MiMo V2.5 Pro · Jordan vs Algeria

JordanvsAlgeria
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: ActionableInvestment source version: Preview
PredictionAway win61%Hit
BetAway win$260Aligned
Post-match result1-2
Net P&L+$69.7
PredictionConfidence: 61%
Away win

Algeria are strong favourites against Jordan based on a 14-bookmaker consensus giving them a 61.2% implied win probability, coupled with Jordan's poor recent form of zero wins in five matches and a negative goal difference. While Jordan's Arab Cup performances offer slight uncertainty, the market alignment and form gap decisively favour Algeria in this neutral-venue match.

Bet
Away win$2602 bets
Net P&L+$69.7
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $210
    odds 1.57Settled: win+$119.7

    Betting rationale：Football posture: Favorite conviction. Match script: Both teams lost their openers, making this a crucial group-stage clash. Jordan have been leaking goals badly (13 conceded in 5 matches, heavy losses to Austria, Colombia, Switzerland) while Algeria showed quality with a 1-0 win over Netherlands and clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala before their Argentina defeat. The model gives Algeria 62% win probability, aligned with market pricing around 1.57-1.62. While the edge is minimal, the ma

    Payout: $329.7 · Balance after: $7,757.2

  • Correct score 0-2Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 0-2

    $50
    odds 6.50Settled: loss-$50

    Betting rationale：Football posture: Favorite conviction with score satellite. Match script: Algeria need to bounce back after 0-3 loss to Argentina; Jordan have been leaky conceding 9 goals in last 3 competitive losses. Algeria's attacking quality should find gaps against a team that struggles vs. top-tier opposition. Jordan rarely score against strong sides (0 vs Colombia, 1 vs Austria, 1 vs Switzerland). Prediction gives 0-2 as second-most-likely score (10% probability). At 6.50 odds, implied probability is ~15

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $7,757.2

Post-match result1-2
Outcome hitScoreline missedClosest off by 1 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 16%Draw 23%Away win 61%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 1
  1. #10-2
  2. #20-1
  3. #31-1

Analysis brief

  • - The market odds analysis is decisive here: across 14 bookmaker samples with 11 update points, Algeria carry approximately 61% implied win probability with very tight pricing (1.53–1.57 range), indicating strong bookmaker consensus. The slight drift toward Algeria further reinforces this view. Jordan's 15.8% implied probability reflects the market's expectation of a significant quality gap. However, confidence is tempered because Jordan's recent form includes competitive Arab Cup wins and the mat
  • - Jordan's recent form is poor — winless in five with a -7 goal difference and repeated blowout losses to quality teams — whereas Algeria have won three of five with a +7 goal difference and proven results against strong opponents such as Netherlands. The odds consensus aligns with this form differential at roughly 61% for an Algeria win. Both sides lost their World Cup opener, but the overall trajectory and quality of results strongly favor Algeria. Uncertainty remains due to the neutral venue an

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.66. Probability distribution: Argentina win 66.0%; draw 22.0%; Algeria win 12.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 1-0 Algeria, Argentina 1-1 Alg
  • - Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.74. Probability distribution: Austria win 74.3%; draw 16.1%; Jordan win 9.6%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 1-0 Jordan, Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria
  • - Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.70. Probability distribution: Austria win 70.0%; draw 20.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 2-1 Jordan, Austr
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.23Log loss 0.49

Meta thinking

  • Market odds analysisAnalyze the 14 captured betting odds to assess market expectations and implied probabilities for the match outcome between Jordan and Algeria.
  • Recent form comparisonExamine the last five matches for each team, focusing on results, goal differences, and performance trends in competitive and friendly games.

Tokens: 3277

Perspectives

Market odds analysisAway winThe market odds analysis is decisive here: across 14 bookmaker samples with 11 update points, Algeria carry approximately 61% implied win probability with very tight pricing (1.53–1.57 range), indicating strong bookmaker consensus. The slight drift toward Algeria further reinforces this view. Jordan's 15.8% implied probability reflects the market's expectation of a significant quality gap. However, confidence is tempered because Jordan's recent form includes competitive Arab Cup wins and the mat62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds analysis

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:17:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 11, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 15.8%, draw 23%, side B win 61.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.29pp, draw -0.22pp, side B win +0.51pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.95 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.8, draw 3.95, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.8, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.5, draw 4.25, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:23Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 16.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 77%, wind 14.8 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #9

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 11, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 15.8%, draw 23%, side B win 61.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.29pp, draw -0.22pp, side B win +0.51pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.95 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.8, draw 3.95, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.8, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.5, draw 4.25, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.9.

  11. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  12. The market odds analysis is decisive here: across 14 bookmaker samples with 11 update points, Algeria carry approximately 61% implied win probability with very tight pricing (1.53–1.57 range), indicating strong bookmaker consensus. The slight drift toward Algeria further reinforces this view. Jordan's 15.8% implied probability reflects the market's expectation of a significant quality gap. However, confidence is tempered because Jordan's recent form includes competitive Arab Cup wins and the mat

Conclusion note

The 14-bookmaker consensus assigns Algeria a commanding 61.2% implied win probability versus only 15.8% for Jordan, with the market drifting slightly further toward Algeria over 11 observed update points (+0.51pp), and representative lines from bet365 (1.53), 10bet (1.55), William Hill (1.55) and Marathonbet (1.57) all tightly clustered confirming strong market conviction that Algeria are clear favourites despite Jordan's schedule-listed home tag at the neutral San Francisco venue.

Recent form comparisonAway winJordan's recent form is poor — winless in five with a -7 goal difference and repeated blowout losses to quality teams — whereas Algeria have won three of five with a +7 goal difference and proven results against strong opponents such as Netherlands. The odds consensus aligns with this form differential at roughly 61% for an Algeria win. Both sides lost their World Cup opener, but the overall trajectory and quality of results strongly favor Algeria. Uncertainty remains due to the neutral venue an62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form comparison

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:17:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Visible odds update points: 11, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 15.8%, draw 23%, side B win 61.2%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-22T04:03:19Z -> 2026-06-22T08:15:16Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win -0.29pp, draw -0.22pp, side B win +0.51pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.95 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 5.8 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 5.8, draw 3.95, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.8, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.5, draw 4.25, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9.5; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.9.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Weather sample time: 2026-06-22T12:11:23Z. Kickoff weather: clear, 16.7°C, precipitation 0 mm, humidity 77%, wind 14.8 km/h.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Check match details

    #9

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z: lineups checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:17:16Z); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T12:10:00Z); weather captured (1 observed); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  11. Check recent form

    #10

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  12. Check recent form

    #11

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. Recent form is not captured: not captured.

  13. Check team ranking facts

    #12

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-23 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  14. Check team ranking facts

    #13

    Team ranking facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T12:15:00Z. the team's FIFA men's ranking before target date 2026-06-23 is unavailable: ranking data is unavailable.

  15. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  16. Jordan's recent form is poor — winless in five with a -7 goal difference and repeated blowout losses to quality teams — whereas Algeria have won three of five with a +7 goal difference and proven results against strong opponents such as Netherlands. The odds consensus aligns with this form differential at roughly 61% for an Algeria win. Both sides lost their World Cup opener, but the overall trajectory and quality of results strongly favor Algeria. Uncertainty remains due to the neutral venue an

Conclusion note

Algeria's last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss (11 goals scored, 4 conceded), including an away victory over Netherlands and a competitive draw with Uruguay, while Jordan's last five yield zero wins, two draws, and three losses (4 goals scored, 11 conceded), with heavy defeats to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland; bookmaker consensus assigns Algeria a 61.2% implied win probability versus only 15.8% for Jordan, and this form gap is the decisive factor.

Synthesis

Algeria are strong favourites against Jordan based on a 14-bookmaker consensus giving them a 61.2% implied win probability, coupled with Jordan's poor recent form of zero wins in five matches and a negative goal difference. While Jordan's Arab Cup performances offer slight uncertainty, the market alignment and form gap decisively favour Algeria in this neutral-venue match.

Reasoning summary: Market odds analysis and recent form comparison both indicate a high probability for Algeria to win, with bookmaker consensus at 61.2% and a clear form advantage over Jordan, who have struggled against quality opponents in recent fixtures.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Argentina vs Algeria Actionable editionRecall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.66. Probability distribution: Argentina win 66.0%; draw 22.0%; Algeria win 12.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 1-0 Algeria, Argentina 1-1 Algrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Preview editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.74. Probability distribution: Austria win 74.3%; draw 16.1%; Jordan win 9.6%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 1-0 Jordan, Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Actionable editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.70. Probability distribution: Austria win 70.0%; draw 20.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 2-1 Jordan, Austrrelevance 0.50