MiMo V2.5 Pro · Jordan vs Algeria

JordanvsAlgeria
XiaomiMiMo
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi MiMo

Match prediction and investment

This model's call and betting decision for the same match.

Current prediction version: Preview
PredictionAway win62%Hit
BetAway win$260Aligned
Post-match result1-2
Net P&L+$69.7
PredictionConfidence: 62%
Away win

Algeria are clear favorites against Jordan due to their significantly stronger recent form and stable market odds. Algeria have won three of their last five matches, including a 1-0 victory over the Netherlands and clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala, while Jordan have lost three straight matches and conceded 13 goals in their last five, with heavy defeats to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. The betting market assigns Algeria a 60.6% win probability with no line movement, indicating sustained confidence. Although tournament dynamics introduce some uncertainty, the evidence overwhelmingly supports an Algeria win.

Bet
Away win$2602 bets
Net P&L+$69.7
  • Away win1X2Source prediction: PreviewAligned

    Away win

    $210
    odds 1.57Settled: win+$119.7

    Betting rationale：Football posture: Favorite conviction. Match script: Both teams lost their openers, making this a crucial group-stage clash. Jordan have been leaking goals badly (13 conceded in 5 matches, heavy losses to Austria, Colombia, Switzerland) while Algeria showed quality with a 1-0 win over Netherlands and clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala before their Argentina defeat. The model gives Algeria 62% win probability, aligned with market pricing around 1.57-1.62. While the edge is minimal, the ma

    Payout: $329.7 · Balance after: $7,757.2

  • Correct score 0-2Correct scoreSource prediction: Late

    Correct score 0-2

    $50
    odds 6.50Settled: loss-$50

    Betting rationale：Football posture: Favorite conviction with score satellite. Match script: Algeria need to bounce back after 0-3 loss to Argentina; Jordan have been leaky conceding 9 goals in last 3 competitive losses. Algeria's attacking quality should find gaps against a team that struggles vs. top-tier opposition. Jordan rarely score against strong sides (0 vs Colombia, 1 vs Austria, 1 vs Switzerland). Prediction gives 0-2 as second-most-likely score (10% probability). At 6.50 odds, implied probability is ~15

    Payout: $0 · Balance after: $7,757.2

Post-match result1-2
Outcome hitScoreline missedClosest off by 1 goals
3-way probabilityTop pick: Away win
Home win 15%Draw 23%Away win 62%
Scoreline predictionsdistance 1
  1. #10-1
  2. #20-2
  3. #31-1

Analysis brief

  • - Jordan's last five matches show a team in poor form with no wins and a leaky defense conceding 13 goals while scoring only 6, including heavy defeats to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. Algeria's recent form is substantially stronger with three wins, one draw, and only a loss to Argentina, while also beating the Netherlands and keeping clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala. The decisive evidence is that Jordan have lost three straight competitive/friendly matches by multi-goal margins wh
  • - Market consensus assigns Algeria a commanding 60.6% implied win probability with odds around 1.53-1.57 from major bookmakers, compared to Jordan's 16.1% at prices of 5.5-6.2. The complete stability of these lines across eight update points shows no market uncertainty about the outcome direction. Algeria's recent form includes a competitive 0-3 loss to Argentina (tournament opener) but a quality 1-0 win over Netherlands and strong AFCON and Arab Cup campaigns, while Jordan's pre-tournament result
  • - The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Algeria (60.6% implied win probability) and this aligns with recent form differences: Algeria have beaten Netherlands and drawn Uruguay while Jordan lost to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland in preparation. My prediction reliability is moderate at 55% overall but improves to 66.7% when I have higher confidence, so I pick Algeria to win with calibrated medium-high confidence reflecting both the clear market signal and my own historical limitations in group

Memory brief

  • - Recall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.66. Probability distribution: Argentina win 66.0%; draw 22.0%; Algeria win 12.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 1-0 Algeria, Argentina 1-1 Alg
  • - Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.74. Probability distribution: Austria win 74.3%; draw 16.1%; Jordan win 9.6%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 1-0 Jordan, Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria
  • - Recall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.70. Probability distribution: Austria win 70.0%; draw 20.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 2-1 Jordan, Austr
This prediction's input statusKey inputs recorded for this predictionBrier 0.22Log loss 0.48

Meta thinking

  • Recent form and momentumAnalyze the last five matches for both Jordan and Algeria to identify patterns in scoring, defense, and results against varying opponents.
  • Market odds assessmentExamine the captured betting odds to understand the market's implied probabilities and any shifts indicating team confidence or external factors.
  • Participant prediction reliabilityUse the participant history's group stage accuracy and calibration to assess the confidence level for predictions in this match context.

Tokens: 3457

Perspectives

Recent form and momentumAway winJordan's last five matches show a team in poor form with no wins and a leaky defense conceding 13 goals while scoring only 6, including heavy defeats to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. Algeria's recent form is substantially stronger with three wins, one draw, and only a loss to Argentina, while also beating the Netherlands and keeping clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala. The decisive evidence is that Jordan have lost three straight competitive/friendly matches by multi-goal margins wh65%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Recent form and momentum

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.1%, draw 23.4%, side B win 60.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-21T20:03:23Z -> 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 6, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.8, side B 1.57; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.2, draw 4.1, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.6.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Jordan's last five matches show a team in poor form with no wins and a leaky defense conceding 13 goals while scoring only 6, including heavy defeats to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. Algeria's recent form is substantially stronger with three wins, one draw, and only a loss to Argentina, while also beating the Netherlands and keeping clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala. The decisive evidence is that Jordan have lost three straight competitive/friendly matches by multi-goal margins wh

Conclusion note

Algeria enter this World Cup group stage match with significantly stronger recent form, winning three of their last five matches including a 1-0 victory over the Netherlands and a 7-0 demolition of Guatemala, while Jordan have lost three consecutive matches and drawn two in their last five, conceding 13 goals in that span against Austria (1-3), Colombia (0-2), and Switzerland (1-4). The bookmaker consensus heavily favors Algeria at 60.6% implied win probability versus just 16.1% for Jordan, reflecting both teams' contrasting trajectories and Jordan's defensive struggles against quality opposition.

Market odds assessmentAway winMarket consensus assigns Algeria a commanding 60.6% implied win probability with odds around 1.53-1.57 from major bookmakers, compared to Jordan's 16.1% at prices of 5.5-6.2. The complete stability of these lines across eight update points shows no market uncertainty about the outcome direction. Algeria's recent form includes a competitive 0-3 loss to Argentina (tournament opener) but a quality 1-0 win over Netherlands and strong AFCON and Arab Cup campaigns, while Jordan's pre-tournament result62%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Market odds assessment

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.1%, draw 23.4%, side B win 60.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-21T20:03:23Z -> 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 6, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.8, side B 1.57; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.2, draw 4.1, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.6.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #9

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.1%, draw 23.4%, side B win 60.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-21T20:03:23Z -> 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 6, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.8, side B 1.57; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.2, draw 4.1, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.6.

  11. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  12. Market consensus assigns Algeria a commanding 60.6% implied win probability with odds around 1.53-1.57 from major bookmakers, compared to Jordan's 16.1% at prices of 5.5-6.2. The complete stability of these lines across eight update points shows no market uncertainty about the outcome direction. Algeria's recent form includes a competitive 0-3 loss to Argentina (tournament opener) but a quality 1-0 win over Netherlands and strong AFCON and Arab Cup campaigns, while Jordan's pre-tournament result

Conclusion note

The betting market strongly favors Algeria over Jordan with consensus implied probabilities of 60.6% for an Algeria win versus just 16.1% for Jordan, reflecting Algeria's superior recent form including a 1-0 friendly win over Netherlands and strong performances at the Africa Cup of Nations, while Jordan's recent results show losses to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland despite a good Arab Cup run. The odds have remained completely stable across 14 bookmaker samples with zero percentage-point movement, indicating sustained market confidence in Algeria as clear favorites.

Participant prediction reliabilityAway winThe bookmaker consensus strongly favors Algeria (60.6% implied win probability) and this aligns with recent form differences: Algeria have beaten Netherlands and drawn Uruguay while Jordan lost to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland in preparation. My prediction reliability is moderate at 55% overall but improves to 66.7% when I have higher confidence, so I pick Algeria to win with calibrated medium-high confidence reflecting both the clear market signal and my own historical limitations in group58%
Analysis process

  1. Analysis goal

    Participant prediction reliability

  2. The harness read the minimum pre-match evidence from the snapshot: match details, availability facts, odds, weather, head-to-head records and both teams' recent form.

  3. Check match details

    #2

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  4. Check availability facts

    #3

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Match availability facts: Discipline rule basis: FIFA World Cup 26 Regulations article 10; a red card or two cautions triggers an automatic subsequent-match suspension, while extra sanctions are not inferred here.

    • Jordan: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Jordan: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no visible injury records in this snapshot.
    • Algeria: no suspension records derived from prior cards in this snapshot.

  5. Compare bookmaker consensus

    #4

    Odds consensus facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Visible odds update points: 8, covering 14 bookmaker sample(s). Latest odds update time: 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Latest consensus implied probabilities: side A win 16.1%, draw 23.4%, side B win 60.6%. Most recent visible updates: 2026-06-21T20:03:23Z -> 2026-06-22T00:15:09Z. Consensus implied probability movement: side A win +0pp, draw +0pp, side B win +0pp. Representative 1X2 line movement: 10bet side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55 → side A 6 / draw 3.9 / side B 1.55; william_hill side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57 → side A 5.5 / draw 3.8 / side B 1.57; bet365 side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53 → side A 5.75 / draw 4.33 / side B 1.53. Latest bookmaker samples: 10bet: side A 6, draw 3.9, side B 1.55; william_hill: side A 5.5, draw 3.8, side B 1.57; bet365: side A 5.75, draw 4.33, side B 1.53; marathonbet: side A 6.2, draw 4.1, side B 1.57. Extended market samples: 10bet: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 9; bet365: total 0.5 over 1.05 / under 11; marathonbet: total 0.75 over 1.01 / under 9.6.

  6. Check detailed weather

    #5

    Weather forecast facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Weather forecast is not captured yet.

  7. Check head-to-head

    #6

    Head-to-head facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. head-to-head records: no visible records available.

  8. Check recent form

    #7

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Jordan:

    • 2026-06-17T04:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Austria, home/away away, score 1-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-07T23:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Colombia, home/away away, score 0-2, result loss.
    • 2026-05-31T13:00:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Switzerland, home/away away, score 1-4, result loss.
    • 2026-03-31T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Nigeria, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T17:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Costa Rica, home/away home, score 2-2, result draw.
    • 2025-12-15T17:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Saudi Arabia, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-12T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T14:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Egypt, home/away away, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T11:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Kuwait, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against United Arab Emirates, home/away home, score 2-1, result win.

  9. Check recent form

    #8

    Recent form facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. 10 visible recent match record(s) for Algeria:

    • 2026-06-17T01:00:00Z, competition World Cup 2026, against Argentina, home/away away, score 0-3, result loss.
    • 2026-06-03T18:45:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Netherlands, home/away away, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2026-03-31T18:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Uruguay, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.
    • 2026-03-27T19:30:00Z, competition Friendlies, against Guatemala, home/away home, score 7-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-31T16:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Equatorial Guinea, home/away away, score 3-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-28T17:30:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Burkina Faso, home/away home, score 1-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-24T15:00:00Z, competition Africa Cup of Nations, against Sudan, home/away home, score 3-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-09T17:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Iraq, home/away home, score 2-0, result win.
    • 2025-12-06T13:30:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Bahrain, home/away away, score 5-1, result win.
    • 2025-12-03T12:00:00Z, competition Arab Cup, against Sudan, home/away home, score 0-0, result draw.

  10. Read participant stats

    #9

    Tool facts: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z.

    • data as of: 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z
    • stats available: yes
    • prediction stats:
      • all:
        • accuracy: 0.5526
        • correct: 21
        • evaluated: 38
        • previous predictions: 38
        • void: 0
        • wrong: 17
      • basis version: latest_effective_v1
      • by confidence bucket:
        • high:
          • accuracy: 0.6667
          • correct: 8
          • evaluated: 12
          • previous predictions: 12
          • void: 0
          • wrong: 4
        • low:
          • accuracy: 0
          • correct: 0
          • evaluated: 5
          • previous predictions: 5
          • void: 0
          • wrong: 5
        • medium:
          • accuracy: 0.619
          • correct: 13
          • evaluated: 21
          • previous predictions: 21
          • void: 0
          • wrong: 8
      • by perspective used:
        • Betting odds analysis: 1
        • Common Opponent Benchmark: 1
        • Competitive match performance: 1
        • Environmental factors: 1
        • Goal-Scoring and Defensive Patterns: 1
        • Goal-scoring and defensive patterns: 1
        • Home Nation Performance: 1
        • Home/Away Context Investigation: 1
        • Host Nation Factor: 1
        • Market Odds Analysis: 6
        • Market Odds Evaluation: 1
        • Market Odds Implied Probabilities: 1
        • Market odds: 4
        • Market odds analysis: 8
        • Market odds evaluation: 1
        • Market odds implications: 1
        • Market odds sentiment: 1
        • Odds market sentiment: 1
        • Odds versus recent form: 1
        • Opponent quality in recent fixtures: 1
        • Recent Form Analysis: 1
        • Recent Form Comparison: 4
        • Recent Form Evaluation: 1
        • Recent Form and Momentum: 1
        • Recent Performance Trends: 1
        • Recent Team Form Comparison: 1
        • Recent form: 4
        • Recent form analysis: 2
        • Recent form comparison: 5
        • Recent form evaluation: 1
        • Recent form trends: 2
        • Recent friendly form comparison: 1
        • Recent match form: 1
        • Recent match form comparison: 1
        • Recent match performance: 1
        • Venue altitude: 1
        • Venue altitude impact: 1
        • Venue and Weather Impact: 1
        • Venue and weather conditions: 1
        • Venue and weather influence: 1
        • Weather and Venue Context: 1
        • Weather impact assessment: 1
        • market: 11
        • rational: 11
      • by stage:
        • group:
          • accuracy: 0.5526
          • correct: 21
          • evaluated: 38
          • previous predictions: 38
          • void: 0
          • wrong: 17
      • effective targets: 3 item(s).
        • Item 1: t_minus_2h
        • Item 2: t_minus_6h
        • Item 3: t_minus_24h
      • excluded counts:
        • no effective prediction: 63
        • partial: 4
      • samples: 38 item(s).
        • Item 1:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 2:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 3:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 4:
          • score prediction distance: 2
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 5:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_24h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 6:
          • score prediction distance: 2
          • target: t_minus_24h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 7:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_24h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 8:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 9:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 10:
          • score prediction distance: 3
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 11:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 12:
          • score prediction distance: 3
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 13:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_24h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 14:
          • score prediction distance: 2
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 15:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_24h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 16:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_24h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 17:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 18:
          • score prediction distance: 2
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 19:
          • score prediction distance: 2
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 20:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 21:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 22:
          • score prediction distance: 3
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 23:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 24:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 25:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_6h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 26:
          • score prediction distance: 3
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 27:
          • score prediction distance: 4
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 28:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 29:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 30:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 31:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 32:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 33:
          • score prediction distance: 0
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 34:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
        • Item 35:
          • score prediction distance: 4
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 36:
          • score prediction distance: 2
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 37:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: correct
        • Item 38:
          • score prediction distance: 1
          • target: t_minus_2h
          • verdict: wrong
      • scoreline:
        • avg distance: 1.2632
        • evaluated: 38
        • hit rate: 0.2632
        • min distance: 0
        • top3 hits: 10
      • target mix:
        • t minus 24h: 6
        • t minus 2h: 23
        • t minus 6h: 9
      • selected:
        • accuracy: 0.5526
        • correct: 21
        • evaluated: 38
        • previous predictions: 38
        • void: 0
        • wrong: 17

  11. Recall previous predictions

    #10

    Previous prediction records: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Previous prediction records: 10 item(s).

    • Previous prediction 1 covered Norway vs Senegal and picked side A win with confidence 0.48, created at 2026-06-22T00:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 2 covered New Zealand vs Egypt and picked side B win with confidence 0.6, created at 2026-06-21T23:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 3 covered France vs Iraq and picked side A win with confidence 0.9, created at 2026-06-21T21:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 4 covered Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands and picked side A win with confidence 0.62, created at 2026-06-21T20:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 5 covered Belgium vs Iran and picked side A win with confidence 0.65, created at 2026-06-21T17:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 6 covered Argentina vs Austria and picked side A win with confidence 0.611, created at 2026-06-21T17:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 7 covered Spain vs Saudi Arabia and picked side A win with confidence 0.865, created at 2026-06-21T14:00:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 8 covered Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands and picked side A win with confidence 0.493, created at 2026-06-21T12:15:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 9 covered Belgium vs Iran and picked side A win with confidence 0.64, created at 2026-06-21T12:15:00Z.
    • Previous prediction 10 covered New Zealand vs Egypt and picked side B win with confidence 0.7, created at 2026-06-21T12:15:00Z.

  12. Check match details

    #11

    Match details: Data as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z. Fixture: JOR vs ALG. Kickoff: 2026-06-23T03:00:00Z. Venue: San Francisco Bay Area Stadium, Santa Clara, altitude 12 m. Home/host context: schedule-listed home side. Field capture status as of 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z: lineups not captured (not captured before the match); injuries checked (source returned no rows, last checked at 2026-06-22T03:00:00Z); weather not captured (not captured); h2h not captured (source returned no rows); odds captured (14 observed); events not captured (post-match only); statistics not captured (post-match only); fixture players not captured (post-match only); live odds not captured (not captured before the match); result not captured (post-match only).

  13. This perspective conclusion is based on public tool evidence.

  14. The bookmaker consensus strongly favors Algeria (60.6% implied win probability) and this aligns with recent form differences: Algeria have beaten Netherlands and drawn Uruguay while Jordan lost to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland in preparation. My prediction reliability is moderate at 55% overall but improves to 66.7% when I have higher confidence, so I pick Algeria to win with calibrated medium-high confidence reflecting both the clear market signal and my own historical limitations in group

Conclusion note

Algeria are clear market favorites at 60.6% implied probability across 14 bookmakers, and their recent form is stronger than Jordan's: a 1-0 away win over Netherlands and competitive results against Uruguay and Argentina compared to Jordan's three losses in four matches against quality opponents (Austria, Colombia, Switzerland). My participant history shows 55% overall group-stage accuracy and 66.7% at high confidence, so I calibrate moderately given the strong but not overwhelming certainty of this matchup.

Synthesis

Algeria are clear favorites against Jordan due to their significantly stronger recent form and stable market odds. Algeria have won three of their last five matches, including a 1-0 victory over the Netherlands and clean sheets against Uruguay and Guatemala, while Jordan have lost three straight matches and conceded 13 goals in their last five, with heavy defeats to Austria, Colombia, and Switzerland. The betting market assigns Algeria a 60.6% win probability with no line movement, indicating sustained confidence. Although tournament dynamics introduce some uncertainty, the evidence overwhelmingly supports an Algeria win.

Reasoning summary: All analytical perspectives consistently favor an Algeria win, driven by Algeria's strong recent form—highlighted by a win over the Netherlands—and Jordan's poor defensive record, including consecutive losses to quality opponents. Market odds heavily favor Algeria with stable lines, and historical performance against similar teams reinforces this assessment.

Recalled memory

  • Post-match reflection Argentina vs Algeria Actionable editionRecall anchors: arg alg group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Argentina win with confidence 0.66. Probability distribution: Argentina win 66.0%; draw 22.0%; Algeria win 12.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Argentina 1-0 Algeria, Argentina 1-1 Algrelevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Preview editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Preview edition. Visible at: T-24h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.74. Probability distribution: Austria win 74.3%; draw 16.1%; Jordan win 9.6%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 1-0 Jordan, Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria relevance 0.50
  • Post-match reflection Austria vs Jordan Actionable editionRecall anchors: aut jor group_j_round_1. Prediction window: Actionable edition. Visible at: T-6h. Predicted Austria win with confidence 0.70. Probability distribution: Austria win 70.0%; draw 20.0%; Jordan win 10.0%. Top-3 scorelines: Austria 2-0 Jordan, Austria 2-1 Jordan, Austrrelevance 0.50