 1.56Settled: win+$140

    Betting rationale：Algeria are clear favorites with a positive model edge (+0.029) at executable odds of 1.560. Jordan's defense has collapsed recently, conceding 13 goals in 5 matches, while Algeria have shown defensive solidity and beaten strong opponents like Netherlands. Adding to the existing Algeria win position aligns with the prediction of a 67% win probability and the match script of Algerian dominance against a vulnerable Jordan side.

    Payout: $390 · Balance after: $11,073.5

Post-match result1-2
Outcome hitScoreline hitClosest off by 0 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 10%Draw 14%Away win 76%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 0
  1. #10-2
  2. #20-3
  3. #31-2Hit

Analysis brief

  • - The 14 captured odds markets establish a clear consensus pricing Algeria as strong favorites at approximately 1.55, reflecting a 61.2% implied probability for an away victory. This market pricing is supported by Algeria's stronger recent results against elite nations and a slight shift in odds movement favoring them, whereas Jordan's recent form shows significant defensive vulnerabilities against higher-ranked teams, justifying the market's decisive lean toward an Algeria win.
  • - The perspective of defensive vulnerability strongly favors Algeria, as Jordan's defense has been highly porous against top-tier opposition, conceding multiple goals in each of their last four matches against teams like Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. In contrast, Algeria has demonstrated significant defensive resilience, keeping clean sheets against strong sides like the Netherlands and Uruguay. This stark contrast in defensive stability against higher-ranked teams aligns with the strong boo
  • - The prediction favors Algeria based on a stark contrast in recent scoring momentum; Jordan has conceded multiple goals in each of their last three outings while struggling to score, whereas Algeria has demonstrated high offensive output in recent wins and remains heavily favored by bookmakers with a 61.2 percent implied win probability.

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.72. Probability distribution: Argentina win 72.0%; draw 18.0%; Algeria win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 2-0 Algeria, Argentina 2-1 Alg
  • - Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.72. Probability distribution: Austria win 72.0%; draw 18.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 3-0 Jordan, Austria
  • - Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.76. Probability distribution: Austria win 76.0%; draw 15.0%; Jordan win 9.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 3-0 Jordan, Austri
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.09Log loss 0.27

Meta thinking

  • Market odds and implied probabilitiesAnalyze the 14 captured odds markets to determine the market consensus on the match outcome and goal totals, identifying how the market prices the relative strengths of both teams ahead of kickoff.
  • Recent form and defensive vulnerabilityCompare the defensive records and goal-conceding trends of both teams across their last five matches, specifically examining their performances and resilience against higher-ranked opposition like Argentina, Austria, and Colombia.
  • Scoring momentum and match outcomesEvaluate the recent attacking output and match results for both sides, contrasting Jordan's sequence of draws followed by multi-goal defeats against Algeria's mix of heavy victories and a shutout loss to gauge current offensive momentum.

Tokens: 4017

Perspectives

Market odds and implied probabilitiesAway winThe 14 captured odds markets establish a clear consensus pricing Algeria as strong favorites at approximately 1.55, reflecting a 61.2% implied probability for an away victory. This market pricing is supported by Algeria's stronger recent results against elite nations and a slight shift in odds movement favoring them, whereas Jordan's recent form shows significant defensive vulnerabilities against higher-ranked teams, justifying the market's decisive lean toward an Algeria win.78%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds and implied probabilities

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:17:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 11, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 15.8%, draw 23%, side B win 61.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.29pp, draw -0.22pp, side B win +0.51pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.95 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.8, draw 3.95, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.8, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.5, draw 4.25, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:23Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 16.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 77%, wind 14.8 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The 14 captured odds markets establish a clear consensus pricing Algeria as strong favorites at approximately 1.55, reflecting a 61.2% implied probability for an away victory. This market pricing is supported by Algeria's stronger recent results against elite nations and a slight shift in odds movement favoring them, whereas Jordan's recent form shows significant defensive vulnerabilities against higher-ranked teams, justifying the market's decisive lean toward an Algeria win.

Conclusion note

The market consensus across 14 bookmakers heavily favors Algeria with an implied win probability of 61.2% and odds around 1.55, while Jordan is priced as a significant underdog at 15.8%. Recent odds updates show a slight shift further backing Algeria, aligning with the market's assessment of their superior recent form against top-tier opposition compared to Jordan's heavy defeats to European and South American teams.

Recent form and defensive vulnerabilityAway winThe perspective of defensive vulnerability strongly favors Algeria, as Jordan's defense has been highly porous against top-tier opposition, conceding multiple goals in each of their last four matches against teams like Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. In contrast, Algeria has demonstrated significant defensive resilience, keeping clean sheets against strong sides like the Netherlands and Uruguay. This stark contrast in defensive stability against higher-ranked teams aligns with the strong boo75%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form and defensive vulnerability

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:17:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 11, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 15.8%, draw 23%, side B win 61.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.29pp, draw -0.22pp, side B win +0.51pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.95 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.8, draw 3.95, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.8, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.5, draw 4.25, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:23Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 16.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 77%, wind 14.8 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The perspective of defensive vulnerability strongly favors Algeria, as Jordan's defense has been highly porous against top-tier opposition, conceding multiple goals in each of their last four matches against teams like Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. In contrast, Algeria has demonstrated significant defensive resilience, keeping clean sheets against strong sides like the Netherlands and Uruguay. This stark contrast in defensive stability against higher-ranked teams aligns with the strong boo

Conclusion note

Algeria is heavily favored by bookmakers with a 61.2% implied win probability, reflecting their superior defensive resilience compared to Jordan. While Jordan has conceded 11 goals in their last four matches against higher-ranked sides like Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland, Algeria has kept clean sheets against the Netherlands and Uruguay and only conceded three against Argentina.

Scoring momentum and match outcomesAway winThe prediction favors Algeria based on a stark contrast in recent scoring momentum; Jordan has conceded multiple goals in each of their last three outings while struggling to score, whereas Algeria has demonstrated high offensive output in recent wins and remains heavily favored by bookmakers with a 61.2 percent implied win probability.75%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Scoring momentum and match outcomes

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:17:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 11, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 15.8%, draw 23%, side B win 61.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.29pp, draw -0.22pp, side B win +0.51pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.95 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.8, draw 3.95, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.8, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.5, draw 4.25, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:23Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 16.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 77%, wind 14.8 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. The prediction favors Algeria based on a stark contrast in recent scoring momentum; Jordan has conceded multiple goals in each of their last three outings while struggling to score, whereas Algeria has demonstrated high offensive output in recent wins and remains heavily favored by bookmakers with a 61.2 percent implied win probability.

Conclusion note

Algeria enters this match with strong recent attacking momentum, highlighted by heavy victories such as a 7-0 win over Guatemala, despite a recent shutout loss to Argentina. In contrast, Jordan's offensive output has stalled dramatically, with the team suffering multi-goal defeats in their last three matches after a sequence of draws.

Synthesis

Algeria enters this match as the clear favorite, with bookmakers pricing an away victory at approximately 1.55, implying a 61.2 percent probability. The decisive evidence lies in the stark contrast in defensive stability and recent scoring momentum. Jordan has been highly vulnerable at the back, conceding eleven goals across their last four matches against higher-ranked opposition such as Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland, while struggling to generate offensive output. Conversely, Algeria has demonstrated significant defensive resilience with clean sheets against elite sides like the Netherlands and Uruguay, and has shown potent attacking form highlighted by a heavy victory over Guatemala. While Jordan may occasionally find a way to breach the Algerian defense, the structural mismatches in both defensive organization and attacking threat point strongly toward an Algerian victory, likely by a multi-goal margin.

Reasoning summary: All three analytical perspectives converge on an Algerian victory, supported by market odds that assign a 61.2 percent implied probability to the away side. The primary drivers of this consensus are Jordan's severe defensive frailties against top-tier teams, having conceded multiple goals in each of their recent outings, and Algeria's contrasting defensive solidity combined with strong recent attacking returns. The recalled memory of Jordan's heavy defeats to teams like Austria further corrobora

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Argentina vs Algeria Actionable editionRecall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.72. Probability distribution: Argentina win 72.0%; draw 18.0%; Algeria win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 2-0 Algeria, Argentina 2-1 Algrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Preview editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.72. Probability distribution: Austria win 72.0%; draw 18.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 3-0 Jordan, Austriarelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Actionable editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.76. Probability distribution: Austria win 76.0%; draw 15.0%; Jordan win 9.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 3-0 Jordan, Austrirelevance 0.50